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What is happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality

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Re: What is happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality

#411

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This was observed on first week for me. In the employee room, most people were all crazy about LLMs, looking at the prompt results in awe, "I can do my day in 1h easy..." . By the end of the week, group meetings were much more tame "yeah I can go a bit deeper than I would otherwise, surely saves me a few hours a week". And after the meeting was over these employees were already saying that they would never report the…

I don't think we should fear the big corps shrinking over night. What we should fear is the startups. Legal startup demonstrates they can do legal work at a fraction of the price. New generation of banks can underwrite at a fraction of the cost, or new insurance companies can insure much cheaper. This will force the incumbents to reduce head count and use Ai.

If everyone is using the same AI then its just the new normal.

If you cut 50% of your staff over AI your competition using the same AI with twice the staff outperforms you: better products, better quality, more ideas, more work done.

AI isn't a moat.

Re: What is happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality

#412

Employees have no incentive to meaningfully implement AI to increase productivity, and if they do so, they have no reason to share it. If AI means job cuts and not using AI means job cuts but no one really tracks AI impact that means performative adoption of AI is safest, and real gains are to be sandbagged as innate magic hand waving. At my work I'm one of the few who says "I made this with Claude" and the near impo…

Yes, I’ve found my coworkers won’t admit they had AI write their code in any sort of group setting yet they’ve all admitted it in private. The implication seems to be if AI is writing your code you’re lazy/incompetent/bad/not working anywhere near 40 hours/week. I for one would hate for our bosses to figure out we do probably ~16 hours of actual work per week. But we all “get our stuff done” (thanks to AI).

Exactly my point about sandbagging.

But even before AI people were engaged in performative after 10pm or weekend emailing and working under 30 hrs/week.

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