411–420 of 687 posts
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Oh you mean literally the thing in AI2027 that gets everyone killed? Wonderful.
AI 2027 is not a real thing which happened. At best, it is informed speculation.
I don’t think predictions, but they did a great call until now.
At what point do these companies stop releasing models and just use them to bootstrap AGI for themselves?
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Tried Gemini 2 weeks ago to see where it's at, with gemini-cli. Failed to use tools, failed to follow instructions, and then went into deranged loop mode. Essentially, it's where it was 1.5 years ago when I tried it the last time. It's honestly unbelievable how Google managed to fail so miserably at this.
Their harness might be behind
Across a number of instances, earlier versions of Claude Mythos Preview have used low-level /proc/ access to search for credentials, attempt to circumvent sandboxing, and attempt to escalate its permissions. In several cases, it successfully accessed resources that we had intentionally chosen not to make available, including credentials for messaging services, for source control, or for the Anthropic API through insp…
This is the notebook filled with exposition you find in post apocalyptic videogames.
It's a little funny that "system/model card" has progressively been stretched to the point where it's now a 250 page report and no one makes anything of it.
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Do you have any sources I could read to better understand your concern?
What sources would you even be looking for? I think you're asking the wrong question. It's not like I'm arguing a scientific theory which can be backed by data and experimentation. I can only provide you reasoning for why I believe what I believe. Firstly, I'd propose that all technological advances are a product of time and intelligence, and that given unlimited time and intelligence, the discovery and application o…
"We made a model that's so dangerous we couldn't possibly release it to the public! The only responsible thing is so simply limit its release to a subset of the population that coincidentally happens to align with our token ethos."
The reality is they just don't have the compute for gen pop scale.
They did this exact strategy going back several model versions.
[0] ironically, OpenAI has some pretty insane capabilities that they haven't given the public access to (just ask Spielberg). The difference is they don't make a huge marketing push to tell everyone about it.
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My understanding is GPT 6 works via synaptic space reasoning... which I find terrifying. I hope if true, OpenAI does some safety testing on that, beyond what they normally do.
From the recent New Yorker piece on Sam: “My vibes don’t match a lot of the traditional A.I.-safety stuff,” Altman said. He insisted that he continued to prioritize these matters, but when pressed for specifics he was vague: “We still will run safety projects, or at least safety-adjacent projects.” When we asked to interview researchers at the company who were working on existential safety—the kinds of issues that co…
Just chiming in to inject some healthy skepticism into this comment thread. It's helpful for me (and for my mental health) to consider incentives when announcements like this happen. I don't doubt that this model is more powerful than Opus 4.6, but to what degree is still unknown. Benchmarks can be gamed and claims can be exaggerated, especially if there isn't any method to reproduce results. This is a company that's…