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Firing programmers for AI is a mistake

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Re: Firing programmers for AI is a mistake

#411

Post by SoftTalker »

csmpltn wrote: post #214
dham wrote: post #144

There's such a huge disconnect between people reading headlines and developers who are actually trying to use AI day to day in good faith. We know what it is good at and what it's not. It's incredibly far away from doing any significant change in a mature codebase. In fact I've become so bearish on the technology trying to use it for this, I'm thinking there's going to have to be some other breakthrough or something…

I think that LLMs are only going to make people with real tech/programming skills much more in demand, as younger programmers skip straight into prompt engineering and never develop themselves technically beyond the bare minimum needed to glue things together. The gap between people with deep, hands-on experience that understand how a computer works and prompt engineers will become so insanely deep. Somebody needs to…

We've been in this world for decades.

Most developers couldn't write an operating system to save their life. Most could not write more than a simple SQL query. They sling code in some opinionated dev stack that abstracts the database and don't think too hard about the low-level details.

Re: Firing programmers for AI is a mistake

#412

Post by abeppu »

lolinder wrote: post #381
hombre_fatal wrote: post #303

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think we who are already in tech have this gleeful fantasy that new tools impair newcomers in a way that will somehow serve us, the incumbents, in some way. But in reality pretty much anyone who enters software starts off cutting corners just to build things instead of working their way up from nand gates. And then they backfill their knowledge over time. My first serious foray into software wasn't even Ruby. It wa…

> Why wouldn't this be the case for people using LLM like it was for everyone else? I feel like it's a bit different this time because LLMs aren't just an abstraction. To make an analogy: Ruby on Rails serves a similar role as highways—it's a quick path to get where you're going, but once you learn the major highways in a metro area you can very easily break out and explore and learn the surface streets. LLMs are a G…

I think also a critical weakness is that LLMs are trained on the code people write ... and our code doesn't annotate what was written by a human and what was suggested by a tool. In your analogy, this would be like if your sat nav system suggests that you turn right where other people have turned right ... because they were directed to turn by their sat nav.

Re: Firing programmers for AI is a mistake

#413

Post by intrasight »

Firing programmers for using AI? I do see people asking on social media how to filter out hire candidates that are using AI in interviews.

But if they had meant replacing programmers with AI (bad title), I'm much more concerned about replacing non-programmers with AI. It's gonna happen on a huge scale, and we don't yet have a regulatory regime to protect labor from capital.

Re: Firing programmers for AI is a mistake

#414

Post by SoftTalker »

commandlinefan wrote: post #396
whynotminot wrote: post #230

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Isn’t this kind of thing the story of tech though? Languages like Python and Java come around, and old-school C engineers grouse that the kids these days don’t really understand how things work, because they’re not managing memory. Modern web-dev comes around and now the old Java hands are annoyed that these new kids are just slamming NPM packages together and polyfills everywhere and no one understands Real Software…

My son is a CS major right now, and since I've been programming my whole adult life, I've been keeping an eye on his curriculum. They do still teach CS majors from the "ground up" - he took system architecture, assembly language and operating systems classes. While I kind of get the sense that most of them memorize enough to pass the tests and get their degree, I have to believe that they end up retaining some of it.

Yes, they remember the concepts, mostly. Not the details. But that's often enough to help with reasoning about higher-level problems.

Re: Firing programmers for AI is a mistake

#415

Post by startupsfail »

lolinder wrote: post #381
hombre_fatal wrote: post #303

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think we who are already in tech have this gleeful fantasy that new tools impair newcomers in a way that will somehow serve us, the incumbents, in some way. But in reality pretty much anyone who enters software starts off cutting corners just to build things instead of working their way up from nand gates. And then they backfill their knowledge over time. My first serious foray into software wasn't even Ruby. It wa…

> Why wouldn't this be the case for people using LLM like it was for everyone else? I feel like it's a bit different this time because LLMs aren't just an abstraction. To make an analogy: Ruby on Rails serves a similar role as highways—it's a quick path to get where you're going, but once you learn the major highways in a metro area you can very easily break out and explore and learn the surface streets. LLMs are a G…

For now LLMs in coding are more like an LLM version of a GPS, not the GPS itself.

Like imagine you’d ask turn-by-turn directions from an LLM and then follow these directions ;). That’s how it feels when LLMs are used for coding.

Sometimes amazing, sometimes generated code is a swamp of technical debt. Still, a decade ago it was completely impossible. And the sky is the limit.

Re: Firing programmers for AI is a mistake

#418

Post by thijson »

aleph_minus_one wrote: post #96
baq wrote: post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Humans are notoriously bad at extrapolating exponentials.

... and many people who make this claim are notoriously prone to extrapolating exponential trends into a far longer future than the exponential trend model is suitable for. Addendum: Extrapolating exponentials is actually very easy for humans: just plot the y axis on a logarithmic scale and draw a "plausible looking line" in the diagram. :-)

In the Dune universe the AI's are banned.

Re: Firing programmers for AI is a mistake

#419

Post by unyttigfjelltol »

hombre_fatal wrote: post #303
csmpltn wrote: post #214

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think that LLMs are only going to make people with real tech/programming skills much more in demand, as younger programmers skip straight into prompt engineering and never develop themselves technically beyond the bare minimum needed to glue things together. The gap between people with deep, hands-on experience that understand how a computer works and prompt engineers will become so insanely deep. Somebody needs to…

I think we who are already in tech have this gleeful fantasy that new tools impair newcomers in a way that will somehow serve us, the incumbents, in some way. But in reality pretty much anyone who enters software starts off cutting corners just to build things instead of working their way up from nand gates. And then they backfill their knowledge over time. My first serious foray into software wasn't even Ruby. It wa…

> But in reality pretty much anyone who enters software starts off cutting corners just to build things instead of working their way up from nand gates.

The article is right in a zoomed-in view (fundamental skills will be rare and essential), but in the big picture the critique in the comment is better (folks rarely start on nand gates). Programmers of the future will have less need to know code syntax the same way current programmers don't have to fuss with hardware-specific machine code.

The people who still do hardware-specific code, are they currently in demand? The marketplace is smaller, so results will vary and probably like the article suggests, be less satisfactory for the participant with the time-critical need or demand.

Re: Firing programmers for AI is a mistake

#420

Post by jayd16 »

hombre_fatal wrote: post #303
csmpltn wrote: post #214

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think that LLMs are only going to make people with real tech/programming skills much more in demand, as younger programmers skip straight into prompt engineering and never develop themselves technically beyond the bare minimum needed to glue things together. The gap between people with deep, hands-on experience that understand how a computer works and prompt engineers will become so insanely deep. Somebody needs to…

I think we who are already in tech have this gleeful fantasy that new tools impair newcomers in a way that will somehow serve us, the incumbents, in some way. But in reality pretty much anyone who enters software starts off cutting corners just to build things instead of working their way up from nand gates. And then they backfill their knowledge over time. My first serious foray into software wasn't even Ruby. It wa…

That's fine and all but I'm not sure the nand-gate folks are out of a job either.
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