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America’s Covid job-saving programme gave most of its cash to the rich

economist.com

411–420 of 433 posts

Re: America’s Covid job-saving programme gave most of its cash to the rich

#411
post #395

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Quoted post unavailable.

Would you please stop posting unsubstantive and/or flamebait comments to HN, and please stop using HN for ideological battle? Those things are not what the site is for, and they destroy what it is for. We ban such accounts, regardless of what their ideology is, and regardless of whether we happen to agree or disagree (actually, we don't care—we just want to have an internet forum that doesn't suck). You're welcome he…

Sorry about that.

Re: America’s Covid job-saving programme gave most of its cash to the rich

#412
post #323

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It is bad to keep citing 2008 money as if it were a handout. So if I make reckless decisions because I am greedy, the govt should bail me out and then if some of my investments work out in the end I can return the govt's money. Its heads I win and tails I dont lose strategy.

That's actually the strategy, yes. It sounds like it might be bad, but...it isn't? In practice, people don't want to take risks that are irresponsible, they want to make money. I'd also point out that it was not the riskiness of the assets that the government bailed out. It was the complexity of valuation that reduced the short term liquidity in those CDOs and other collateralized and securitized debt products. When…

> In practice, people don't want to take risks that are irresponsible

Yes that was the same argument used by Alan Greenspan when he said investment banks dont need regulation because they wont take risks that are irresponsible, yet Lehman and Bear Sterns and others imploded because they did not understand the risks. This is precisely why you should not socialize the losses, if they fail let them fail or else you regulate them so they they dont take excessive risks.

> It was the complexity of valuation that reduced the short term liquidity

It was so complex that the bankers themselves did not understand it.

Re: America’s Covid job-saving programme gave most of its cash to the rich

#413
post #410

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> How would the government have capacity to do this? It's much easier to just ... I don't find the argument that "it's hard to track and manage that" valid or compelling for an organization which includes the IRS as one of its constituent parts. Actually paying portions of mortgages would both keeps the banks solvent as well as keep the people capable of pulling through with assistance from taking the burden of the p…

>I don't find the argument that "it's hard to track and manage that" valid or compelling for an organization which includes the IRS as one of its constituent parts Doesn't this article highlight what happens if you haphazardly throw together a complicated relief effort overnight? The money ends up in the pockets of the rich anyways. >Actually paying portions of mortgages would both keeps the banks solvent Exactly, wh…

At some point you have to figure out how to make the best tasting lemon drink you can out of the lemons you have. Making sure the rich don't get the money is less important to me than making sure the poor and less than rich actually get good outcomes. There's a word for punishing people even if it hurts you and in a way that could be avoided. It's called spite. We should care about helping the poor, and if possible, in a way that's not overly generous to those that don't need it. But we shouldn't be afraid to help the poor just because it also benefits those we deem not worthy.

It's a somewhat subtle but I think very important distinction that needs to be considered in these discussions of the rich benefiting in these instances. It's almost impossible to prevent people other than those targeted from benefiting, and those with the most flexibility (which comes with money) are those most likely to be able to take advantage in some way of programs not aimed at them (if you help people in poor physical health by supplying money for physical therapy, companies that offer that service will benefit). Trying to prevent that at the expense of the people you're trying to help is not beneficial to anyone (especially since economically the input resources and output outcomes are not always linearly related).

Re: America’s Covid job-saving programme gave most of its cash to the rich

#414
post #190
post #60

I know a few upper-middle class small business owners (all non-retail sectors) whose businesses weren't substantially affected by the pandemic, but who basically got a free handout as part of the program. Two mentioned how they were initially hesitant to apply for money, but then worried that if they didn't, their business could take a downturn after it was too late. Then as long as they spent the money on payroll (w…

If you don’t show losses, and the loan was forgiven, it becomes taxable revenue. As a C corp, Trump got those taxes down to 21%, so it was only mostly free.

Not true. On Dec 27, 2020, they made it all deductible

Re: America’s Covid job-saving programme gave most of its cash to the rich

#415

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm assuming by that they mean the value of the land. And if it's done similar to an appraisal they see what market price is for a sale (which combines the value of the building + land). Then they can estimate how much it would cost to rebuild that building if it were completely destroyed. That's the value of the improvements. The remainder is the amount someone implicitly paid for the land.

This is not great because suppose it cost relatively little to physically build a house but you sold it for a huge amount because it's in some chic architectural style that hasn't arrived yet in this city. So your house was in a crazy seller market and unexpectedly sold for crazy tons. Now you are being seriously penalized for your boldness.

And what are we talking about 0.0001% of all homes ever built? Even less?

Someone can always come up with a contrived example to find a short coming in a rule or law. That doesn't make the law not sound or wise.

"Speeding shouldn't be illegal. What if there is a tornado behind you and you need to rush to get away from it, but you go faster than the speed limit to save your life? See, we can't have laws for speeding."

Re: America’s Covid job-saving programme gave most of its cash to the rich

#416
post #60

I know a few upper-middle class small business owners (all non-retail sectors) whose businesses weren't substantially affected by the pandemic, but who basically got a free handout as part of the program. Two mentioned how they were initially hesitant to apply for money, but then worried that if they didn't, their business could take a downturn after it was too late. Then as long as they spent the money on payroll (w…

A friend of mine had his company grow and basically was able to increase his profit by the entire $1,700,000.00 his company received.

Maybe we shouldn't have had mandatory lockdowns to start with? Free choice and small government sounds nice right about now to me.

Re: America’s Covid job-saving programme gave most of its cash to the rich

#417

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can always launder money to defeat such a trail. I'm not going to go into detail about how, just in case my ignorant ramblings have some novel techniques in there, but it's definitely possible. Like with banning encryption, the privacy impacts would be felt by the little people, and the big bad actors would be largely unaffected.

So we rely upon reports apparently generated from reconciled alternate accounting systems to determine whether the funds were appropriated impactfully?

TheGivingBlock specializes in handling cryptoasset donations with tax receipts. (We don't yet (?) prefill returns in the US)

When you donate to a TheGivingBlock Cause Fund, you get a tax receipt by email and the donation is privately sent to each of the multiple registered nonprofit charities included in that particular Fund.

TheGivingBlock Cause Funds map to the UN SDG Sustainable Development Goals; are categorically aligned to the #GlobalGoals Goals, but not yet (?) to specific Targets or Indicators. https://thegivingblock.com/donate/

Re: CharityNavigator nonprofit rating methodology, SDG-aligned GRI Corporate Sustainability Reports, setting up a CharityVest charitable matching fund for your employees, SDGs,: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24412594 https://westurner.github.io/hnlog/#comment-24412594 CharityVest feedback: https://westurner.github.io/hnlog/#story-23907902

How should nonprofits be evaluated in order to invest impactfully?

If somebody says "Strategic Alignment" again, will less-impactful cashflows be eliminated?

When the government nonprofit invests in government services, nonprofits, NGOs, international aid, and for-profit entities, how do we evaluate per-investment/per-allocation ROI according to the predefined criteria at regular intervals, potentially with incremental commitment?

So, the specific fund allocation control adjustments being requested here are presumably due to feedback (sensor data and nonlinearity) which may or may not be traceable to an actual funding suggestion allocation task item in the near future, presumably

Re: America’s Covid job-saving programme gave most of its cash to the rich

#418

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No it doesn’t. The government doesn’t get back the principal + interest like they did from the banks. You’re considering secondary effects, which would have also happened with the money loaned to the banks.

I don't have sources that I'm willing to look up, but no, not really. Trickle down economics doesn't work like promised.

What are you talking about? This isn’t trickle down economics. This is just literally paying back interest on a loan and not going bankrupt (Bank of America, Merrill Lynch). There is an immediate first order return and the second order return of not letting the largest banks fail was widely believed to be positive even in retrospect by both Democrats and Republicans.

Do you even know what trickle down economics is? I’m guessing no and that’s why you didn’t post any sources. Long story short, it’s about taxation policy, which has zero overlap with “loans for banks vs handouts for poor people”.

Re: America’s Covid job-saving programme gave most of its cash to the rich

#419

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, trillions. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/09/covid-relief-bills-us-has-sp...

That is the total amount spent not the amount that citizens took home.

Read the article

844B stimulus checks, 666B unemployment compensation, 145B other income security, 828B for paycheck protection (money lent to business to pay paychecks - goes to the people nearly as directly as the stimulus, and allows business to stay afloat)....

It doesn't count the tax credits and other things that added to citizens handouts.

A lot of the other categories went also directly to paying citizens. Read some about what happened.

Re: America’s Covid job-saving programme gave most of its cash to the rich

#420

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The countries with the best outcomes, as noted in the article, did not give money to individuals, but to businesses. Direct payments to people let them squander it while businesses failed, leaving people unemployed. UBI feeds consumption, not production, and they are not the same thing. Lots of production is B2B and other aspects far removed from the consumption of the pipeline. Throwing a few trillion directly at pe…

What country has GDP on a better trend compared to pre-pandemic than the US?

Not sure why this is relevant, but if by trend you mean higher growth, then over half of countries in the world had larger growth in 2018-2019 [1].

US (growth 2.2%) is 119th out of 202 countries, with Timor-Leste at 19.5% at the top.

Lots of big countries also outgrew the US over this period: Vietnam 7%, China 5.9, Ireland 4.9%, Poland, Hungary, India, Israel, UAE, Luxembourg, Ukraine, Latvia, Peru..... It's not like the US was anything special for growth.

Did you think the US was the country with the best growth? Or even near the top?

[1] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2...

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