Earlier quoted context omitted.
child abuse
That evidence is already available. Nothing has changed.
There are written allegations, kind of a stretch to call it evidence. Blackmail is much more damning than a handwritten account.
Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny
401–410 of 419 posts
Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny
#402Earlier quoted context omitted.
The US would not win a ground war in Iran. Before every US war, people tend to think the US military and their $800 billion/year budget are unbeatable. But look at outcomes of significant US ground wars since WWII - only one clear victory: * Korea: Stalemate, which is still a problem now 70 years later * Vietnam: Loss * Gulf War: Victory * Afganistan: Loss, after 20 years of fighting * Iraq: Mixed results after 8 yea…
All the lost wars had very vague objectives. A war where you try to fight a military while trying to “liberate” the population in the same area basically can’t succeed. In WW2 they bombed the hell out of Japan and Germany and after the war they were the winners who set the course. They were also lucky that Germany and Japan were functioning societies that didn’t have much violent infighting. In Gulf War 1 there was a…
> They were also lucky that Germany and Japan were functioning societies that didn’t have much violent infighting.
> functioning societies
Sorry?
Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny
#403Earlier quoted context omitted.
I can't think of any examples of that and don't see that in the wars listed above. Destabilized countries are bad news for entire regions and can become havens and recruiting grounds for terrorists, criminals, etc. And those things spread across borders. The idea that the Iranians will act on his wishes is a fantasy of someone who wants to win without paying the costs, as a freebie.
Destabilized nations are good if you are a nearby nation wanting to expand and you expect those other nations to oppose you.
The US isn't a nearby nation and doesn't want to expand by seizing countries anywhere, especially in the Mideast.
None of Iran's neighbors - e.g., Iraq and Afghanistan - want to or have any capacity to invade Iran. A destabilized Iran is a nightmare for them.
Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny
#404Earlier quoted context omitted.
But that handicap is due to domestic politics which is a real world force that shapes the american war machine ability more than anything
If oil hits $150 and there's real pain on the streets, Americans will assent to a much bloodier war. In fact, I suspect this "15 point peace plan" is just theater to this effect. "Look we tried everything, we're gonna have to go in and really knock them out."
[deleted]
Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny
#405Earlier quoted context omitted.
Having proof on video of trump sexually assaulting a minor would still be significant, I think. Such footage probably exists and would make great leverage.
The Epstein files identify a pretty horrific incident involving Trump and a 14 year old girl, but it doesn't seem to have changed much so far. I suppose a video would be more compelling, but of course there'd be denials saying it was AI, etc.
I think that's their go to for damage control. I specifically remember in 2019 when Epstein was arrested, the MSM was running parallel stories talking about the rise of deep fakes. They were already setting the stage in case the kompromat was released. A few months ago with "Obama getting arrested" posted on Trump's account, I think this is a strategic reference to deep fakes. They'll say "that's not trump blowing Clinton, it's a deep fake like I posted of Obama, silly!"
Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny
#406Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Record and wait. Justice is slow but has the power of the nation state. this is pretty much how things will unfold in USA. Everything that has to happen will happen but very slowly. There is all the evidence supporting that.
You mean like all the people that were punished for trying to overthrow the government on Jan 6th?
Unironically, just give it time
Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny
#407Earlier quoted context omitted.
no one was surprised. i imagine both sides are actually in the same game. why do u think trump allow iran to sell oil still -_-. there was a lovely post earlier today on HN laying it all out pretty eloquently. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47499822 i personally think the people who do _business_ on both sides will find their way to profit out of this. as they always do. if u look at the timing of statements u…
What’s wrong with your shift key?
Passes the turing test.
Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny
#408Earlier quoted context omitted.
Is it common in HN? I've seen it elsewhere, but I realy hate it. I prefer: fake quote> If I use triple quotes, enything is valid.
> Is it common in HN? This is demonstrable via cntrl-F I don't know what you are trying to say with the rest.
I agree that most quotes in HN use >
I really hate when people use " for interpretations, most of the times they are strawmen.
When I really really need to use a paraphrase, I make it super obvious, to avoid any possible confusion.
Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny
#409Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny
#410Earlier quoted context omitted.
Not traders. Friends and family. These guys are idiots who figure they will all be pardoned before Trump leaves office, or part of the junta that replaces him if he doesn’t leave office.
Also I'm not sure insider trading commodities like oil is actually illegal?