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Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries

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Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries

#401

Too late for everyone who spent massively on flying in stock ahead of the tariff deadline. Too late for those forced to sell financial assets in order to pay margin calls. Too late for those working on projects involving foreign manufacturers which have now been cancelled due to tariff uncertainty. Too late for those who lost sales while they figured out pricing. Too early for the people fundraising to build US manuf…

Oh no. Stock isn’t risk free automatic gains? I know that with RSUs etc people treat it that way. But no the risk is real.

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Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries

#402
post #81

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Ever since the tariffs were first announced I've been trying to understand if there is any method to the madness.

There is sound reasoning behind the tariffs, and I can at least understand the motivations. However, to execute the vision behind the tariffs would be tantamount to severely contracting the American economy, and the voters would never agree to go hungry in order to militarily independent.

He knows what he's doing, but him and his ilk are openly lying to the American public because no one would ever agree to it.

Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries

#403
post #236
post #169

This man's absurdity never ceases to amaze me. How can his supporters appreciate all this - constant - chaos? Moreover, from the outside (European here), it looks like the US president can literally do whatever he wants without being subject to regulations or facing any consequences - pretty much like a dictatorship. No discussion, no parliament, no opposition taken into account. Crazy.

Only Republican Presidents get that kind of carte blanche. They would already be impeaching if it was a Democrat.

The democrats just allowed a dementia patient to run the country for four years

Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries

#404

So we're all in for another ride like this in 3 months? How are businesses supposed to plan anything in this environment? As nice as this surge is, I'm more focused on upping my cash reserves and bracing myself for a recession.

The administration has signaled that they expect to negotiate acceptable balance-of-trade deals with the US's Asian allies over the next few weeks. If that happens, I can see businesses being certain enough to make investments. Until then I'm bracing for a recession too.

> If that happens

How does that help? The steel and auto tariffs are still in place. There are plans on tariffs for other industries. You'll be hit 1 way or another.

Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries

#405

So, it was all a bluff? (As many people suspected it would be.)

It brought a large number of countries to the negotiating table, and shows he’s willing to execute on threats of keeping tariffs high for an individual country. Now is the ripe time, 90 days, to make a deal with the US and offer the best terms. The whole point of Trump is to leverage uncertainty, make an unrealistically high water mark, then go down from there (to a point thats still very favorable) This rationale ca…

This rationale can explain many actions he’s taken. Is it reckless? Risky? For sure. Does it work? It has in the past, let’s hope it does for the global financial system, for everyone’s sake.

Global financial reacted to the idiocy adequately enough to tell you what it thinks of it… You are trying to rationalize something that is as far from rational as it gets…

Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries

#406

Too late for everyone who spent massively on flying in stock ahead of the tariff deadline. Too late for those forced to sell financial assets in order to pay margin calls. Too late for those working on projects involving foreign manufacturers which have now been cancelled due to tariff uncertainty. Too late for those who lost sales while they figured out pricing. Too early for the people fundraising to build US manuf…

>Too early for the people fundraising to build US manufacturing capabilities.

It's a good idea to hedge against future trade uncertainties.

After COVID some Danish and German companies began looking for non-Chinese alternatives for electronics manufacturing. The only area where China is the absolute better alternative is PCB manufacturing without mounting chips/components. The Danish and German companies get tens of thousands of these bare PCBs from China. The chips/components are from Taiwan, South Korea, the US, Italy, and Germany and can be cost effectively mounted in Denmark and Germany.

Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries

#407

"It’s the T-bills wot dun it." That’s my read on why the U.S. just paused the global tariff hike to 10%. From the beginning, I’ve believed the executive branch's real goal was to push down the yield on the 10-year Treasury. Why? Because Uncle Sam has to refinance a mountain of debt this year, and the cost of that depends heavily on Treasury yields — especially the 10-year. That’s the rate that sets the tone for every…

Yeah, the bond market started saying firmly "stop fucking around" and an adult seemingly appeared in the room

Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries

#409

So we're all in for another ride like this in 3 months? How are businesses supposed to plan anything in this environment? As nice as this surge is, I'm more focused on upping my cash reserves and bracing myself for a recession.

The administration has signaled that they expect to negotiate acceptable balance-of-trade deals with the US's Asian allies over the next few weeks. If that happens, I can see businesses being certain enough to make investments. Until then I'm bracing for a recession too.

You mean like he railed against the Canada/Mexico trade deal that he negotiated during his first term?

Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries

#410
post #222

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It seems unlikely that the next 90 days will remain calm and stable.

Ya, I don't know what Trump is going to do in the next 90 days, but it will probably not just be working on his golf game (although we can hope).

He needed to take some time to work on his other passion project, kidnapping US citizens and disappearing them permamently into third world gulags[1].

[1] https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2025/04/07/trum...

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