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OpenAI O3-Mini

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Re: OpenAI O3-Mini

#402
post #384

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The fact that I can basically run o1-mini with deepseek:8b, locally, is amazing. Even on battery power, it works acceptably.

Those models are not comparable

hmmm... check the deepseek-r1 repo readme :) They compare them there, but it would be nice to have external benchmarks.

Re: OpenAI O3-Mini

#403

> Testers preferred o3-mini's responses to o1-mini 56% of the time I hope by this they don't mean me, when I'm asked 'which of these two responses do you prefer'. They're both 2,000 words, and I asked a question because I have something to do. I'm not reading them both ; I'm usually just selecting the one that answered first. That prompt is pointless. Perhaps as evidenced by the essentially 50% response rate: it's a…

i enjoy it, i like getting two answers for free - often one of them is significantly better and probably the newer model

Re: OpenAI O3-Mini

#404
Well, o3-mini-high just successfully found the root cause of a seg fault that o1 missed: mistakenly using _mm512_store_si512 for an unaligned store that should have been _mm512_storeu_si512.

Re: OpenAI O3-Mini

#405

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The OPs comment is probably a testament of that. With such a poorly designed A/B test I doubt this has a p-value of < 0.10.

Erm, why not? A 0.56 result with n=1000 ratings is statistically significantly better than 0.5 with a p-value of 0.00001864, well beyond any standard statistical significance threshold I've ever heard of. I don't know how many ratings they collected but 1000 doesn't seem crazy at all. Assuming of course that raters are blind to which model is which and the order of the 2 responses is randomized with every rating -- o…

Because you're not testing "will a user click the left or right button" (for which asking a thousand users to click a button would be a pretty good estimation), you're testing "which response is preferred".

If 10% of people just click based on how fast the response was because they don't want to read both outputs, your p-value for the latter hypothesis will be atrocious, no matter how large the sample is.

Re: OpenAI O3-Mini

#406
post #289

I just pushed a new release of my LLM CLI tool with support for the new model and the reasoning_effort option: https://llm.datasette.io/en/stable/changelog.html#v0-21 Example usage: llm -m o3-mini 'write a poem about a pirate and a walrus' \ -o reasoning_effort high Output (comparing that with the default reasoning effort): https://github.com/simonw/llm/issues/728#issuecomment-262832... (If anyone has a better demo p…

A reasoning model is not meant for writing poetry. It's not very useful to evaluate it on such tasks.

It's not clear that writing poetry is a bad use case. Reasoning models seem to actually do pretty well with creative writing and poetry. Deepseek's R1, for example, has much better poem structure than the underlying V3, and writers are saying R1 was the first model where they actually felt like it was a useful writing companion. R1 seems to think at length about word choice, correcting structure, pentameter, and so on.

Re: OpenAI O3-Mini

#407
post #405

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Erm, why not? A 0.56 result with n=1000 ratings is statistically significantly better than 0.5 with a p-value of 0.00001864, well beyond any standard statistical significance threshold I've ever heard of. I don't know how many ratings they collected but 1000 doesn't seem crazy at all. Assuming of course that raters are blind to which model is which and the order of the 2 responses is randomized with every rating -- o…

Because you're not testing "will a user click the left or right button" (for which asking a thousand users to click a button would be a pretty good estimation), you're testing "which response is preferred". If 10% of people just click based on how fast the response was because they don't want to read both outputs, your p-value for the latter hypothesis will be atrocious, no matter how large the sample is.

> If 10% of people just click based on how fast the response was

Couldn't this be considered a form of preference?

Whether it's the type of preference OpenAI was testing for, or the type of preference you care about, is another matter.

Re: OpenAI O3-Mini

#408
How many benchmarks for LLMs are there out there?

Is there any evidence of over-fitting on benchmarks, or is there truely hidden parts to them?

Re: OpenAI O3-Mini

#409
post #405

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Erm, why not? A 0.56 result with n=1000 ratings is statistically significantly better than 0.5 with a p-value of 0.00001864, well beyond any standard statistical significance threshold I've ever heard of. I don't know how many ratings they collected but 1000 doesn't seem crazy at all. Assuming of course that raters are blind to which model is which and the order of the 2 responses is randomized with every rating -- o…

Because you're not testing "will a user click the left or right button" (for which asking a thousand users to click a button would be a pretty good estimation), you're testing "which response is preferred". If 10% of people just click based on how fast the response was because they don't want to read both outputs, your p-value for the latter hypothesis will be atrocious, no matter how large the sample is.

Yes, I am assuming they evaluated the models in good faith, understand how to design a basic user study, and therefore when they ran a study intended to compare the response quality between two different models, they showed the raters both fully-formed responses at the same time, regardless of the actual latency of each model.
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