It's a bailout. They're putting the cost, presently unknown and probably not huge, on the other banks. But the message to depositors everywhere, of every size, is "don't worry about your bank's solvency, we'll protect you". So market scrutiny is removed as a discipline on bank asset strategy. That leaves regulation as the only control. That politicizes and bureaucratizes bank lending. And the general presumption that…
Shareholders are wiped out, so there will still be quite a bit of market scrutiny on banks. Edit: just to point out that I'm not claiming this is "not a bailout because shareholders were wiped out". It's a bailout of course.
Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
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Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#402It's a bailout. They're putting the cost, presently unknown and probably not huge, on the other banks. But the message to depositors everywhere, of every size, is "don't worry about your bank's solvency, we'll protect you". So market scrutiny is removed as a discipline on bank asset strategy. That leaves regulation as the only control. That politicizes and bureaucratizes bank lending. And the general presumption that…
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#403So depositors at banks taking on big risks get elevated interest rates or other perks for years, and when the shit hits the fan depositors that put their money in prudent banks get to bail them out through higher fees. And people wonder why turnout is low. There’s no way to vote for non captured politicians.
Evidence that SVB paid higher interest than other banks? This doesn’t seem to be the root cause here. They had a huge volatility in deposit base.
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#404Does that mean they will be valued at the fictional book value of the banks?
Or is there some other value that is going to be looked at?
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#405So they made their decision, everyone can move on. I just hope nobody forgets how prominent VCs behaved during the brief period of uncertainty. The idea of some noble class of investors championing disruption is dead. They're just a bunch of rent seekers like everybody else. For some silly reason I had some respect for the startup industry before this, now I see it as a joke. It's great at a personal level that "foun…
It's impossible to move on. There were insufficient funds to pay depositors; meaning, the money was gone - Since the money didn't vanish into thin air; somebody got that money through some scheme. Now taxpayers are going to be footing the bill... It's a government-ordained transfer of wealth from good, honest taxpayers to whatever (possibly malicious) entities got that money. It's theft. It's straight theft. Not even…
There was no theft. The bank bought bonds that decreased in value rapidly due to rising interest rates. Pure mismanagement, but not theft.
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#406Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#407So they made their decision, everyone can move on. I just hope nobody forgets how prominent VCs behaved during the brief period of uncertainty. The idea of some noble class of investors championing disruption is dead. They're just a bunch of rent seekers like everybody else. For some silly reason I had some respect for the startup industry before this, now I see it as a joke. It's great at a personal level that "foun…
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#408Translation: the Fed is done raising interest rates. Period. Forget all of the tough talk by the team over the last few months. We raise until we break something. Now that we broke it, that's that. As for that inflation problem... It will require another solution...
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#409It's pretty embarrassing how many people thought depositors should be on the hook for this. A banking system where companies or people would actually lose money due to bank failures (especially one caused by a run on the bank) would just lead to people only using BOA, JPM, and some merged WF/Citi/whoever else.
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#410So depositors at banks taking on big risks get elevated interest rates or other perks for years, and when the shit hits the fan depositors that put their money in prudent banks get to bail them out through higher fees. And people wonder why turnout is low. There’s no way to vote for non captured politicians.
But, crucially, the shareholders are wiped out. No CEO would be incentivized to repeat the SVB strategy if they stand to make no gains from it.
In fact, I'd say that CEOs would be heavily incentivized to follow this strategy. Their compensation is tied to stock. Stock price is tied to growth (not risk management). You have all the reason to pursue growth, show great performance, watch the stock go up and keep cashing out before the eventual collapse.