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It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)

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Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)

#42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’m unaware of any humans that don’t have this error method also.

? in a professional setting, my coworkers are just randomly gonna make stuff up

That is the entire industry of business consulting.

Boston consulting group Bain and MacKenzie make billions of years completely making shit up. same thing with Ernst and young and any of these organizations that make these “future of (insert market)” reports

Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)

#43

I like that this goofy fear-based boosterism is on the front page at the same time as an actually well reasoned and well written article about how fear-based boosterism has actually harmed the AI industry instead of making everyone panic-buy like they intended. I assume that’s entirely due to not being able to downvote submissions on HN. As for the article, as another user put it: > Call me when it stops making thing…

The AI boosterism is really weird. What is the big deal? My job is not to make AI succeed, it's too solve problems for our clients. Yet I'm getting told I need to use AI to do my job or my funding is going to get cut. We've done several research spikes to figure out where AI can fit into our project and apparently coming up with the answer of, "nowhere near the classified data" that means we must not have AI'd hard enough. My project owner doesn't seem to care if our actual project goals are met, he only seems to care that AI was used.

He's not my boss, so he can't literally tell me what to do. And my actual boss has told me to ignore him. But it's a worrying but of psychosis that I fear could infect the rest of the C-suite of it isn't addressed now.

Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)

#44

You should add a parallel timeline of how many times AI CEOs have claimed their next model is too dangerous to release, AGI is months away, or some white collar job will be obsolete within 6 months. I don’t know anyone in the tech industry who thinks AGI will never happen or that software engineering and white collar jobs can’t be automated. We all read sci fi, you’re not some unique visionary for anticipating AI. Th…

Understandably, the frustration is also around "what happens then?" Everyone is wondering about what happens if (when?) it finally comes true We really have to figure out what comes next for your average person. I think the reason no one wants to talk about this is because the answers aren't great. The average person not going to be living a great life in all likelihood, once we have no access to capital anymore

If we don't have access to capital, we will abolish capital altogether.

This still backfire to the oligarchs

Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)

#45
post #10

You should add a parallel timeline of how many times AI CEOs have claimed their next model is too dangerous to release, AGI is months away, or some white collar job will be obsolete within 6 months. I don’t know anyone in the tech industry who thinks AGI will never happen or that software engineering and white collar jobs can’t be automated. We all read sci fi, you’re not some unique visionary for anticipating AI. Th…

Literally every CEO AI or otherwise claims bullshit about their product. It's their job. It's got nothing to do with people actually using something and not coming to terms with it having any value. If you've never seen a screwdriver it's a waste of time compared to nails.

Screwdrivers and nails are deterministic, AI is probabilistic. That is a significant distinction and why your analogy fails.

Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)

#46
post #40

> Call me when it stops making things up. We haven’t moved past this yet

To be fair I think we'd be able to claim AGI is here if that problem is solved. At this point the models are so smart they're borderline super intelligent if they were cognizant of hallucinations and their own shortcomings. If GPT 5.5 or Opus 4.8 could tell you "I don't know" they'd certainly be "smarter" than any individual human. Some specialists might be better in niche domains, but I don't know of any humans who…

Your condition is called AI psychosis. Good news is: it's curable!

Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)

#47

> Call me when it stops making things up. We haven’t moved past this yet

I’m unaware of any humans that don’t have this error method also.

Look, I don't spend most of my time online criticizing AI progress. But what does your response even mean? People hallucinating work and solutions isn't commonplace at all, right? What industry do you work in where people hallucinate with frequency?

Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)

#48

You should add a parallel timeline of how many times AI CEOs have claimed their next model is too dangerous to release, AGI is months away, or some white collar job will be obsolete within 6 months. I don’t know anyone in the tech industry who thinks AGI will never happen or that software engineering and white collar jobs can’t be automated. We all read sci fi, you’re not some unique visionary for anticipating AI. Th…

Understandably, the frustration is also around "what happens then?" Everyone is wondering about what happens if (when?) it finally comes true We really have to figure out what comes next for your average person. I think the reason no one wants to talk about this is because the answers aren't great. The average person not going to be living a great life in all likelihood, once we have no access to capital anymore

The average person will not have any life in all likelihood. That is the end goal of capitalism. However, shortly after everyone dies, the remaining survivors - the likes of Musk, Thiel etc - will find themselves roughly equal and needing to establish a new hierarchy.

Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)

#49

Thank you very much for creating this! I’m gonna send this to people when they tell me that nothing‘s happening and none of this is real I love this so much thank you

It does sound like a good way to get people to stop talking to you

Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)

#50

You should add a parallel timeline of how many times AI CEOs have claimed their next model is too dangerous to release, AGI is months away, or some white collar job will be obsolete within 6 months. I don’t know anyone in the tech industry who thinks AGI will never happen or that software engineering and white collar jobs can’t be automated. We all read sci fi, you’re not some unique visionary for anticipating AI. Th…

I’ll go on record and say that AGI will never happen (in the next 50 years). I think that’s also the timeline for white-collar job automation that requires critical thinking.
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