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Bitcoin doesn't really have any coherent reasoning behind it, that I can tell. Other investments I can have a theory (which may be wrong) and see it work. I can buy gold/silver to hedge weaker currency. I can believe a stock is going up (or the market in general). I can buy bonds. I can do Forex or Commodities based on whatever feeling if I really want to lose money. But Bitcoin doesn't really seem to correlate with…
My own personal opinion is that the hype around bitcoin is not coming back. I dont think its going to zero, but too many people have just moved on.
You clearly must not be familiar with its cycles.
Bitcoin (and crypto at large) goes through these 4 year cycles repeatedly. Each time people claim its dead, "this time is different", etc etc. It peaked at the end of 2024 and now we're in mid 2026...traditionally near the bottom of the cycle. There IS someone in the White House now that seems hellbent on driving the global economy into the ground but until there's definitive evidence that this time really is differe…
Bitcoin (and crypto at large) goes through these 4 year cycles repeatedly. Each time people claim its dead, "this time is different", etc etc. It peaked at the end of 2024 and now we're in mid 2026...traditionally near the bottom of the cycle. There IS someone in the White House now that seems hellbent on driving the global economy into the ground but until there's definitive evidence that this time really is differe…
There's no such thing as predicting the future when it comes to assets. Patterns aren't guarantors of future returns. If they were; the asset would be a sure-thing. Your confidence isn't warranted.
People will FUD. After the cycle is over, Bitcoin will make new ATH and the people who bought the dip will be called lucky. Same old tale
Precisely, although the dip is likely to be deeper. Having said this, the quantum risk is real, and if left unaddressed, the pattern will break.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
You clearly must not be familiar with its cycles.
Is bitcoin a commodity? What’s driving the cyclical nature of the price discovery for entries on a global ledger?
Bitcoin price stories should no longer be considered on topic for HN.