It could also be a huge bubble like everyone seems to agree about.
AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing
41–50 of 288 posts
Re: AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing
#42I had to code something on a plane today. It used to be that you couldn't get you packages or check stackoverflow. But now, I'm useless. My mind has turned to pudding. I cannot remember basic boilerplate stuff. Crazy how fast that goes.
probably a junior/semi sr developer?
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Re: AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing
#43The theory doesn't seem to make much sense to me - like why can't there be simultaneous technological revolutions? And why would they last an arbitrary 50-60 years? > People seem to hate Google’s inserting of AI tools into its search results, and hate even more that it is all but impossible to turn it off. That could do with a solid citation tbh. The anti-AI people are really vocal on social media but personally I li…
I mean when I needed to look up something I used to just google it.
Now, with the advent of LLMs I've had to pull out my old textbooks from storage.
Re: AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing
#44The question it raises is if this is the fake surge, the one we see, what is the real one we don't see? Renewable energy comes to mind. Robotics too but maybe that's too tied up with AI.
I firmly believe that Renewable energy, the Solar+battery+EV stack, not LLMs, really is the biggest technology transformation of our times. Renewable energy really is surging, just it's on a longer timeline and unlike LLMs, it doesn't benefit venture capitalists to hype it. In fact many existing sectors deliberately downplay it. But we are in the middle of it.
Robotics? lights-out operations in automated factories are already a thing, so I don't know if they're the "next thing".
mRNA vaccines? Sure, they're a huge medical advance. With great potential, in that area. But it's just an area.
Space? Maybe, if we get past LEO, find something useful to do there, and don't succumb to Kessler syndrome.
Re: AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing
#45And with robots, this also applies to the physical world.
Re: AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing
#46The theory doesn't seem to make much sense to me - like why can't there be simultaneous technological revolutions? And why would they last an arbitrary 50-60 years? > People seem to hate Google’s inserting of AI tools into its search results, and hate even more that it is all but impossible to turn it off. That could do with a solid citation tbh. The anti-AI people are really vocal on social media but personally I li…
50-60 years is far from arbitrary: it's very roughly two generations (plus a bit of extra time, to ensure the process takes). 50-60 years gives enough time for a generation to grow up and reach adulthood who have never known anything other than the post-revolution state.
Not unrelated: https://blog.gardeviance.org/2015/03/on-pioneers-settlers-to...
Re: AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing
#47Earlier quoted context omitted.
Really? How long you've been a developer? I've been almost exclusively doing "agent coding" for the last year + some months, been a professional developer for a decade or something. Tried just now to write some random JavaScript, C#, Java, Rust and Clojure "manually" and seems my muscle memory works just as well as two years ago. I'm wondering if this is something that hits new developers faster than more experienced…
Probably depends on the individual. Senior developer here and I've always offloaded boilerplate and other "easy to google" things to search engines and now AI. Just how my brain and memory work. Anything I haven't used recently isn't worth keeping (in my subconscious mind's opinion anyway).
Yeah, having to look up the "basic boilerplate" stuff is not worse for me after starting to use AI than it was beforehand.
Re: AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing
#48I had to code something on a plane today. It used to be that you couldn't get you packages or check stackoverflow. But now, I'm useless. My mind has turned to pudding. I cannot remember basic boilerplate stuff. Crazy how fast that goes.
I haven't written complex code for so long I forgot how I used to type && on my keyboard. Wild times.
Re: AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing
#49Earlier quoted context omitted.
Really? How long you've been a developer? I've been almost exclusively doing "agent coding" for the last year + some months, been a professional developer for a decade or something. Tried just now to write some random JavaScript, C#, Java, Rust and Clojure "manually" and seems my muscle memory works just as well as two years ago. I'm wondering if this is something that hits new developers faster than more experienced…
It a side effect of using AI. People using AI for tasks (essay writing in the MIT study linked below) showed lower ownership, brain connectivity, and ability to quote their work accurately. > https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.08872 There was a MSFT and Carnegie Mellon study that saw a link between AI use, confidence in ones skills, confidence in AI, and critical thinking. The takeaway for me is that people are getting into…
It's probably too much inside baseball to merit a study, but I'm curious if the results would change for part-time coders. When I'm not coding, I'm writing patents, doing technical competitive analysis, team building, etc.
My theory is that if you're not full-time coding, it's hard harder to remember the boiler plate and obligatory code entailed by different SDKs for different modules. That's where the documentation reading time goes, and what slows down debugging. That's where agent assisted coding helps me the most.
Re: AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing
#50I had to code something on a plane today. It used to be that you couldn't get you packages or check stackoverflow. But now, I'm useless. My mind has turned to pudding. I cannot remember basic boilerplate stuff. Crazy how fast that goes.
Really? How long you've been a developer? I've been almost exclusively doing "agent coding" for the last year + some months, been a professional developer for a decade or something. Tried just now to write some random JavaScript, C#, Java, Rust and Clojure "manually" and seems my muscle memory works just as well as two years ago. I'm wondering if this is something that hits new developers faster than more experienced…
I can tell you that I can still code Python and Haskell just fine (I did those in vim without bothering to set up any language assistance), but Rust I only ever did with AI and IDE and compiler assistance.