41–42 of 42 posts
As I've said before, AI is a force multiplier. A 10x developer is now a 100x developer and a -10x developer (complexity maker/value destroyer) is now a -100x developer. I can understand why a lot of companies are cutting junior roles. What AI does is it automates most of the stuff that juniors are good at (coding fast) but not much of the stuff that the seniors are good at. That said, I've worked with some juniors wh…
I also published such a longitudinal study not long ago: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s44427-025-00019-y
In my study, I have seen that 16.1% of the projects (the larger ones) showed stable growth patterns over the last few decades (till early 2025). Showing resilience against any external change during that time. If AI was able to improve 10% on the growth speed of those projects and it can be sustained over the long term, that is a really big breakthrough in relation to the laws of software evolution.
If the projects they measured would fall into the smaller ones, even a 10% productivity improvement might turn out to be temporary in the long term.