Earlier quoted context omitted.
What does "contraction of circulating currency" look like in the post-cash world?
A drastic rise in interest rate or actual destruction of bills.
What Drives Stock Market Returns? (2018)
41–50 of 52 posts
Re: What Drives Stock Market Returns? (2018)
#42Earlier quoted context omitted.
Click the "Edit Graph" button, and change the unit to "Change from Year Ago, Billions of Dollars" to see the evidence.
I don't see anything that looks like a "slowing" in mid 2018. Q1, Q2 and Q3 2018 are all higher than anything that came before.
Re: What Drives Stock Market Returns? (2018)
#43Earlier quoted context omitted.
Click the "Edit Graph" button, and change the unit to "Change from Year Ago, Billions of Dollars" to see the evidence.
I don't see anything that looks like a "slowing" in mid 2018. Q1, Q2 and Q3 2018 are all higher than anything that came before.
Quite hard to see higher derivatives or rates in the g vs. t graph. You need to plot at least dg/dt vs t to see. But definitely need dg/g vs t to see.
Haven’t looked at the true data (though it would be unsurprising) but your graph on its own hard to spot plus explanation makes no sense.
100,200,300,400,500
100%,50%,33%,25%
Increasing g, decreasing dg/g
Re: What Drives Stock Market Returns? (2018)
#44Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't see the contradiction?
I don't see anything that looks like a "slowing" in mid 2018. Growth in Q1, Q2 and Q3 2018 was higher than anything that came before.
Re: What Drives Stock Market Returns? (2018)
#45Earlier quoted context omitted.
A drastic rise in interest rate or actual destruction of bills.
What incentive do any of the few actors with the ability to effect that change have to actually pull that lever? I imagine that you have spent a lot of time thinking about this, and I would like to understand your position.
Re: What Drives Stock Market Returns? (2018)
#46Earlier quoted context omitted.
The numerous downvotes on this post containing basic statements of accepted fact is one of the more concerning things I've seen online in some time.
I find it reassuring. More people are waking up from our collective trickle-down, "free market hypothesis" fever dream and are starting to understand that there's nothing natural or rational about the stock market - it's just an elaborate wealth allocation machine that showers wealth on those who already have wealth (and showers more wealth on you, the more you already have). The stock market is about as natural or r…
Re: What Drives Stock Market Returns? (2018)
#47Earlier quoted context omitted.
The numerous downvotes on this post containing basic statements of accepted fact is one of the more concerning things I've seen online in some time.
Agreed. The level of financial illiteracy in many of the comments on the post is particularly concerning. Especially in response to a post that is solely trying to teach some basic economic principles.
It's really unfortunate that what was a place to talk about tech and startups (and therefore capitalism and investing) with people living that experience is now yet another another online progressive cesspool.
Re: What Drives Stock Market Returns? (2018)
#48Earlier quoted context omitted.
The numerous downvotes on this post containing basic statements of accepted fact is one of the more concerning things I've seen online in some time.
Agreed. The level of financial illiteracy in many of the comments on the post is particularly concerning. Especially in response to a post that is solely trying to teach some basic economic principles.
I attribute this to the complete lack of any school teachers or professors having any business experience whatsoever.
None of my K-12 grade school classes said anything about free markets. None offered any accounting instruction, or finance instruction, or anything about managing money.
It's a sad state of affairs.
Re: What Drives Stock Market Returns? (2018)
#49Re: What Drives Stock Market Returns? (2018)
#50Earlier quoted context omitted.
A drastic rise in interest rate or actual destruction of bills.
What incentive do any of the few actors with the ability to effect that change have to actually pull that lever? I imagine that you have spent a lot of time thinking about this, and I would like to understand your position.
I'll say it another way. The government can pay off its debt by making your money worthless.
I changed my investment habits as soon as I recognized it. I am already happy I did.