Looking at the chart here, it seems like Sonnet 4 was already better than GPT-5-codex in the SWE verified benchmark. However, my subjective personal experience was GPT-5-codex was far better at complex problems than Claude Code.
Sometimes in between this variability of performance it pops up a little survey. "How's Claude doing this session from 1-5? 5 being great." and i suspect i'm in some experiment of extremely low performance. I'm actually at the point where i get the feeling peak hour weekdays is terrible and odd hour weekends are great even when forcing a specific model.
While there is some non-determinism it really does feel like performance is actually quite variable. It would make sense they scale up and down depending on utilization right? There was a post a week ago from Anthropic acknowledging terrible model performance in parts of August due to an experiemnt. Perhaps also at peak hour GPT has more datacenter capacity and doesn't get degraded as badly? No idea for sure but it is frustrating when simple asks fail and complex asks succeed without it being clear to me why that may be.