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Nordic neighbours release new advice on surviving war

bbc.co.uk

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Re: Nordic neighbours release new advice on surviving war

#42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is that the case? I'm not the most knowledgeable, but I was under the impression that Putin is only capable of his level of influence to his KGB background. He definitely seems like a lynchpin to me, but I'd be interested in hearing more.

He's a lynchpin in the sense that he consolidated power, but it isn't as though he's some kind of genius. He's just an extraordinarily successful criminal/gangster. In fact, his playbook of installing a puppet regime and having them "voluntarily" integrate into russia isn't particularly original — the USSR did the same thing with the Baltic states in the 1940s. So, others around him could certainly take the reigns an…

Putin is who our next president aspires to be. I'll just leave that there.

Re: Nordic neighbours release new advice on surviving war

#43
post #25

In retrospect, it seems like it was a bad idea for Western countries to assume that things were going to remain peaceful after the fall of the USSR. Glad to see the threat of war being taken seriously.

Unfortunately it not "just" about war now. The changing climate has also significantly increased the risk for major disruptions on social services such as fresh water supply, electricity, sanitation, and roads/track. We now also need to add those to the list of real risks to prepare for.

Niall Ferguson recently gave a speech, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ocYvwiSYDTA (Address to the 2024 CIS Consilium on the Gold Coast),

in which he says that WWIII may be a more urgent risk. It's a race.

Re: Nordic neighbours release new advice on surviving war

#44

Exceptionally well-armed NATO + JEF members, and Finland well within distance to use conventional artillery to turn St Petersburg to rubble. This is a public-awareness and support-building exercise rather than a real concern. This is like the RAF frequently issuing press-releases about intercepting Russian jets.

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Re: Nordic neighbours release new advice on surviving war

#45
post #33
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

I’m Russian, am I the problem? We need @dang here to address this racism here.

It was very probably faulty stochastic language meaning "the median element of the group G", specifically felt by some after the naive proposal in some press years ago that there would be a revolt as a reaction to the war, and the subsequent presentation of data that went "actually, some support is there".

Re: Nordic neighbours release new advice on surviving war

#46
post #8

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Muammar Gaddafi was a terrible person. But when he died, things in his country got even worse.

Muammar Gaddafi is a complex personage, a cruel dictator and a efficient benefactor. He was a force for the greater good with the Great Man-Made River Project, a project would not have been possible without him.

And it was gratious cruelty from NATO to destroy the pipes fabrication plant during the first Libyan civil war.

Re: Nordic neighbours release new advice on surviving war

#48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is that the case? I'm not the most knowledgeable, but I was under the impression that Putin is only capable of his level of influence to his KGB background. He definitely seems like a lynchpin to me, but I'd be interested in hearing more.

He's a lynchpin in the sense that he consolidated power, but it isn't as though he's some kind of genius. He's just an extraordinarily successful criminal/gangster. In fact, his playbook of installing a puppet regime and having them "voluntarily" integrate into russia isn't particularly original — the USSR did the same thing with the Baltic states in the 1940s. So, others around him could certainly take the reigns an…

[deleted]

Re: Nordic neighbours release new advice on surviving war

#49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Putin's successor is likely to be someone even less securely in power, and thus far less rational. I don't want to test our luck with what's left of the Soviet nuclear arsenal.

My greatest hope at this point is that much of the Soviet arsenal would fail to function at this point. That might be a pipe dream, but it's what I got.

Can we not bribe enough Russians to dismantle what is left? Visas, fiat, whatever, spend to disable. We’ll come cleanup the warheads later.

https://www.hks.harvard.edu/publications/what-happened-sovie...

https://ahf.nuclearmuseum.org/ahf/history/post-cold-war-worl...

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