The sophistication here is really interesting. And it all got caught because of a fairly obvious perf regression. It reminds of a quote I heard in one of those "real crime" shows: "There's a million ways to get caught for murder, and if you can think of half of them, you're a genius."
Maybe I’m just being naive or too trusting, but this is sort of what I think when folks are getting worried about other backdoors like this in the wild. Is it that they just got unlucky to get caught, or is this type of attack just too hard to pull off in practice? I’d like to think the later. But, we really don’t know.
This may be confirmed by regular vulnerabilities that are found in sometimes many decades old software, since vulnerabilities are much harder to find than backdoors. For example shellshock was 30 year old code, PwnKit 12 and log4j was ~10 ish.
So if backdoors were commonplace, we probably would've found more by now.
Perhaps that's changing now, the xz backdoor will for sure attract many copycats.