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Ask HN: What is the current state of "logical" AI?

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Re: Ask HN: What is the current state of "logical" AI?

#41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean that exposure to a lot of training material yielded in the final set of capabilities. Pigeons and their ancestors were exposed to certain situations throughout evolution that yielded in the formation of neural network and its ability to "count". Which I believe is not actual "one, two, three", but just the amount of signals being activated resulting in a certain output from pigeon. There's a difference in how…

> Aren't animals trained to do all of those things through evolution? Similarly how GPT is trained. If you interpret this question at the most abstract level of "aren't both solutions arrived at through training/trial+error method?" - then the answer is probably yes, they are both arrived at in some conceptually similar manner. But they are two very different underlying systems and we don't really understand the biol…

> aren't both solutions arrived at through training/trial+error method?

But also an underlying neural network type of structure that takes in input, and produces output and changes underneath to then have emerging capabilities (like the counting).

> But they are two very different underlying systems and we don't really understand the biological systems well enough to even be able to truly compare.

Beyond that, it seems that humans (switching to humans from pigeons) have some sort of representation/understanding of the world around us such that even if we produce the same result as ChatGPT to a counting question, the information stored within our systems is not equivalent.

What is the reason to believe that the way pigeons count is anything other than it responding to certain signals

1. Light waves coming as input.

2. Some transformation layers that will abstract the input further.

3. Then pigeons do not really count as people do, but they just respond to the rough feeling of "quantity" or amount of signal received. Because as I understand the studies prove the ability to "count", by them having to just differentiate between counts, and getting rewarded if they are able to do it.

And GPT-Vision can easily do similar things. I can give it an image and ask how many objects are there, and up to an amount it can answer correctly given the image is clear enough.

Similarly pigeons didn't have 100% accuracy in counting. So they are not doing the "one, two, three", they are just seemingly responding to "amount of signal" to me. Similar to how we would be able to tell that certain sound is louder than the other, we are not actually counting the frequencies of the sound. We do not even know what produces the sound. We just decipher that one signal is louder than the other one.

Pigeons after being trained to respond to certain amount of something will associate a strong signal from there with that reward. This seems like what a very basic machine learning algorithm can handle, even more basic or smaller in scale than an LLM. So what makes an animal smarter then?

Re: Ask HN: What is the current state of "logical" AI?

#42

AI is not even close to having true logical reasoning, that's probably decades away. The issue is that cognitive scientists are clueless. Scientists have a good model for associative reasoning , which is the basis of modern neural networks, but we don't have a clue how abstract reasoning actually works. All birds and mammals have advanced abstract reasoning and are far more intelligent than GPT-4: - birds and mammals…

As a current researcher in the field I am perpetually annoyed by the overeagerness of AI research to make fantastical claims. Reading and extracting information from papers is a minefield, and we've learned to always at least A/B test the conclusions of any technique that is supposedly proven to be useful. Even foundational papers about basic concepts in LLMs, for example, can sometimes boil down to "this worked well…

[deleted]

Re: Ask HN: What is the current state of "logical" AI?

#43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Aren't animals trained to do all of those things through evolution? Similarly how GPT is trained. If you interpret this question at the most abstract level of "aren't both solutions arrived at through training/trial+error method?" - then the answer is probably yes, they are both arrived at in some conceptually similar manner. But they are two very different underlying systems and we don't really understand the biol…

> aren't both solutions arrived at through training/trial+error method? But also an underlying neural network type of structure that takes in input, and produces output and changes underneath to then have emerging capabilities (like the counting). > But they are two very different underlying systems and we don't really understand the biological systems well enough to even be able to truly compare. Beyond that, it see…

> But also an underlying neural network type of structure that takes in input, and produces output and changes underneath to then have emerging capabilities (like the counting).

Sure, at an abstract level you could say that, but it requires such a level of abstraction that comparisons don't really mean much. The differences in how the systems function could cause significant differences in underlying functionality and emergent behavior.

For example, some differences when you get into the details:

1-Biological brains have astrocytes that manage the synapses and activity of neurons, constantly and dynamically bringing together different and changing populations of neurons to perform functions (inhibiting some and enhancing activation in others).

2-Neurons aren't the only computational units, astrocytes are also computational units involved in (at minimum based on recent studies) learning and object recognition.

3-Some cells like Purkinje cells learn patterns even when isolated. Something within the cell is learning/storing information about timed patterns of activity and can respond appropriately when the pattern is re-encountered.

4-Dendrites frequently perform preprocessing on signals prior to the signal being forwarded to the neurons soma.

5-Rabbit's olfactory learning and memory is interesting, read up on it if you get a chance. A neuroscientist expert in that field has a theory that matches the data that the network within the olfactory region goes through a minimum-energy type of reconfiguration each time a new scent is detected that is related to some positive or negative. This is interesting from the perspective of how do brains get dynamically reconfigured with learning.

Re: Ask HN: What is the current state of "logical" AI?

#44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> aren't both solutions arrived at through training/trial+error method? But also an underlying neural network type of structure that takes in input, and produces output and changes underneath to then have emerging capabilities (like the counting). > But they are two very different underlying systems and we don't really understand the biological systems well enough to even be able to truly compare. Beyond that, it see…

> But also an underlying neural network type of structure that takes in input, and produces output and changes underneath to then have emerging capabilities (like the counting). Sure, at an abstract level you could say that, but it requires such a level of abstraction that comparisons don't really mean much. The differences in how the systems function could cause significant differences in underlying functionality an…

> 1-Biological brains have astrocytes that manage the synapses and activity of neurons, constantly and dynamically bringing together different and changing populations of neurons to perform functions (inhibiting some and enhancing activation in others).

Wouldn't this be something that could be mirrored or performed even better by just having more layers of neurons in the network. Of course in addition you could have multiple LLMs doing such work together of selecting best optimised systems for a given work. But it seems like astrocytes based on my limited knowledge are more for the reason of maintenance for biological systems which LLMs wouldn't necessarily have to deal with in the first place. So I'm not sure what kind of advantage astrocytes exactly would bring.

> 2-Neurons aren't the only computational units, astrocytes are also computational units involved in (at minimum based on recent studies) learning and object recognition.

But again - what benefits would they provide more over extra layers or LLMs that act together according to an orchestrating LLM?

> 3-Some cells like Purkinje cells learn patterns even when isolated. Something within the cell is learning/storing information about timed patterns of activity and can respond appropriately when the pattern is re-encountered.

But neural networks can in general learn patterns when isolated. It also seems they are more for physical movement, which we should care more about when building robots rather than text based intelligence. Although it seems like for physical movement there's other blockers, like materials. It's all data structures that take input and produce output, which they receive feedback for whether it worked out well and adapt accordingly. I'd assume if LLMs neural networks were given a look, there would be many pockets like the Purkinje cells.

> Dendrites frequently perform preprocessing on signals prior to the signal being forwarded to the neurons soma.

Again it seems like extra layers of neurons. Because I assume with LLMs and other ML tools in addition layers will start to converge on specific set of processing and functionality as they train more. Preprocessing is just a way to make a larger task into more smaller subtasks.

> Rabbit's olfactory learning and memory is interesting, read up on it if you get a chance. A neuroscientist expert in that field has a theory that matches the data that the network within the olfactory region goes through a minimum-energy type of reconfiguration each time a new scent is detected that is related to some positive or negative. This is interesting from the perspective of how do brains get dynamically reconfigured with learning.

I should

But I mean overall, it all seems still the same concept, just orchestrated differently in certain ways and in biological sense it seems it has had to tackle problems that an LLM hasn't really had to, as it has had billions of years to evolve those layers of different systems, but having also a lot of tooling within it to deal with environmental limitations.

So it seems, that given enough computing power, we should be able to make something that is more intelligent than a human, which I do think GPT-4 already is in so many things.

I also am not sure what exactly would GPT-4 have less intelligence in compared to any animal. If you give it the proper input it should be able to perform at least at level of any animal, maybe not with same speed - as animals and as you mentioned in general there are many neural networks within human and animal bodies that correspond only to certain function and are optimised for that specifically.

Re: Ask HN: What is the current state of "logical" AI?

#45

Something that would massively improve language models ability to reason is whiteboarding. Being trained to make, review, improve, and add to notes. While maintaining a consistent goal. I am unaware of anyone who can reason to any serious depth without a paper, computational, or actual version of a whiteboard. This doesn’t seem like a particularly challenging thing to add to current shallow (but now quite wide) reaso…

>Imagine how fast you could think if you had a mentally stable whiteboard that you could perceive as clearly as you can see, and update as fast as you can think the changes.

Thinking about what I am going to draw or write on the whiteboard takes the bulk of time, not the act of drawing or writing. The "update as fast as you can think" part will likely be achieved soon with neural interface, yet it's hard to imagine that this will lead to "superintelligence" of some sort. Same for "mental file cabinets": real or digital files allow to trivially store information, and search systems allow to retrieve it pretty quickly, yet somehow Google didn't make everyone who can use it super smart.

Same goes for vocal speed: coming up with the words to describe the idea and coming up with the idea itself are different things, second being much more hard.

> At this point, IMHO, anyone pessimistic about AI has expectations far behind the exponential curve we are in.

The problem is that the crucial aspect of reasoning is missing in the state of the art models right now. We can make LLMs write to and read from files, but as long as there is a chance that any of its output will be incoherent (and there's a good of this chance now) and there is no mechanism to actually check for errors logically, the whole whiteboard architecture will be a huge demonstration of "garbage in, garbage out".

Re: Ask HN: What is the current state of "logical" AI?

#46

AI is not even close to having true logical reasoning, that's probably decades away. The issue is that cognitive scientists are clueless. Scientists have a good model for associative reasoning , which is the basis of modern neural networks, but we don't have a clue how abstract reasoning actually works. All birds and mammals have advanced abstract reasoning and are far more intelligent than GPT-4: - birds and mammals…

Aren't animals trained to do all of those things through evolution? Similarly how GPT is trained. Also how do you prove that GPT is worse at counting? Because GPT can currently count both apples and oranges.

The biological neural structures that encode behavior are “trained” through evolution, but even the most advanced animals rely mostly on conditioned (= learned during lifetime) reflexes, and not on the ones “hardcoded” evolutionary.

Certainly not much evolutionary “training” in the human brain has happened in the last 3000 years, yet advancement in our understanding of the world has been plentiful. But human thinking (including rationality, mathematics, etc.) is on a different level to even learned animalistic behavior. Some great apes were taught language and even showed basic abstract conceptual thinking, but were never able to reach the level of 3-5 years old human kids.

The problem with GPTs and other statistical models is that they can learn incredibly complex patterns in anything we can express as bytes, but not learn the simplest concepts of maths despite being trained on the whole corpus of mathematical texts available on the internet, while kids need classes that can be covered in a single textbook to understand them, and adults may need just a textbook for this.

Re: Ask HN: What is the current state of "logical" AI?

#47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> But also an underlying neural network type of structure that takes in input, and produces output and changes underneath to then have emerging capabilities (like the counting). Sure, at an abstract level you could say that, but it requires such a level of abstraction that comparisons don't really mean much. The differences in how the systems function could cause significant differences in underlying functionality an…

> 1-Biological brains have astrocytes that manage the synapses and activity of neurons, constantly and dynamically bringing together different and changing populations of neurons to perform functions (inhibiting some and enhancing activation in others). Wouldn't this be something that could be mirrored or performed even better by just having more layers of neurons in the network. Of course in addition you could have…

> Wouldn't this be something that could be mirrored or performed even better by just having more layers of neurons in the network. Of course in addition you could have multiple LLMs doing such work together of selecting best optimised systems for a given work. But it seems like astrocytes based on my limited knowledge are more for the reason of maintenance for biological systems which LLMs wouldn't necessarily have to deal with in the first place. So I'm not sure what kind of advantage astrocytes exactly would bring.

Regarding: astrocytes and cell maintenance vs computation: The picture is getting more complex at a steady pace as scientists learn more. Now they know that astrocytes wrap around synapses (the "tripartite" synapse), detect and emit neurotransmitters and gliotransmitters, have internal calcium signaling and are involved in learning and object recognition.

Regarding: Wouldn't this be...more layers of neurons...": Possibly, maybe probably. Those examples didn't really describe any functional capability, they just described how different our machine is from many people's understanding of how our brain works, which helps illustrate why comparisons to something like ChatGPT are difficult.

> So it seems, that given enough computing power, we should be able to make something that is more intelligent than a human, which I do think GPT-4 already is in so many things.

When you say "enough computing power" do you mean just expanding ChatGPT's number of parameters and training set? I don't personally think that will do the job, I think the key is identifying and providing the specific functional capabilities that our brain utilizes. And I think that requires an approach that is different than just expanding the size of the network and training.

> I also am not sure what exactly would GPT-4 have less intelligence in compared to any animal.

Do you mean ChatGPT's current capabilities? If so, animals model the 4D environment they exist in, ChatGPT is obviously limited in areas like that. Those internal models can be key for some types of knowledge.

Re: Ask HN: What is the current state of "logical" AI?

#48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> 1-Biological brains have astrocytes that manage the synapses and activity of neurons, constantly and dynamically bringing together different and changing populations of neurons to perform functions (inhibiting some and enhancing activation in others). Wouldn't this be something that could be mirrored or performed even better by just having more layers of neurons in the network. Of course in addition you could have…

> Wouldn't this be something that could be mirrored or performed even better by just having more layers of neurons in the network. Of course in addition you could have multiple LLMs doing such work together of selecting best optimised systems for a given work. But it seems like astrocytes based on my limited knowledge are more for the reason of maintenance for biological systems which LLMs wouldn't necessarily have t…

> The picture is getting more complex at a steady pace

I'm sorry, but it just still seems the same concept to me. Am I misunderstanding something? It all seems to be about having some sort of signal travelling through various pathways where there's a mechanism to reward/punish the signal which will get adapted by whichever method of storage.

It would be just a matter of having the proper weights and pathways for the signal to travel to yield desired results. The issues will be with performance as in how fast we get results from the signal, but non the less the concept seems the same to me.

> Possibly, maybe probably. Those examples didn't really describe any functional capability, they just described how different our machine is from many people's understanding of how our brain works, which helps illustrate why comparisons to something like ChatGPT are difficult.

It's just that it all seems conceptually very similar to me. And when I try to reason how my own intuition and reasoning works it all makes sense. Fast and slow thinking make sense as well. Fast thinking or "intuition" is one that will give you the gut feeling about something, which I believe is case for animals as well as for machine learning algorithms. The "model" of the World, both I and LLMs have. The model is in some way represented in the connections and weights of the neurons and other things. Slow thinking is kind of firstly brainstorming ways to solve a problem - which LLMs can do, and then bruteforcing them, coming back back, solving the maze. LLMs may not have perfected this completely yet, but it doesn't honestly seem that far away to me, and I wouldn't be surprised if it was just a problem of scaling up the amount of neurons/layers, etc.

> When you say "enough computing power" do you mean just expanding ChatGPT's number of parameters and training set? I don't personally think that will do the job

I can't guarantee it yet, but seeing the difference between e.g. gpt-4 and gpt-3.5 and open-source models, then there seems to be clear different in power of understanding instructions and coming up with very impressive ways to solve problems in my view. So considering I haven't seen what is next level of gpt-4 yet, it's hard for me to believe there wouldn't be a significant jump in performance when increasing magnitude - unless someone has already tried it and it was proven not to matter.

I will be able to have a more accurate opinion I suppose when I see what gpt-5 can do. Because to me gpt-3.5 is quite useless, but gpt-4 is amazing for so many use-cases which I've tried. And in my view the neurons and the connections must represent some form of modelling of the World to be able to explain those results.

If expanding it isn't enough, then I would still believe now - after having seen gpt-4, that if we try enough different arrangements we can reach human level intelligence.

> Do you mean ChatGPT's current capabilities? If so, animals model the 4D environment they exist in, ChatGPT is obviously limited in areas like that. Those internal models can be key for some types of knowledge.

Can you give an example of a problem that animal can solve that GPT couldn't?

Because GPT can handle 2d, 3d, I'm not sure what you mean by 4d - is that including time, like video? In this case we could try a loop where we ask for actions from GPT after presenting an image, and keeping it in feedback loop. It could prove the ability to reason, except for of course performance side of it. But performance we can solve later, at the moment I would just like to see whether it can perform at least at animal level even if not as quickly.

Re: Ask HN: What is the current state of "logical" AI?

#49
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Aren't animals trained to do all of those things through evolution? Similarly how GPT is trained. Also how do you prove that GPT is worse at counting? Because GPT can currently count both apples and oranges.

The biological neural structures that encode behavior are “trained” through evolution, but even the most advanced animals rely mostly on conditioned (= learned during lifetime) reflexes, and not on the ones “hardcoded” evolutionary. Certainly not much evolutionary “training” in the human brain has happened in the last 3000 years, yet advancement in our understanding of the world has been plentiful. But human thinking…

The claim about those models being "statistical". Why wouldn't you consider human brain to be statistical or animal's brains as "statistical"?

Because in the end human brains as well as any brains it seems they could be thought of statistical results from long periods of training and producing output from input. Where am I wrong?

I assume by statistical you mean that the ending result of state of neurons can be represented as numbers and pathways leading through these as probabilities of going through a certain pathway - but it occurs to me that same is with human brain, no?

Re: Ask HN: What is the current state of "logical" AI?

#50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Wouldn't this be something that could be mirrored or performed even better by just having more layers of neurons in the network. Of course in addition you could have multiple LLMs doing such work together of selecting best optimised systems for a given work. But it seems like astrocytes based on my limited knowledge are more for the reason of maintenance for biological systems which LLMs wouldn't necessarily have t…

> The picture is getting more complex at a steady pace I'm sorry, but it just still seems the same concept to me. Am I misunderstanding something? It all seems to be about having some sort of signal travelling through various pathways where there's a mechanism to reward/punish the signal which will get adapted by whichever method of storage. It would be just a matter of having the proper weights and pathways for the…

> I'm sorry, but it just still seems the same concept to me. Am I misunderstanding something? It all seems to be about having some sort of signal travelling through various pathways where there's a mechanism to reward/punish the signal which will get adapted by whichever method of storage.

When I said the picture is getting more complex it was in response to your statement that you thought astrocytes were just for cell maintenance, not computation, so I was providing some details about how those cells are involved in computation (not just cell maint).

> I can't guarantee it yet, but seeing the difference between e.g. gpt-4 and gpt-3.5 and open-source models, then there seems to be clear different in power of understanding instructions and coming up with very impressive ways to solve problems in my view.

While I think ChatGPT is very impressive, I don't think it has "understanding", otherwise it wouldn't happily explain to you how to calculate the 4th side of a triangle. A human knows that a triangle has 3 sides and questions about the 4th side is inconsistent with his/her internal model. ChatGPT just has statistical data about the relationship between words, which is why it told me how to calculate that 4th side.

> I'm not sure what you mean by 4d - is that including time, like video?

Yes, time, but not necessarily video. Time is incorporated into the patterns we detect and the internal models we build.

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