Earlier quoted context omitted.
The lunch is ate.
IMO the jury is still out. Twitter was always more than just a UI format, Twitter-shaped text posts with my Instagram friends doesn’t scratch the same itch.
There just isn't enough room in this market for contributors to post on this many text-based apps. And so consolidation will happen.
1) Threads will dominate. Mastodon will be like remora fish.
2) Twitter will be the home for "freedom of speech", Crypto bros, OnlyFans girls.
3) Truth Social, Gab, Post, Blueksy, Spoutible etc will die.