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WeWork has frittered away $46.7B in value as the stock sinks below ¢50

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41–50 of 274 posts

Re: WeWork has frittered away $46.7B in value as the stock sinks below ¢50

#41
post #25
post #3

Was anything of value lost? The idea, as I understand it, was co-working spaces. They were there to optimize that, extracting the maximum profit in the way they leased stuff. Ok, fine. Is co-working still going on? Has something desirable been lost? Were they creating any value that couldn't be recreated by someone else. I can't care one way or another about fake valuation of market cap. But I do care if work is gett…

One could speculate whether things would have turned out differently if Covid and the raise of the home office had not happened? If Covid emptied out WeWork's spaces like it cleared out corporate HQs, companies probably just dropped all those contracts and stopped paying WeWork?

I can also imagine individuals and very small companies that might have defaulted to co-working spaces pre-pandemic who have been in home offices for a few years, are used to working that way now, and just default to keeping things the way they are. (There's also very little call for companies to lease overflow space at the moment.)

I'm sure co-working is still going on but I work at a fairly remote company and I don't know the last time I've been on a call with someone in a co-working space.

Re: WeWork has frittered away $46.7B in value as the stock sinks below ¢50

#43
post #5

Yes its a huge value loss but isn't this part of the VC model - invest in some companies knowing most will probably whither away in one way or another but a few will hit it out the park? The article mentions Benchmark and Insight have done ok in their other investments. Softbank though is a bit of an outlier - maybe it was a one-hit-wonder with Alibaba. They don't appear to have invested like other VCs at any rate.

One new theory is that the new VC model, as postulated in Venture Predation [0] is to create the illusion of potential to success so that you can dump your shares on the market at a sky high price. After that, VCs don't care if the company loses $50B in value, they already had their exit. [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36003096

I don’t even think that is new, it is the oldest play in the book. We see it in crypto and stock IPOs constantly. Sell early tiers of shares to insiders at very discounted rates, dump on the plebs when it is listed on exchanges at several multiples of the price you bought in at that think they are getting a good deal early. You bought shares at 0.25 and it launches at $10 and keeps going down to $5, $2 but you just don’t care because even at the lows you are 4x’ing your money.

People say no value was lost with WeWork but that is very untrue. Hard working, misguided people and funds bought WeWork stock from the SPAC and let Adam Neumann turn lies and smokescreens into real cash. He’s no different than Elizabeth Holmes from Theranos except her lies involved something that can be proved was incorrect since it was medical testing. His real estate ideas were equally wrong and impossible. His net worth is now 2.2 billion.

Re: WeWork has frittered away $46.7B in value as the stock sinks below ¢50

#44
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean if it used to be a very large pile of US currency then yes, it definitely had a lot of value that was apparently destroyed.

Losing money doesn't destroy wealth. It just transfers it from one place to another.

If wealth is not destroyed but transferred, where does it go after an earthquake?

Re: WeWork has frittered away $46.7B in value as the stock sinks below ¢50

#45
post #3

Was anything of value lost? The idea, as I understand it, was co-working spaces. They were there to optimize that, extracting the maximum profit in the way they leased stuff. Ok, fine. Is co-working still going on? Has something desirable been lost? Were they creating any value that couldn't be recreated by someone else. I can't care one way or another about fake valuation of market cap. But I do care if work is gett…

It was poorly allocated capital. Akin to building an expensive bridge to nowhere. Sometimes there are silver linings to those situations - eg dark fibre after the dot com crash. Here there will be discounted coworking space. Regardless, failure in the market demonstrates that there are better things the effort could have gone to as far as we know at this moment. Therefore it's justified to say that value was lost.

Re: WeWork has frittered away $46.7B in value as the stock sinks below ¢50

#46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Taxi services" was never going to be a silicon valley style success, because it just can't scale that way. "Food delivery services" was never going to be a silicon valley style success, because it just can't scale that way.

Twitter and YouTube don’t make profits, yet are still wildly successful. With a high enough amounts of hype, stock price, and money, a company can stave off reality in seeming perpetuity.

Wasn't Twitter mostly profitable, except for some hugebsttlement with the FCC (?)? Until recently that is.

Re: WeWork has frittered away $46.7B in value as the stock sinks below ¢50

#47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Taxi services" was never going to be a silicon valley style success, because it just can't scale that way. "Food delivery services" was never going to be a silicon valley style success, because it just can't scale that way.

Uber has made losses every year, and only works because it is supported by VC money: https://fourweekmba.com/uber-losses-by-year/ Deliveroo, likewise: https://www.businessofapps.com/data/deliveroo-statistics/ These are not successful companies, except insofar as they are very successful at handing out investor money.

I feel like Uber's losses are deliberate at this point, like Amazon's lack of profit.

If you look up their losses per journey it's something completely trivial like 50c. Uber's customers are not that price sensitive so if they really did want to make a profit they could probably just raise their prices a little bit.

Re: WeWork has frittered away $46.7B in value as the stock sinks below ¢50

#48
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not really. For example there’s a pretty noticeable difference in the amount of wealth a society will have if they choose to build 890,721 intricate snowmen on the island of Manhattan instead of housing, power plants, and infrastructure.

I don’t know, I’d say those snow sculptors are pretty wealthy there!

In the absence of some sort of external means of support they are dead.

Re: WeWork has frittered away $46.7B in value as the stock sinks below ¢50

#49
post #5

Yes its a huge value loss but isn't this part of the VC model - invest in some companies knowing most will probably whither away in one way or another but a few will hit it out the park? The article mentions Benchmark and Insight have done ok in their other investments. Softbank though is a bit of an outlier - maybe it was a one-hit-wonder with Alibaba. They don't appear to have invested like other VCs at any rate.

One new theory is that the new VC model, as postulated in Venture Predation [0] is to create the illusion of potential to success so that you can dump your shares on the market at a sky high price. After that, VCs don't care if the company loses $50B in value, they already had their exit. [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36003096

I was once associated with a company that did this exact thing. The scam ran for about two years.

Company is long gone. Founders and select investors for rich. Everyone else was left wondering how to feed their families.

Re: WeWork has frittered away $46.7B in value as the stock sinks below ¢50

#50

I think the market cap is less than the amount Adam walked away with.

Elizabeth Holmes should've picked an easier industry than healthcare considering Adam Neumann was selling hot air and made out like a fucking thief.
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