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CFTC Orders JPMorgan to Pay Record $920M for Spoofing and Manipulation (2020)

cftc.gov

41–50 of 200 posts

Re: CFTC Orders JPMorgan to Pay Record $920M for Spoofing and Manipulation (2020)

#41

For the uninitiated, "spoofing" does NOT mean what you think it might, e.g. spoofing network packets or making fake trade records. "Spoofing" simply means placing orders on the exchange orderbook which one supposedly does not intend to execute. I've never understood this, because any bid/ask order on the orderbook CAN be executed against, until it is canceled. If they were "flashing" large bids/asks that were being i…

Ideally the less manipulation you have the better working market. So, it's good that spoofing is illegal. Their only purpose here was to: "Through these spoof orders, the traders intentionally sent false signals of supply or demand designed to deceive market participants into executing against other orders they wanted filled. " That being said, algos could have hit the large spoof bid, but imagine if it was legitimat…

> Ideally the less manipulation you have the better working market. So, it's good that spoofing is illegal.

I think this is debatable. There's an ideal where no one spoofs and market prices are accurate at all times. But it's very difficult to enforce perfectly - there is no bright line test for whether you wanted a trade to execute or not, when you placed it. So in practice you are just always partially enforcing it and keeping the manipulation not too obvious.

The other possible solution is that anyone can place any order of any type any time they like, for any reason. The constraint is that if you place an order and it trades, you have to honour it. This leads to a situation where no one can trust the order book, but traded prices do reflect market truth - because of course no one wants to trade at an inaccurate price (not in their favour). The plus side is that it's much easier to make the system work. You don't have to run an arms race with people using sophisticated manipulation which can't yet be detected or prevented.

It's not clear whether order books giving (somewhat) accurate information is worth both the direct costs of enforcement and the potential unfairness of some spoofing rules being enforced and some not. It might be - but it's not clear that it definitely is.

Re: CFTC Orders JPMorgan to Pay Record $920M for Spoofing and Manipulation (2020)

#44

As a trader, that does look really bad. These people know that the market looks at the orders to guess the state of supply and demand. The penalty looks big but it's over an 8 year period. It's not exactly a secret that some market participants work out some kind of imbalance measure, and of you've ever implemented a system like that, like I've done, it will have crossed your mind that you could shove a load of order…

I often wonder: wouldn't fines paid as a percentage of stock be a better deterrent? Taking stock off shareholders changes the fraud equation from risk of fine vs the profitability upside, to shareholder's losing real value.

That's the role of shareholders AFAICT, to hold their board and the company accountable. Fail to do so and lose your shareholding seems the right direct risk.

The fines could also be a lot larger, because there is minimal risk of bankrupting a business from diluting existing shareholders. A 1% shareholder hit would be $4B at current market cap. Make it 5% and really make shareholders pay.

Re: CFTC Orders JPMorgan to Pay Record $920M for Spoofing and Manipulation (2020)

#47

For the uninitiated, "spoofing" does NOT mean what you think it might, e.g. spoofing network packets or making fake trade records. "Spoofing" simply means placing orders on the exchange orderbook which one supposedly does not intend to execute. I've never understood this, because any bid/ask order on the orderbook CAN be executed against, until it is canceled. If they were "flashing" large bids/asks that were being i…

At any given time, the 'order book' will have offers and bids at given prices and at given volumes. There can be imbalances in the order book.

If there are offers starting from 100,1 and bids starting from 99,9 but there is only one offer below 105 and many bids at 99,0 that is a valuable signal. From a 'random walk' perspective you would expect the price to rise quite soon. By spoofing you can either create this imbalance to get people to falsely trade on the imbalance, or you can hide this imbalance once you notice it so only you get to profit off the signal.

Hence, spoofing can be manipulative even if being a decent distance away from the current price, hence not running that much risk of the orders being filled.

Re: CFTC Orders JPMorgan to Pay Record $920M for Spoofing and Manipulation (2020)

#48

“This action sends the important message that if you engage in manipulative and deceptive trade practices you will be caught, punished, and forced to give up your ill-gotten gains,” added Division of Enforcement Director James McDonald. No, Mr McDonald, it's quite the opposite. The important message is that if your organization can keep the profits from criminal activities higher than the penalties, they can perpetua…

The kingpin got its share.

Re: CFTC Orders JPMorgan to Pay Record $920M for Spoofing and Manipulation (2020)

#49

As a trader, that does look really bad. These people know that the market looks at the orders to guess the state of supply and demand. The penalty looks big but it's over an 8 year period. It's not exactly a secret that some market participants work out some kind of imbalance measure, and of you've ever implemented a system like that, like I've done, it will have crossed your mind that you could shove a load of order…

I often wonder: wouldn't fines paid as a percentage of stock be a better deterrent? Taking stock off shareholders changes the fraud equation from risk of fine vs the profitability upside, to shareholder's losing real value. That's the role of shareholders AFAICT, to hold their board and the company accountable. Fail to do so and lose your shareholding seems the right direct risk. The fines could also be a lot larger,…

This would encourage the behavior because if there is less stock of the company held by anyone it increases the price .

Shareholders can change corporate behavior lik Carl Icahn but here it seems like it was very opaque to even monitor, the other way they can enforce good behavior is to sell the stock.

Re: CFTC Orders JPMorgan to Pay Record $920M for Spoofing and Manipulation (2020)

#50

For the uninitiated, "spoofing" does NOT mean what you think it might, e.g. spoofing network packets or making fake trade records. "Spoofing" simply means placing orders on the exchange orderbook which one supposedly does not intend to execute. I've never understood this, because any bid/ask order on the orderbook CAN be executed against, until it is canceled. If they were "flashing" large bids/asks that were being i…

How would they be left holding the bag?

If the going rate for a bar of chocolate is $1, and i add 100s of listings for a bar of chocolate at $1.10, then if you buy my spoof chocolate I’ll have earned 10 cents in arbitrage.

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