"experts" - much like all the liberal fucktarded "covid experts"
Experts from a world that no longer exists
41–50 of 267 posts
Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists
#42What I found interesting is that the period for reappearance of “failed ideas” is roughly the length of a career. Coincidence or due to any real effect I don’t know. I wrote a little about it here: “Don’t be discouraged by the failure of technology or approaches of the past. If the problem is still important after all this time then it’s a problem worth solving. Don’t avoid unsuccessful solutions. Avoid insignificant…
I went through grad school and I saw how change comes about one funeral at a time. A big shot professor that has made their name with their pet theory/work will fiercely defend it against competing ideas, and people will defer to their expertise. It's not scientific, it's egotistic. They are a wall against progress that gets removed upon death. These professors can also create a dogma through their students who also…
Exactly the reason why I left academia. Egos competing for space, money or talk-time to defend themselves not the progress of science.
Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists
#43"experts" - much like all the liberal fucktarded "covid experts"
Are you five
Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists
#44Tl;dr - Old experts cannot distinguish between historical/economic cycles vs. Paradigm shifts that break those cycles. Nice theory, but adjust your scale over a thousand years and innovation has yet to usurp megacycles of boom/bust, war/peace or the rise/fall of "empires". We may be better informed than we were in the 1700's, but we are no less partisan in our views, speculative in our ventures, nor vulnerable to geo…
> Yes, Tesla _may_ be an exception
Tesla is not the exception, matter of fact it's the poster child of a world where the stock market going up becomes the goal pf both the elected and non-elected branches of the government and not an agnostic measurement tool to check how American public companies are faring.
Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists
#45[flagged]
Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists
#46This article offers nothing of value IMO... because what it's saying is basically that experts will, at some point, fail to see that circumstances have changed and advice that was good in their own "time" is no longer good... however, that's an obvious remark: as another commenter pointed out, people almost always tend to think "this time it will be different" and choose to ignore the experts... I would say more usef…
This article strikes me as the height of overconfidence tbh. The experts are frequently wrong but they're also usually right, and just blindly ignoring them usually leads to easily avoidable mistakes. You weigh the opinions of experts and then discount them when they're wrong, but only when you're really sure
Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists
#47Is Fauci still considered an expert since he likes to rip vocal cords out of puppies and torture them to death? Just asking...
Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists
#48What I found interesting is that the period for reappearance of “failed ideas” is roughly the length of a career. Coincidence or due to any real effect I don’t know. I wrote a little about it here: “Don’t be discouraged by the failure of technology or approaches of the past. If the problem is still important after all this time then it’s a problem worth solving. Don’t avoid unsuccessful solutions. Avoid insignificant…
Wow, that's incredibly well expressed. I bookmarked it - I rarely do that too.
Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists
#49At first I was a little wary of this, because it had the sort of smooth, business-school-y tone that makes you worry someone’s trying to sell you something.
But I after reading I thought this was genuinely insightful. Particularly politically.
I think it helps give me some perspective to know that different smart, well-intentioned people have believed wholeheartedly in entirely contradictory positions in their lifetimes.
Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists
#50I enjoyed this so much. The stories about Ford were terrific.
A lot of "wisdom" is contextual and gets mistaken for universal. We learn "X works" and, having been burned by everything else we tried, jealously guard the value of X as very special and precious.
Scars obtained in the process of obtaining expertise are likely an underrecognized factor in experts becoming ossified in their opinions. They learned that everything else bites and this doesn't. They don't want to get bit again.
Then conditions change and now nothing is guaranteed to work like it did before. It likely seems unfair to find their hard won wisdom is now irrelevant baggage.