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Are pixie fairies behind Bitcoin's latest bubble?

amycastor.com

41–50 of 115 posts

Re: Are pixie fairies behind Bitcoin's latest bubble?

#41
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But they are not backed by real USD, and Tether themselves have admitted as much: their FAQ now states simply that it's backed up by "Tether's reserves", which apparently consist of other cryptocurrencies.

Please link your sources, their reserves as I understand may in some part consist of unspecified collateral, even if they are crypto which I seriously doubt due to its volatility the fact remains that Tether is trusted enough to be supported by the majority of major exchanges. The imminent demise of tether has been predicted for many years now. You can short tether at Kraken or choose to use one of the many other USD…

This isn't even new news: Tether changed their terms last year, and admitted/claimed to the NY Attorney General that they only have 74% cash last year.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/changes-to-tethers-terms-of-r...

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/holders-are-not-at-risk...

Note that all of this is over a year before the Tether printer kicked into overdrive around April this year and started inflating from $4B to the current $18B+.

Re: Are pixie fairies behind Bitcoin's latest bubble?

#42
post #37
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The point it it's not supposed to be. You know, because people wanted to opt out of that sort of system, where governments can manipulate money supply, into a peer-to-peer system that was free of manipulation and that sort of money printing? Instead they've opted into a system where a small group operate the printer for their own ends, with no oversight.

Tether is meant to be pegged to the dollar. It is supposed to be printed in high quantities if high quantities of tethers are necessary to maintain the peg. Otherwise the peg would break and one tether would be worth more than one dollar. Am I just being thick? It seems like the article has cause and effect the wrong way around. Demand for bitcoin would be expected to drive creation of tethers not the other way aroun…

I just looked at coinbase's about page they have 35MM users now. Bitcoin is going through s-curve adoption like the internet. Fools on here look for conspiracy theories because they ignore demand increasing, for whatever reason.

Re: Are pixie fairies behind Bitcoin's latest bubble?

#43
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But they are not backed by real USD, and Tether themselves have admitted as much: their FAQ now states simply that it's backed up by "Tether's reserves", which apparently consist of other cryptocurrencies.

Please link your sources, their reserves as I understand may in some part consist of unspecified collateral, even if they are crypto which I seriously doubt due to its volatility the fact remains that Tether is trusted enough to be supported by the majority of major exchanges. The imminent demise of tether has been predicted for many years now. You can short tether at Kraken or choose to use one of the many other USD…

> The imminent demise of tether has been predicted for many years now.

One thing that has stuck out at me from a white-collar crime reading spree is the amount of time that passes between something widely being seen as fraud by those who looked closely and when the walls actually start crumbling down. Enron, Madoff, Theranos, etc. all had people ringing the alarms long before the music stopped.

Re: Are pixie fairies behind Bitcoin's latest bubble?

#44
post #2

I don't really get it (as always if tether is involved). If someone is printing tether to buy bitcoin, then who is selling bitcoin for tether and keeps the tether? I mean, if I had substantial bitcoin, I'd not sell it for tether. Maybe I'd use tether as some intermediate currency, but in the end I'd either buy stocks or real estate or yachts. Or I would keep the BTC. But I would never sell BTC and keep tether. Who do…

Tether is literally a short on bitcoin that is quick and cheap to transact in, it is keeping the price down rather than up. There's only 21 million bitcoins, but there's infinite tether. People really need to take a step back from mindlessly repeating things and think about what that actually means. Go do a search of "tether site:news.ycombinator.com" to see how laughably wrong HN has been for the last 4 years on thi…

What conspiracy theories dude? We said it wasn't backed by dollars, lo and behold, $850 million or 30% of the entire backing amount at the time had been siezed by authorities for being the proceeds of money laundering. It was all held by CryptoCapital, give them a quick Google lol.

We said it wasn't backed by dollars, they admitted it wasn't backed by dollars and instead crypto and swaps, and other ious. We said you couldn't redeem them, you can't. We said they didn't have a banking relationship, they don't and didn't. Crypto advocates keep pretending none of this is real because number go up.

The fact it's still around doesn't invalidate a single thing anyone's said and if anything time showed this all to be quite accurate.

Re: Are pixie fairies behind Bitcoin's latest bubble?

#45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've been doing some small-scale arbitrage trading in Uniswap and other Defi exchanges. As part of that I hold a fair bit of Tether, USDC and other stable coins. The reason being is that I want to keep my capital pegged to the dollar, but need something that's native to the Ethereum blockchain. If there's a trading opportunity, I need the ability to swap Tether for [X] token in a single blockchain transaction. There'…

It's likely that most/all of that stablecoin was amassed by selling other crypto, which is zero sum. It's extremely unlikely that people took fiat currencies, and bought USDT directly from Tether, which is what they claim is happening. No sane person would hold USDT over USD.

Unfortunately there's this story https://www.theblockcrypto.com/post/48857/former-head-of-cir... which says that legit investors wanted to buy on Bitfinex instead of a legit exchange so they had to first buy Tethers.

Re: Are pixie fairies behind Bitcoin's latest bubble?

#46
post #2

I don't really get it (as always if tether is involved). If someone is printing tether to buy bitcoin, then who is selling bitcoin for tether and keeps the tether? I mean, if I had substantial bitcoin, I'd not sell it for tether. Maybe I'd use tether as some intermediate currency, but in the end I'd either buy stocks or real estate or yachts. Or I would keep the BTC. But I would never sell BTC and keep tether. Who do…

My understanding is that tether is printed (by Tether the company) and used to buy btc at just a couple exchanges (one is bitfinex, I forget the others) who are in on it. This initial purchase drives btc-usdt up, arbitrage bots then buy btc-usd so that it matches btc-usdt. The media and people notice the price increase and jump into btc-usd because it's going up, narratives are created to justify why the price went u…

Bitfinex is one of the largest exchanges, and Tether is also used by many other exchanges like Binance.

It's not implausible to think that there's $13B of inflows to BTC this year.

This whole Tether speculation / hit piece is basically people thinking "It's implausible people want to buy bitcoin on the largest bitcoin exchanges".

Re: Are pixie fairies behind Bitcoin's latest bubble?

#47
post #2

I don't really get it (as always if tether is involved). If someone is printing tether to buy bitcoin, then who is selling bitcoin for tether and keeps the tether? I mean, if I had substantial bitcoin, I'd not sell it for tether. Maybe I'd use tether as some intermediate currency, but in the end I'd either buy stocks or real estate or yachts. Or I would keep the BTC. But I would never sell BTC and keep tether. Who do…

Here's a study that performs analysis showing that tether prints the coins and someone at bitfinex uses them to buy BTC at optimal points to support it's price. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/jofi.12903

This can be explained as whales/institutions telling BFX "I want $100M of BTC" and a human OTC trader at BFX executing it optimally.

Re: Are pixie fairies behind Bitcoin's latest bubble?

#48

I'm getting real sick of repeatedly hearing people call increases in the Bitcoin price "bubbles".

Well when it stops catastrophically collapsing after each major price rise, like...you know...a bubble, then we'll stop calling it that.

Re: Are pixie fairies behind Bitcoin's latest bubble?

#49
post #37
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The point it it's not supposed to be. You know, because people wanted to opt out of that sort of system, where governments can manipulate money supply, into a peer-to-peer system that was free of manipulation and that sort of money printing? Instead they've opted into a system where a small group operate the printer for their own ends, with no oversight.

Tether is meant to be pegged to the dollar. It is supposed to be printed in high quantities if high quantities of tethers are necessary to maintain the peg. Otherwise the peg would break and one tether would be worth more than one dollar. Am I just being thick? It seems like the article has cause and effect the wrong way around. Demand for bitcoin would be expected to drive creation of tethers not the other way aroun…

Yeah, you're missing the difference between pegging and backing. Tether is supposed to be backed 1-for-1 by USD in a bank account and thus new Tethers should only be created when money is deposited into that account.

Re: Are pixie fairies behind Bitcoin's latest bubble?

#50
post #37
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The point it it's not supposed to be. You know, because people wanted to opt out of that sort of system, where governments can manipulate money supply, into a peer-to-peer system that was free of manipulation and that sort of money printing? Instead they've opted into a system where a small group operate the printer for their own ends, with no oversight.

Tether is meant to be pegged to the dollar. It is supposed to be printed in high quantities if high quantities of tethers are necessary to maintain the peg. Otherwise the peg would break and one tether would be worth more than one dollar. Am I just being thick? It seems like the article has cause and effect the wrong way around. Demand for bitcoin would be expected to drive creation of tethers not the other way aroun…

If you assume Tether is on the up and up: yes, this is absolutely correct. This also means there are $17B USD in a bank account somewhere, and you can go hand $1M in Tether in and get $1M USD back. Problem is, nobody has ever managed to do that.

If, however, you assume Tether is engaged in a conspiracy with crypto exchanges: Tether prints USDT and buys BTC from a friendly exchange, demand for BTC will go up when people see the difference between USDT-BTC and USD-BTC and try to arbitrage. Tether then sells BTC for USD.

Which is more likely? You can be the judge, but the fact that "exiting USDT for dollars" typically means "selling it for USDC" makes me pretty pessimistic about the first.

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