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Super-spreading wedding demonstrates Covid-19 risk posed by holiday gatherings

latimes.com

41–50 of 415 posts

Re: Super-spreading wedding demonstrates Covid-19 risk posed by holiday gatherings

#41
Isn't the long-term care facility link a little implausible? 4 days seems like a bit short for the child to be infected, incubate to the point of being contagious, pass it to the parent, then incubate again to the parent being symptomatic.

Regardless, the wedding and reception behavior was entirely irresponsible. But the link between it and the long-term care cases seems tenuous, at best.

Re: Super-spreading wedding demonstrates Covid-19 risk posed by holiday gatherings

#42
post #28

According to the article, the result was 177 infections and 7 deaths. That's almost %4 death rate, way over the official US death rate. Any idea why would that be?

"Two-thirds of the facility’s residents were at least 75 years old, and 88% of them had at least one preexisting medical condition that could have made them more vulnerable to the virus.

Six of the residents ultimately died of COVID-19. All of them were at least 60 years old and had at least one preexisting medical condition."

6/7 deaths were from elderly people with pre-existing conditions in a long-term care facility.

Re: Super-spreading wedding demonstrates Covid-19 risk posed by holiday gatherings

#43
post #20

What are HNers planning to do for the holidays? We’re seriously considering not seeing anyone, not even parents, even though my SO has had COVID already (she works at a hospital and contracted it from COVID patients). Stories like this are the main reason. Even if no one at the party gets very ill, the chance of further spreading it to others seriously scares me.

we just cancelled a trip to Chicago to see my BIL for Thanksgiving. My mom and aunt both have covid ( mild case ) so West Texas is a no go as well. My sister was exposed but her and her husband tested negative. However, I think it will just be me, wife, and kids for Thanksgiving and Christmas.

Pretty disappointing, Thanksgiving is my favorite holiday for seeing family.

Re: Super-spreading wedding demonstrates Covid-19 risk posed by holiday gatherings

#44
post #29

I wonder if we could implement some sort of cap and trade system to make everyone happy? Everyone could be rationed a certain number of gatherings per month and then each person would be free to choose how to use them. They could use one to see family during the holidays, they could go to a protest, go to a wedding, celebrate in the street, go to a movie, etc. We could even track them as discrete tokens, or "social c…

How does that help? Stay at home for as many events as you want, going to one 'super-spreading wedding' is still no bueno.

But if you had to spend all of your social credits in order to go to the wedding now you will be unable to go anywhere else to further spread it.

Re: Super-spreading wedding demonstrates Covid-19 risk posed by holiday gatherings

#45

I wonder if we could implement some sort of cap and trade system to make everyone happy? Everyone could be rationed a certain number of gatherings per month and then each person would be free to choose how to use them. They could use one to see family during the holidays, they could go to a protest, go to a wedding, celebrate in the street, go to a movie, etc. We could even track them as discrete tokens, or "social c…

I can't believe people are seriously suggesting things like this over THIS particular virus.

Re: Super-spreading wedding demonstrates Covid-19 risk posed by holiday gatherings

#46
post #3

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's faker than a 3 dollar bill. Many, many, of the "signatures" have been proven to be people that don't even exist. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/coronavirus-... https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/27/facebook-p...

Are you trying to say the authors don’t exist because some troll entered a fake name on their website? Dr. Martin Kulldorff, professor of medicine at Harvard University, a biostatistician, and epidemiologist with expertise in detecting and monitoring infectious disease outbreaks and vaccine safety evaluations. Dr. Sunetra Gupta, professor at Oxford University, an epidemiologist with expertise in immunology, vaccine d…

The great barrington declaration is undoubtedly not fake, in that the core people who put their names to it have not said they didn't.

The volume of support is of course dubious as the only requirement for saying that a "medical professional" was signing it, was a check box on a web form.

the challenge I see with the declaration's approach is that (AFAIK) it skips over the hard part of how "Focused Protection." is actually implemented.

It's super easy to write a web page saying that we should use "focused protection" to avoid heavy loss of life to Covid, and much much harder to design and implement a workable strategy.

This article actually demonstrates that problem. A worker at a care facility spread it to a set of vulnerable people. How would "focused protection" have stopped that? There may be an answer, but I don't see that information from the Great Barrington declaration.

Re: Super-spreading wedding demonstrates Covid-19 risk posed by holiday gatherings

#47
post #5

It also demonstrates why the "personal choice" stuff is BS here. I see a lot of folks going "why are you worried if you're following the rules yourself?", and yet... > None of the victims who lost their lives had attended the party.

So... my body, _not_ my choice?

Sure, just like drunk driving or twitching your trigger finger when someone just happens to be in front of the gun.

Re: Super-spreading wedding demonstrates Covid-19 risk posed by holiday gatherings

#48
post #5

It also demonstrates why the "personal choice" stuff is BS here. I see a lot of folks going "why are you worried if you're following the rules yourself?", and yet... > None of the victims who lost their lives had attended the party.

I think it demonstrates how weak enforcement of the rules are. Maine already had rules against such gatherings. Yet it still happened. Why?

Re: Super-spreading wedding demonstrates Covid-19 risk posed by holiday gatherings

#49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Honestly, I would be okay with someone being tried for murder over this shit. Isn't the death penalty supposed to be a deterrence?

It's very clearly not murder; that'd set really bad precedents. You might be able to pull off something like involuntary manslaughter, but I tend to doubt it.

With the extreme indifference to human life, and the knowledge that they could be causing "bodily harm" even if they think the odds of death are remote, we could try for second-degree murder.

Re: Super-spreading wedding demonstrates Covid-19 risk posed by holiday gatherings

#50

Case count != actual risk of death or permanent injury. You have to be in a high risk group. I wish we'd evaluate actual risk rather than perceived.

>Over the next 38 days, the virus spread to 176 other people. Seven of them died.

Seven people died. This isn't some hypothetical where people are acting like there's risk where there isn't; it's a story of seven real, living, breathing humans passing away.

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