Live data from Hacker News

Explaining Sex Rate Changes

overcomingbias.com

41–50 of 588 posts

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#41
post #20

I think the trend is true but this study did not have a large sample size. It was 31 out of 105 men in this age range saying they did not have sex.

I didn't believe you and checked. The GSS interviews 1500 people for each study, which comes out to about the numbers you mention.

http://gss.norc.org/faq

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#42

I honestly believe the rise of incelibacy will lead to increasing destabilization of the US. There's nothing worse for a country than a bunch of lonely angry men without jobs and without sex.

Incelibacy is not a word and do not make it one. It's called involuntary celibacy.

Yeah, I would think "incelibacy" would mean non-celibacy. But that's the opposite of what PutinIsMyGod meant. Then again flammable and inflammable mean the same thing.

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#43
post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Unless I'm missing something, there's nothing in your response that implies that Western Europe has widespread celibacy.

"in the decades after the Great Famine... as much as a third of Irishmen and a fourth of Irishwomen never married due to chronic economic problems that discouraged early marriage." That is by most peoples' expectations widespread, up to some allowance for out-of-wedlock births (which the Catholic Church in Ireland famously acted forcefully against).

There's a difference between unmarried and celibate.

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#44
We've messed up many features created by mother nature with millions of years of evolution. We hijacked the purpose of enjoyment of having sex with the invention of condom so that individual intention now separated from that of mother natures. Wide spread of porn flushed the brains of a couple of selfish generations with overloading dopamine. The direct consequence is that their threshold of ecstasy become lower than a healthy level. The indirect consequence is the symptom passed on to the next generations due to epigenetics. [1] (human behaviors cause unintended consequences are not always limited to regime change)

In other words: the current young people's enjoyment was consumed by their selfish parents addicted in porn.

The solution? There should be many way to fix it. If we talk about culture, I speculated that Niqāb exists for some reason that we might not really understand. Evolution is so tricky when think about survival of the fittest, the fittest is not always the conclusion of our "rational" thinking.

Claim: above ideas contain full of unscientific speculation with no proof. Viewer discretion is advised

[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epigenetics

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#45

There is no longer an average, middle, median, etc. Hookup culture has consequences; before it was possible for an undesirable male to mate with a female, with the institution of marriage. So you end up with a society where everyone is unhappy. The hookup culture devalues the woman, competing for a slice of a shrinking desirable pool of men, while the undesirable men become angry and frustrated. But desirability is m…

What's playing the status game? Expensive-looking clothes, being perceived as authoritative in some social circles?

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#46
post #7

Can we look to other cultures where widespread celibacy (especially extramarital) is already practiced for cues as to how this will affect the US?

There is Japan which has a culture of "herbivore men": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herbivore_men

There is a similar movement growing in the US which is called "MGTOW", men going their own way: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Men_Going_Their_Own_Way

Personally, I'm a bit scared that we're going towards a culture of increasing isolation and tension between the genders.

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#47
post #7

Can we look to other cultures where widespread celibacy (especially extramarital) is already practiced for cues as to how this will affect the US?

I'm not aware of any culture that encourages "widespread celibacy"–which ones are you talking about?

A quick google search of the terms "japan sex rates" [1] will return pages and pages of results about the high number of Japanese millennials that aren't engaging in sexual or romantic relationships, with some articles citing numbers as high as 40% of all Japanese people aged 18-34 are virgins [2]. It's even got its own name: "celibacy syndrome" [3]. A search for Korean sex rates shows very similar articles as well. [4]

I'm not sure what lessons we can draw from Japan/Korean, though, as these revelations all seem to be from relatively recently and the long-term impacts haven't been seen or explored yet. The main obvious consequence is plummeting birth rates [5, 6], which will probably have drastic economic consequences, but we may not see those consequences for decades.

1: https://www.google.com/search?q=japan+sex+rates

2: https://www.cnn.com/2016/09/20/asia/japanese-millennials-vir...

3: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Celibacy_syndrome

4: http://theconversation.com/why-young-people-in-south-korea-a...

5: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/dec/27/japan-shrinkin...

6: https://qz.com/1556910/south-koreas-birth-rate-just-crashed-...

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#48
post #15

My theory is that it could be related to the economy getting worse. My belief is that women are generally more likely to have sex with someone that they consider to be viable long-term reproductive partners or marriage material. Fewer men have the financial success and stability that many women are looking for in a serious relationship that would make them comfortable with routine sex.

I don't think this is the biggest factor. Men's income relative to women's [1] and the lower amount of steady jobs [2][3] could be somewhat more important for long-term relationship though [4]. In the 18-30 age range, women make as much as men.

1. https://www.payscale.com/gender-lifetime-earnings-gap

2. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/31/business/economy/volatile...

3. https://blogs.chapman.edu/crean/2015/09/29/new-research-anal...

4. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/17/upshot/when-wives-earn-mo...

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#49

There is no longer an average, middle, median, etc. Hookup culture has consequences; before it was possible for an undesirable male to mate with a female, with the institution of marriage. So you end up with a society where everyone is unhappy. The hookup culture devalues the woman, competing for a slice of a shrinking desirable pool of men, while the undesirable men become angry and frustrated. But desirability is m…

What's playing the status game? Expensive-looking clothes, being perceived as authoritative in some social circles?

All of that plus social media presence. A personal brand, if you will.

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#50
post #15

My theory is that it could be related to the economy getting worse. My belief is that women are generally more likely to have sex with someone that they consider to be viable long-term reproductive partners or marriage material. Fewer men have the financial success and stability that many women are looking for in a serious relationship that would make them comfortable with routine sex.

I don't think the data supports this. The economy has gotten better since 2008 by a significant margin. The unemployment rate has dropped consistently since 2010. But that's when the rise of lack of sex seems to really kick off and it hasn't subsided as the economy improved.

The unemployment rate is misleading. Are there really more men with well paying stable jobs? Or are there just a lot of Uber drivers and delivery people now? In other words, lots of people with contract work that don't have benefits but also don't count as unemployed.
Post reply on HN