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WeWork Gets a Visit from Financial Reality

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41–50 of 380 posts

Re: WeWork Gets a Visit from Financial Reality

#41
post #4

>The Gulf investors backing the Vision Fund seem to have decided that WeWork is not a tech bet but simply an aggressive punt on real estate. This is the bogey man of a huge number of current 'tech startups' - What if it turns out Tesla really are a car company! Or if We Work are actually an office rental company! OR gasp Uber is a cab company! (1) We now have a glut of companies operating in traditional markets that…

I don't agree with the "rubbish part". WeWork single handedly changed the way we work. It is way easier to build a tech startup with the help of a co-working space company than before. I suspect that WeWork's business model ain't the problem but it's competitors, for example in London, UK. Competition drives prices for new real estate, crashed margins.

How?

I've worked out of a WeWork and it's just an expensive shared-office space the same as any other.

Re: WeWork Gets a Visit from Financial Reality

#42
People have been valuing them using the wrong metrics so far: "WeWork isn’t really a real estate company. It’s a state of consciousness, he argues, a generation of interconnected emotionally intelligent entrepreneurs." https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-04-27/wework...

Can't wait till SEC adds "state of consciousness" and "emotionally interconnect-ness" to quarterly reports.

Re: WeWork Gets a Visit from Financial Reality

#43
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

On the flip side, if it wasn't Amazon mentioned but pets.com, they were entirely right.

I guess the right question is, was a basket containing Amazon.com, pets.com and all the rest overvalued? Amazon is up about 15X since its peak before the crash, the dow is at 3X over the same period. So as long as AMZN was >= 20% of your basket, then it was fairly valued. Sounds about right.

Amazon also aggressively and effectively expanded from being "just" a bookstore to a cheap store that sells everything, and diversified even further by effectively creating the multi-billion dollar cloud computing market, which in turn created the hyperscaling startup boom. Amazon deserves that valuation for that (not so much for its extorsion of its employees though; you'd expect one of the highest valued companies of the world to pay its employees accordingly)

Re: WeWork Gets a Visit from Financial Reality

#45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't agree with the "rubbish part". WeWork single handedly changed the way we work. It is way easier to build a tech startup with the help of a co-working space company than before. I suspect that WeWork's business model ain't the problem but it's competitors, for example in London, UK. Competition drives prices for new real estate, crashed margins.

This makes very little sense to me. They haven't "changed the way we work", they've just stuck an attractive brand on shared office space. Every city in the UK has at least one Regus building where you can rent managed office space on short term leases, they just don't also throw in copious amounts of free drink and an atmosphere more like a college party than a workspace.

I tried using a Regus space the other week. It didn't seem that much better than any other co-working space in regards to noise and bad manners?

Re: WeWork Gets a Visit from Financial Reality

#46
post #10
post #4

>The Gulf investors backing the Vision Fund seem to have decided that WeWork is not a tech bet but simply an aggressive punt on real estate. This is the bogey man of a huge number of current 'tech startups' - What if it turns out Tesla really are a car company! Or if We Work are actually an office rental company! OR gasp Uber is a cab company! (1) We now have a glut of companies operating in traditional markets that…

I agree that Tesla is probably just a car company but no american cab company operates in 72 countries outside of america though.

> no american cab company operates in 72 countries outside of america though

... while complaining about the big evil taxi cartels

Re: WeWork Gets a Visit from Financial Reality

#47
post #4

>The Gulf investors backing the Vision Fund seem to have decided that WeWork is not a tech bet but simply an aggressive punt on real estate. This is the bogey man of a huge number of current 'tech startups' - What if it turns out Tesla really are a car company! Or if We Work are actually an office rental company! OR gasp Uber is a cab company! (1) We now have a glut of companies operating in traditional markets that…

You're right on Tesla and WeWork, but not on Uber. Uber doesn't buy and own the car, which means it requires much less capital. This small change has many implications, and the tech helps solves many of the problems that come up. I am not saying it is properly valued (over or under or whatever). Just that given the choice between an Uber (or Lyft or yourlocalapp.com) or a cab company with the same fleet, customers, a…

What sort of moat does Uber have, though? Sure, it was a slight annoyance to sign up for lyft when they moved into the city my mom lives in, but that was ~5 minutes of annoyance and some phone data. I don't care at all about Uber, there's very little customer loyalty. How will they defend their valuation if the self driving project doesn't pan out?

Re: WeWork Gets a Visit from Financial Reality

#48
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I guess the right question is, was a basket containing Amazon.com, pets.com and all the rest overvalued? Amazon is up about 15X since its peak before the crash, the dow is at 3X over the same period. So as long as AMZN was >= 20% of your basket, then it was fairly valued. Sounds about right.

> So as long as AMZN was >= 20% of your basket... and there's the rub, knowing, a priori, what the proper balance should be.

[deleted]

Re: WeWork Gets a Visit from Financial Reality

#49
post #45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This makes very little sense to me. They haven't "changed the way we work", they've just stuck an attractive brand on shared office space. Every city in the UK has at least one Regus building where you can rent managed office space on short term leases, they just don't also throw in copious amounts of free drink and an atmosphere more like a college party than a workspace.

I tried using a Regus space the other week. It didn't seem that much better than any other co-working space in regards to noise and bad manners?

Have you been in a WeWork office, though? IME all shared offices are incredibly noisy, I don't understand why anyone would want to rent there.

Re: WeWork Gets a Visit from Financial Reality

#50
post #44

One could say Uber a taxi car Company Airbnb a hotel Facebook selling private information Google advertisement company Tesla car company

True, but at least the companies you mentioned did something new in their respective industries. What, exactly, has WeWork done that is innovative, aside from putting a trendy face on office rental?
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