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Bitcoin Sees Wall Street Warm to Trading Virtual Currency

nytimes.com

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Re: Bitcoin Sees Wall Street Warm to Trading Virtual Currency

#41
post #9

This seems like good news for speculators (disclosure: I still hold Bitcoin and worked at a Bitcoin exchange). Having said that, "Wall Street" should be wary of enabling the use of a system that is using more electricity than the country of Switzerland [0] without any productive output. The energy consumption is rapidly rising too. Furthermore, Bitcoin's transaction throughput is dismally low compared to existing pay…

You are focusing on the wrong thing. Energy production is the issue, not energy use. There is an equilibrium to be found in the free market based on the value of BTC that is provided and the economic expenditure to mine it with the cost of electricity used to get there. Oh wait! I found the link in the causal economic chain! We don't put a price on carbon! Put your energy into yelling there and not at yelling at Bitc…

Somehow, I had never encountered this argument before. This makes great sense.

It's not entirely clear how to put a price on carbon, though. And, bitcoin's censorship-resistance (which of course I laud as an amazing and important innovation) might make it harder to force everyone to account for externalities.

Is someone doing serious research, writing, and thinking on the relationship between crypto-blockchain tech and the economics of environmental externalities?

Re: Bitcoin Sees Wall Street Warm to Trading Virtual Currency

#42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Has the growth in popularity of BTC affected the perceived value of gold? You seem to be asserting that crypto-coin popularity will save the planet by reducing gold mining, I'm very skeptical.

Advantages of gold over bitcoin: If there's a total internet && computer && electricity apocalypse, a physical barter exchange with gold is more trustless than bitcoin. You can still transact bitcoin but there's trust involved. Advantages of Bitcoin over gold: No trusted third party (If you're moving sizable sums of gold, you're doing it with a trusted third party[TTP)) 99.99226%[1] transaction uptime (Your TTP keep…

Further advantages of gold over bitcoin:

1) Has been used for millennia. Bitcoin was invented ten years ago.

2) Accepted as valuable by most of human population. Bitcoin mostly as valuable within internet echo bubbles.

3) Although price fluctuates, it's more stable than that of bitcoin, thus better suited as store of value.

4) Has applications for industrial uses or for jewelry, guaranteeing that your gold retains at least a base value. Same cannot be said of prime number data structures.

5) Doesn't corrode and doesn't depend upon hardware or storage media to be working.

I'm not saying that people should hoard gold, just that bitcoin is a pretty poor substitute.

And, BTW:

> No countries win the gold-geography lottery (Your country that has no gold reserves can still accumulate)

Pop quiz: the population of Germany is roughly on par with the population of The Democratic Republic of Congo. Do the citizens of the two countries currently hold the same amount of bitcoin? If not, how come?

Re: Bitcoin Sees Wall Street Warm to Trading Virtual Currency

#43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Has the growth in popularity of BTC affected the perceived value of gold? You seem to be asserting that crypto-coin popularity will save the planet by reducing gold mining, I'm very skeptical.

Advantages of gold over bitcoin: If there's a total internet && computer && electricity apocalypse, a physical barter exchange with gold is more trustless than bitcoin. You can still transact bitcoin but there's trust involved. Advantages of Bitcoin over gold: No trusted third party (If you're moving sizable sums of gold, you're doing it with a trusted third party[TTP)) 99.99226%[1] transaction uptime (Your TTP keep…

> No countries win the gold-geography lottery (Your country that has no gold reserves can still accumulate)

> You can use latent renewable energy to mine bitcoin (the way that miners remain profitable is by using cheap hydro power that would be wasted if not consumed) No need to blow up mountains to sift for gold.

... you do realize that this is a contradiction, right?

i mean yeah, its technically no longer a literal gold mine, but renewable energy sources where you can place power plants such as your mentioned hydro power aren't that abundant.

Re: Bitcoin Sees Wall Street Warm to Trading Virtual Currency

#44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Has the growth in popularity of BTC affected the perceived value of gold? You seem to be asserting that crypto-coin popularity will save the planet by reducing gold mining, I'm very skeptical.

Advantages of gold over bitcoin: If there's a total internet && computer && electricity apocalypse, a physical barter exchange with gold is more trustless than bitcoin. You can still transact bitcoin but there's trust involved. Advantages of Bitcoin over gold: No trusted third party (If you're moving sizable sums of gold, you're doing it with a trusted third party[TTP)) 99.99226%[1] transaction uptime (Your TTP keep…

> No trusted third party (If you're moving sizable sums of gold, you're doing it with a trusted third party[TTP))

If you're using a computer, its hardware and software stack consist of one or more trusted third parties.

Although it's an interesting thought-experiment to compare the risks!

Re: Bitcoin Sees Wall Street Warm to Trading Virtual Currency

#45
post #15
post #9

This seems like good news for speculators (disclosure: I still hold Bitcoin and worked at a Bitcoin exchange). Having said that, "Wall Street" should be wary of enabling the use of a system that is using more electricity than the country of Switzerland [0] without any productive output. The energy consumption is rapidly rising too. Furthermore, Bitcoin's transaction throughput is dismally low compared to existing pay…

Don't refer to the Digiconomist BECI for electricity consumption figures. The author makes fundamentally flawed assumptions, causing him to overestimate the consumption by 1.5× to 2.8×, and likely by 2.2×. BECI starts with calculating average mining revenues based on a 439-day (variable) moving average of the Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash prices. Then BECI assumes a fixed 60% share of these revenues are spent on electrici…

Even if he's overestimating by 2.8x, it's still within the same order of magnitude. So the conclusion of Bitcoin using up country-scale amounts of electricity is a valid one.

Re: Bitcoin Sees Wall Street Warm to Trading Virtual Currency

#46
post #15
post #9

This seems like good news for speculators (disclosure: I still hold Bitcoin and worked at a Bitcoin exchange). Having said that, "Wall Street" should be wary of enabling the use of a system that is using more electricity than the country of Switzerland [0] without any productive output. The energy consumption is rapidly rising too. Furthermore, Bitcoin's transaction throughput is dismally low compared to existing pay…

Don't refer to the Digiconomist BECI for electricity consumption figures. The author makes fundamentally flawed assumptions, causing him to overestimate the consumption by 1.5× to 2.8×, and likely by 2.2×. BECI starts with calculating average mining revenues based on a 439-day (variable) moving average of the Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash prices. Then BECI assumes a fixed 60% share of these revenues are spent on electrici…

How the cost is divided between burned electricity, hardware and human labour does not make any difference. It is all value burned on 7 transactions per second.

Re: Bitcoin Sees Wall Street Warm to Trading Virtual Currency

#47
post #9

This seems like good news for speculators (disclosure: I still hold Bitcoin and worked at a Bitcoin exchange). Having said that, "Wall Street" should be wary of enabling the use of a system that is using more electricity than the country of Switzerland [0] without any productive output. The energy consumption is rapidly rising too. Furthermore, Bitcoin's transaction throughput is dismally low compared to existing pay…

>I [...] worked as an engineer at a well-known Bitcoin company). >Having said that, "Wall Street" should be wary of enabling the use of a system that is using more electricity than the country of Switzerland [0] without any productive output You worked at a Bitcoin company and don't understand the value of proof of work? Being able to trustlessly settle shared stated across the entire globe is unproductive output? Th…

Gold as a value store is kind of better tested in all circumstances.

Some time ago I wrote an essay on proof of work and gold: https://medium.com/@zby/proof-of-work-8d8265def194

Re: Bitcoin Sees Wall Street Warm to Trading Virtual Currency

#48
post #9

This seems like good news for speculators (disclosure: I still hold Bitcoin and worked at a Bitcoin exchange). Having said that, "Wall Street" should be wary of enabling the use of a system that is using more electricity than the country of Switzerland [0] without any productive output. The energy consumption is rapidly rising too. Furthermore, Bitcoin's transaction throughput is dismally low compared to existing pay…

> Bitcoin's transaction throughput is dismally low compared

How are you measuring "transaction throughput"?

Re: Bitcoin Sees Wall Street Warm to Trading Virtual Currency

#49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Advantages of gold over bitcoin: If there's a total internet && computer && electricity apocalypse, a physical barter exchange with gold is more trustless than bitcoin. You can still transact bitcoin but there's trust involved. Advantages of Bitcoin over gold: No trusted third party (If you're moving sizable sums of gold, you're doing it with a trusted third party[TTP)) 99.99226%[1] transaction uptime (Your TTP keep…

Further advantages of gold over bitcoin: 1) Has been used for millennia. Bitcoin was invented ten years ago. 2) Accepted as valuable by most of human population. Bitcoin mostly as valuable within internet echo bubbles. 3) Although price fluctuates, it's more stable than that of bitcoin, thus better suited as store of value. 4) Has applications for industrial uses or for jewelry, guaranteeing that your gold retains at…

> 5) Doesn't corrode and doesn't depend upon hardware or storage media to be working.

Bitcoin corrodes?

You can encode your private keys in Gold if you want to.

Re: Bitcoin Sees Wall Street Warm to Trading Virtual Currency

#50
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Don't refer to the Digiconomist BECI for electricity consumption figures. The author makes fundamentally flawed assumptions, causing him to overestimate the consumption by 1.5× to 2.8×, and likely by 2.2×. BECI starts with calculating average mining revenues based on a 439-day (variable) moving average of the Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash prices. Then BECI assumes a fixed 60% share of these revenues are spent on electrici…

Even if he's overestimating by 2.8x, it's still within the same order of magnitude. So the conclusion of Bitcoin using up country-scale amounts of electricity is a valid one.

It’s also not like there’s any requirement for reporting energy figures by miners. 2.8x seems, to me, a very good estimate for something with large errors inherently.
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