He missed the main reason: currency suppression. Germany has managed to suppress the value of its currency over the years to make its exports artificially cheap, which encouraged growth, creating manufacturing jobs. It did this firstly through reunification (dragging down the value of the DM) and subsequently by joining the Euro (Southern Europe had the value of their currencies pegged higher than their 'natural' val…
I don't understand why this comment is being down voted. While "currency suppression/ currency manipulation" is usually spoken about in association with fraud, this is most certainly one of the reasons that has allowed German manufacturing to remain competitive despite having higher labor costs. Excellent comment. e.g. see this article on Politico which basically says the same thing: http://www.politico.com/agenda/st…
Why Germany Still Has So Many Middle-Class Manufacturing Jobs
41–50 of 165 posts
Re: Why Germany Still Has So Many Middle-Class Manufacturing Jobs
#42He missed the main reason: currency suppression. Germany has managed to suppress the value of its currency over the years to make its exports artificially cheap, which encouraged growth, creating manufacturing jobs. It did this firstly through reunification (dragging down the value of the DM) and subsequently by joining the Euro (Southern Europe had the value of their currencies pegged higher than their 'natural' val…
I don't understand why this comment is being down voted. While "currency suppression/ currency manipulation" is usually spoken about in association with fraud, this is most certainly one of the reasons that has allowed German manufacturing to remain competitive despite having higher labor costs. Excellent comment. e.g. see this article on Politico which basically says the same thing: http://www.politico.com/agenda/st…
That's not saying Germany doesn't benefit from the Euro today or that it wouldn't be profoundly stupid for Germany to abandon the Eurozone but it's not an explanation, just a contributing factor.
Re: Why Germany Still Has So Many Middle-Class Manufacturing Jobs
#43Earlier quoted context omitted.
Not sure why you are down-voted. It's obvious that this is part of the trick and many economist have pointed it. It works the other way too, the currency of other countries in the Eurozone is above what it would be without Germany, and all that without a fiscal stabilizer between the countries, like it do happens in the United States between different states. It's a recipe for disaster if the goal is an united Europe…
He is right in some way, but he also misses that german workers had to take a lot of cuts in pay, benefits and working conditions. While french workers only have a 35 hours work week and greece workers get to enjoy a long pension, germans work till 67 (soon 69) getting a lower pension (as percentage of pay) and mostly work 40 hours (for full time workers. Statistics are heavily skewed by (mostly) female part time wor…
We read about micro-jobs and how some retired people have to work again in one of the richest countries in the world.
What is the point of a stronger economy if the life is harder for their inhabitants?
I think that part of the answer is that this is a fight between countries only in appearance (or only as an excuse).
Re: Why Germany Still Has So Many Middle-Class Manufacturing Jobs
#44He missed the main reason: currency suppression. Germany has managed to suppress the value of its currency over the years to make its exports artificially cheap, which encouraged growth, creating manufacturing jobs. It did this firstly through reunification (dragging down the value of the DM) and subsequently by joining the Euro (Southern Europe had the value of their currencies pegged higher than their 'natural' val…
Re: Why Germany Still Has So Many Middle-Class Manufacturing Jobs
#45Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't understand why this comment is being down voted. While "currency suppression/ currency manipulation" is usually spoken about in association with fraud, this is most certainly one of the reasons that has allowed German manufacturing to remain competitive despite having higher labor costs. Excellent comment. e.g. see this article on Politico which basically says the same thing: http://www.politico.com/agenda/st…
I think the reason this is downvoted is that the situation in Germany is relatively unchanged since before the Euro was introduced. Saying German success is mostly based on the Euro is a great narrative but completely ignores the reality that Germany's economy was already strong and getting stronger in the decades before that. That's not saying Germany doesn't benefit from the Euro today or that it wouldn't be profou…
Which part of "it wasn't just the Euro, reunification had the same effect" was I unclear about?
Re: Why Germany Still Has So Many Middle-Class Manufacturing Jobs
#46Earlier quoted context omitted.
You are right and wrong at the same time. The DM was pretty strong and was used as a reserve currency in many european countries, that regularly devalued their respective currency. The current german export strength is based (at least, there may easily be more) on four factors: 1) The weak Euro. Personally, I hate it because the other european countries cannot compete with Germany. Historically, they would have deval…
>The Hartz IV reforms that added flexibility for companies The Hartz reforms suppressed wages and made the average German poorer: https://ideas.repec.org/a/wej/wldecn/557.html Germany's industrial success was evident years before they went into effect. Hartz is like trickle down economics and a lower minimum wage: the wealthy have good reason to love it and the wealthy will make up spurious reasons why you should lov…
That's one of the keys for understanding what is going on. It's surprising how little we heard it.
Re: Why Germany Still Has So Many Middle-Class Manufacturing Jobs
#47Wow, that's a pretty appalling article. Seems to avoid even mentioning the desire of most of Europe to try and learn from what went wrong after the Great War. In 1918-1930 Germany was left so weakened by peace treaties that the seeds were sown for WW2. Post-WW2 the allies felt that a Germany crippled would only bring future wars, and a huge co-ordinated effort to build a sustainable industry and economic growth was p…
I wonder how/whether increasing the defense budget would help the German economy. Let me just say right away, that I am in no way advocating for increasing the supply of arms and ammunition in the world, which already seems to be at dangerous levels. However, if Germany invested as much in military R&D and a domestic arms industry, I wonder if that would boost the economy as it has done in the US. Also, the immigrati…
What I mean by that is that yes, the US likely benefited from investing trillions of dollars in the military. But it could've also benefited, perhaps even more so, if it had invested trillions of dollars in infrastructure. This would have made it easier and cheaper for businesses to ship their products across the states, as well as creating a lot of blue collar people jobs. Perhaps the same would be true if the US invested trillions of taxpayer dollars in other industries, too (healthcare, manufacturing, solar industry, etc).
Re: Why Germany Still Has So Many Middle-Class Manufacturing Jobs
#48Wow, that's a pretty appalling article. Seems to avoid even mentioning the desire of most of Europe to try and learn from what went wrong after the Great War. In 1918-1930 Germany was left so weakened by peace treaties that the seeds were sown for WW2. Post-WW2 the allies felt that a Germany crippled would only bring future wars, and a huge co-ordinated effort to build a sustainable industry and economic growth was p…
> (most of Germany's industrial capability had been destroyed or damaged) Tony Judt in Post War ( https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/29658.Postwar ) actually claims that this is patently false. That Germany actually came out of WW2 with most of its industry intact (it was away from the most bombed cities and majority of fighting actually happened in France/Poland/USSR) and was in significantly better shape than Frac…
Re: Why Germany Still Has So Many Middle-Class Manufacturing Jobs
#49Wow, that's a pretty appalling article. Seems to avoid even mentioning the desire of most of Europe to try and learn from what went wrong after the Great War. In 1918-1930 Germany was left so weakened by peace treaties that the seeds were sown for WW2. Post-WW2 the allies felt that a Germany crippled would only bring future wars, and a huge co-ordinated effort to build a sustainable industry and economic growth was p…
I wonder how/whether increasing the defense budget would help the German economy. Let me just say right away, that I am in no way advocating for increasing the supply of arms and ammunition in the world, which already seems to be at dangerous levels. However, if Germany invested as much in military R&D and a domestic arms industry, I wonder if that would boost the economy as it has done in the US. Also, the immigrati…
Every dollar spent "investing" in military r&d, Is one less dollar that can be invested elsewhere.
Why not just invest all that money directly into the economy instead of doing it in an extremely roundabout way.
Or, I don't know, just pay people to dig holes and fill them back up again, if you believe in the idea of economic "stimulus".
Re: Why Germany Still Has So Many Middle-Class Manufacturing Jobs
#50Earlier quoted context omitted.
You are right and wrong at the same time. The DM was pretty strong and was used as a reserve currency in many european countries, that regularly devalued their respective currency. The current german export strength is based (at least, there may easily be more) on four factors: 1) The weak Euro. Personally, I hate it because the other european countries cannot compete with Germany. Historically, they would have deval…
>The Hartz IV reforms that added flexibility for companies The Hartz reforms suppressed wages and made the average German poorer: https://ideas.repec.org/a/wej/wldecn/557.html Germany's industrial success was evident years before they went into effect. Hartz is like trickle down economics and a lower minimum wage: the wealthy have good reason to love it and the wealthy will make up spurious reasons why you should lov…
That's exactly what I'm saying. (edit: on the wages and poorer part; it's of course _NOT_ everything they did)
> Germany's industrial success was evident years before they went into effect.
> Hartz is like trickle down economics and a lower minimum wage: the wealthy have good reason to love it and the wealthy will make up spurious reasons why you should love it too - which many people will believe.
Without those reforms Germany would be part of the European crisis. It was called "the sick man of Europe" not long ago, not without a reason.
> China achieved a similar measure of manufacturing success with an education system that was a great deal worse
They did mostly mass production by hand while german factories are mostly automated and people there do a lot of higher-value work that requires much more knowledge than the chinese kind of manufacturing.
> while the UK has an equally good education system and did not achieve anything like Germany's manufacturing prowess.
The UK is and has been much more focused on finance. The brightest will join a bank there, while in Germany they will engineer new things. Germany has 2-3x the number of patents per year compared to the UK
> Not everyone. German industrialists (like the guy who wrote this article) love lower wages.
Sure, everyone is wrong. Nearly everyone would be right.