A lot of people don't understand that creating a startup is not about having the best product in the market. It is about convincing people to part with their money and give it to them to control and gain power with, through having people work on what you want them to work on. Only requirement is you create a story of why they should give you money. Even if it is the dumbest idea and you will be lose all it in 3 years. If you can tell a convincing story you will still make yourself and your friends super rich.
OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon
391–400 of 426 posts
Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon
#392Throughout the “AI bubble” talk in 2024 and 2025, I consistently argued that we were nowhere near the peak of the AI bubble. So far, that view has held up, as valuations are significantly higher today than they were in 2024 and 2025. If you look at the way the dotcom bubble unfolded, dotcom didn't take off until after Netscape IPOed in 1995. The market had 5 more years of growth until the collapse. And even after col…
> Be scared when random AI companies IPO with bad ideas and no revenue. Shouldn't we at least be a little bit scared already when shoe companies pivot to AI and their stock goes up ~750%?
History doesn't repeat itself, but it rhymes. If I was to guess, that shoe company nonsense is the dotcom IPO equivalent.
Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon
#393If you're an investor you should try Deepseekv4 before you put your hard earned money in this gambling spree. Context - Deepseekv4 is freely available to download you can host your own and sell it keeping the proceeds and it rivals Claude Opus 4.7. "Thank you for your attention to this matter"
I just need another.. 522-716gb of RAM for one of the Pro models. But the DeepSeek V4 Flash - GGOUF for ds4 is only 4gb.
Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon
#394Praying for this to flail hard on day one.
Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon
#395Earlier quoted context omitted.
Basel capital rules are supposed to mitigate against the insane idea of banks deploying all their capital in a single high risk stock. If you think you can get all the _public_ to pull their short term bank deposits into stock .. well, (a) you've not met the Germans, and (b) that is how the economy of Albania collapsed in a pyramid scheme.
> Basel capital rules are supposed to mitigate against the insane idea of banks deploying all their capital in a single high risk stock. At the same time of these companies IPO'ing, they are also trying to bend the rules of the index funds and their markets (Nasdaq,S&P 500) so that they can get listed into these index funds asap. And when these happens at such obscene levels, what happens is that a very sizable chunk…
Should be illegal. There should be a cool off period before new stocks get auto added to indexes.
Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon
#396Praying for this to flail hard on day one.
I am praying for valuation to reflect real value.
But the US stock market of the last 4 years has shown it is grounded in hype far more than real value..
Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon
#397Earlier quoted context omitted.
It’s a thing but your order execution won’t be as efficient as an ETF, so you will be losing a non-negligible amount each year in slippage from the large number of small transactions
You don't have to do the large number of small transactions, you know? Just diverge from the index, it's fine!
If you are making regular contributions to an account, then you may be able to rebalance via purchases alone.
Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon
#398Earlier quoted context omitted.
People usually use the term for poorer countries, as opposed to the rich ones. Originally third world meant those not aligned with the USSR or NATO, I believe.
I get the meaning of "third world" but the USSR hasn't existed for decades, is China the modern equivalent? And it wasn't made clear why a neutral country like Switzerland would be expected to be highly corrupt while Russia would be low in corruption. Or indeed why Switzerland would be seen as a country in the process of becoming financially rich.
Right. I'm saying the meaning has shifted, and doesn't mean that any more.
Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon
#399Earlier quoted context omitted.
You can sit this one out. There are many other opportunities to make money in the market. Ai build out is currently in play, and many names are rising accordinglym
If you're invested in any index funds or most mutual funds (including through your retirement account) then you can't really sit this one out. We're all going along for the ride, hold on tight.
You're invested as much as you are in tesla already, palantir or any other unsavoury S&P500 company, you can't really pick political sides in a "all the top companies"
Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon
#400Earlier quoted context omitted.
Basel capital rules are supposed to mitigate against the insane idea of banks deploying all their capital in a single high risk stock. If you think you can get all the _public_ to pull their short term bank deposits into stock .. well, (a) you've not met the Germans, and (b) that is how the economy of Albania collapsed in a pyramid scheme.
> Basel capital rules are supposed to mitigate against the insane idea of banks deploying all their capital in a single high risk stock. At the same time of these companies IPO'ing, they are also trying to bend the rules of the index funds and their markets (Nasdaq,S&P 500) so that they can get listed into these index funds asap. And when these happens at such obscene levels, what happens is that a very sizable chunk…
It’s bad but not as bad as it seems. To get these insane valuations companies are selling very low float. A lot of indexes won’t list them at under 10% float and even if they do only at a float multiplier so spacesx as a 100b component (2 billion x 5% float)
See this podcast for a better explanation https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-rational-reminder-...