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US Administration announces 34% tariffs on China, 20% on EU

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Re: US Administration announces 34% tariffs on China, 20% on EU

#391

The golden prize for America's enemies is to remove the US dollar as a global reserve currency. Since trade is conducted largely in USD, that means other governments must purchase USD to trade. This is the core of trade deficits. Foreign countries buy US dollars so they can trade with other people. That guarantees the deficit since they give us something in exchange for USD, which they do not then spend on goods we m…

Does it follow that Yuan would replace USD? Could it be the EUR instead?

Re: US Administration announces 34% tariffs on China, 20% on EU

#392
post #87

I think a lot of people assume the economic consequences like these have not been understood by the WH. Although I don't like this administration I beg to differ: they know what's going to happen, and they expect the coming storm because they seek what follows. They want to repudiate foreign held debt, or devalue it, by revaluation of the USD and they will wear what they think of as a one time economic shock to get t…

they understand first order effects, but second or higher orders are seldom predictable in this matters. So the risk is huge. This massive shock will reveal hidden frailties.

Re: US Administration announces 34% tariffs on China, 20% on EU

#393

My understandings reading some comments. 1. Prices will increase 2. US will need to manufacture things and they will need a lots of workers. There will be shortage of workers because factory pays minimal wages. 3. Factories will have to offer higher amount of salary that will increase price Ultimately prices increases for everything and working class will suffer more.

All of which sounds ok until you factor in timelines. In takes years to spin up new factories and supply chains.

Choking the existing options when replacements are years away is a guaranteed way to ensure economic carnage

Re: US Administration announces 34% tariffs on China, 20% on EU

#396
post #225

"This guy cracked the tariff formula: @orthonormalist It’s simply the nation’s trade deficit with us divided by the nation’s exports to us. Yes. Really. Vietnam: Exports 136.6, Imports 13.1 Deficit = 123.5 123.5/136.6 = 90%" https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1907568233239949431

thanks for the information. In light of this, it seems pretty silly: economy on a world scale isn't a line, it's more like a ring (country A has a deficit with country B, which has a deficit with country ... N which has a deficit with country A) at best. Isn't it like saying everyone should trade everything at the same price with everyone?

Re: US Administration announces 34% tariffs on China, 20% on EU

#398
I would bet that most of these tarrifs won't exist in He's been playing this game for 2 months now with Canada and Mexico, and so far he's loosing. US & business are loosing even more.

Keeping this kind of tarrifs, would be absolutely moronic even by Trump standards. That would be economic and financial suicide for the US.

Re: US Administration announces 34% tariffs on China, 20% on EU

#400

Here we go. My dumb ass invested money in usa stocks when trump got elected because trump is pro business, right ? Should have invested in Asia, today china is the usa from 40 year ago.

It doesn’t matter where you invested. Everyone’s taking a haircut.
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