Live data from Hacker News

Threads, an Instagram app

apps.apple.com

391–400 of 1001 posts

Re: Threads, an Instagram app

#392

I'm calling it now, this is going to hollow out twitter in extremely rapid fashion. I give twitter a couple of months once this launches, they'll do a Wile E Coyote where they walk off the cliff, followed by plummeting. Meta is going to grind the blue bird to a fine powder, not saying this as a Meta fan, just a casual observer. There's massive pent-up demand for an alternative, and so far Bluesky and Mastodon haven't…

I disagree because many people like Twitter because it's not Meta. More people are aware of monopolies and the problems they cause than you think.

Re: Threads, an Instagram app

#393
post #281

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Videos not being trackable is such a perplexing one. Is it intended to keep the user watching longer by forcing them to re-watch the whole video if they want to see something again?

Given that Youtube copied it for their "shorts" clone of TikTok/Reels, it must be working for the platforms...

I think their reasoning is that if it’s just a few seconds it “simplifies” the UI, which is why if the reel is just a bit longer it is trackable.

TikTok on the other hand I think the video needs to be much longer to be trackable.

Re: Threads, an Instagram app

#394
I’m calling it, network effects are very hard to overcome. Users with thousands of follows will have to wait a loooong time to have Threads side to catch up. In the mean time they will absolutely use Twitter along with Threads and the one likely getting abandoned is Threads.

New users will find empty content, mostly discussions that are already on twitter but at a small scale and reach

Re: Threads, an Instagram app

#395

I'm calling it now, this is going to hollow out twitter in extremely rapid fashion. I give twitter a couple of months once this launches, they'll do a Wile E Coyote where they walk off the cliff, followed by plummeting. Meta is going to grind the blue bird to a fine powder, not saying this as a Meta fan, just a casual observer. There's massive pent-up demand for an alternative, and so far Bluesky and Mastodon haven't…

Interactions on Meta follow “proximity”-based neighborhood customs (birthdays, pictures of kids, social flexing, vacations). Polite society dinner talk.

You do not need to be followed on Meta, only liked.

Interactions on Twitter follow “rules” of interest-based disputes and discussion (sports, finance, AI dooming, technology predictions).

You do not need to be liked on Twitter, only followed.

Re: Threads, an Instagram app

#396

I'm calling it now, this is going to hollow out twitter in extremely rapid fashion. I give twitter a couple of months once this launches, they'll do a Wile E Coyote where they walk off the cliff, followed by plummeting. Meta is going to grind the blue bird to a fine powder, not saying this as a Meta fan, just a casual observer. There's massive pent-up demand for an alternative, and so far Bluesky and Mastodon haven't…

A bit premature. If you recall on instagram trying to kill tik tok, has not worked. I think your schadenfreude is potentially blurring your vision. I couldnt care less for either of these companies - but the demise of twitter is one of the most popular things to prognosticate about and i think its overhyped.

It's a 50/50 bet, if they lose no one is likely to bring it up here in future (unlike on Twitter where "receipts" are kept), if they win then they get to crow about their prescience. Pound shop Nostradamus stuff.

Re: Threads, an Instagram app

#397

I get it: Twitter is under pressure Love it. But, I generally feel social media is dying in far bigger ways thank just these dilutions. People don't trust it, and are caring far less. They hey-day and the novelty has completely worn of for the majority who are not narcissistic enough to put the energy in to arguing or self-promoting. Reality is here to stay!

The only reason I like anything on Instagram anymore is because I feel sorry for my friends who are on their honeymoon and think anyone cares about their posts. They're my friends so I just randomly click like on their posts while inside I think to myself, why the fuck don't you just get off your phone and enjoy your holiday? I mean, I'm obviously happy their having fun, but I'm sad they think it's important to show everyone what they're doing 5 times a day.

I have some other friends who are semi-pro athletes and the same thing, I "like" their posts only really because they want people to care. Aside from that, it's something I look at while on the toilet for 5 minutes and then put it away.

Re: Threads, an Instagram app

#398

When was the last time, Facebook launched a successful standalone product? - WhatsApp - acqusition - Instagram - acquistion - Messenger - acquisition - Oculus - acquisition Facebook has DNA to optimize feeds. It, simply, lack the DNA to build good products from scratch. My gut feeling no one will care about Threads, 6 months from now. EDIT: - Facebook was all-in on cryptocurrencies. The project is fully gone. - Faceb…

> Facebook was all-in on cryptocurrencies. The project is fully gone.

For what it's worth, their cryptocurrency project is absolutely NOT gone. It's gone in the Facebook-ownership sense (in that it was barred from continuing the project by the SEC (?)), but the code and teams are absolutely still iterating on what began at Facebook. Aptos, Sui, and 0L are all projects that have launched to fanfare within the last year.

I'm up for lambasting Facebook as much as the next guy, but I don't think government blocking their projects existence counts as failing.

Re: Threads, an Instagram app

#399
I think the real longcon of this is to seed people into a TikTok competitor using the existing meta user base who will gladly give it a try initially. It will catch plenty of the Twitter crowd and even reddit crowd but that's just a coincidence of the state of those platforms. Long term I think it will be to agrigate their more active users away from Facebook, Instagram, and Snapchat into something that provides the lowest common denominator of all of them so they can slowly erode them as part of the Embrace Extend Extinguish playbook taking a cue from M$ They took the best engineers and lessons learned from the platforms they bought but ideally they don't want to maintain products that do 80% of the same functions

Re: Threads, an Instagram app

#400
post #395

I'm calling it now, this is going to hollow out twitter in extremely rapid fashion. I give twitter a couple of months once this launches, they'll do a Wile E Coyote where they walk off the cliff, followed by plummeting. Meta is going to grind the blue bird to a fine powder, not saying this as a Meta fan, just a casual observer. There's massive pent-up demand for an alternative, and so far Bluesky and Mastodon haven't…

Interactions on Meta follow “proximity”-based neighborhood customs (birthdays, pictures of kids, social flexing, vacations). Polite society dinner talk. You do not need to be followed on Meta, only liked. Interactions on Twitter follow “rules” of interest-based disputes and discussion (sports, finance, AI dooming, technology predictions). You do not need to be liked on Twitter, only followed.

So basically like predicting Instagram will destroy Snap/Tiktok by cloning features like stories?

One of those HN threads you see people bookmark and bring up years later to show HN's competence at prediction using only the current day market players which they glibly generalize as generic pools of social media users going to these sites for their feature sets, like buying CDs of software by looking at the back cover at a store in 1998.

Post reply on HN