391–400 of 544 posts
It's weird seeing the go-to downtime tracker go down. I'm so wired to check Twitter that I kept refreshing for a good 10 seconds.
Time to make HN the go-to downtime tracker. Did anyone measure HN's uptime over the past years?
Ok, this is too many high-profile, apparently unrelated outages in the last month to be completely a coincidence. Hypotheses: 1) software complexity is escalating over time, and logically will continue to until something makes it stop. It has now reached the point where even large companies cannot maintain high reliability. 2) internet volume is continually increasing over time, and periodically we hit a point where…
1. Services all going down one after another. 1 goes down - it happens. 2 go down - it happens sometimes. 3 go down - quite a rare sequence of events. But now a large number of silicon valley companies have experienced service outage over the last few weeks.
2. Russian sub that is said to be a "deep sea research vessel" somehow experiences a fire whilst in international waters [1]. It has been suspected that it could have been tapping undersea cables. Let's imagine for a moment a scenario where they were caught in the act, some NATO sub decides to put an end to it and Russia cover it up to save face.
3. Russia announces tests to ensure that it could survive if completely cut off from the internet [2]. A few months later it's like somebody is probing US services in the same way.
4. There is currently a large NATO exercise in a simulated take-over of Russia happening in Countries close to Russia [3].
Of course it's completely possible it's all unconnected, but my tin foil hat brain says there is a game of cloak and daggers going on here. I would say that Russia's incentive for probing the US/NATO is to test it's weakness after undergoing a trade-war with China and raising sanctions against Iran. After all, Russian fighter planes regularly try to fly into UK airspace just to test their rapid response crews [4], this sort of behaviour is typical of them.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_submarine_Losharik
[2] https://techcrunch.com/2019/02/11/russia-internet-turn-off-d...
[3] https://sofiaglobe.com/2019/05/13/6000-military-personnel-to...
[4] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jan/15/raf-fighters-i...
Ok, this is too many high-profile, apparently unrelated outages in the last month to be completely a coincidence. Hypotheses: 1) software complexity is escalating over time, and logically will continue to until something makes it stop. It has now reached the point where even large companies cannot maintain high reliability. 2) internet volume is continually increasing over time, and periodically we hit a point where…
Earlier quoted context omitted.
It makes me wonder if a powerful malicious agent can devise a complex operation (planting people in several key places) and wipe out most of the databases of one these places. It would be interesting to see what would it happen if suddenly all of twitter of facebook is deleted , puff!, gone in a second.
You can't delete that much data in a matter of seconds digitally. You need to physically harm the hardware.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
> tendentially Is this a word? You don't mean tangentially? I'm having a crisis right now.
https://www.thefreedictionary.com/tendentially Probably meant tangentially anyway.
Ok, this is too many high-profile, apparently unrelated outages in the last month to be completely a coincidence. Hypotheses: 1) software complexity is escalating over time, and logically will continue to until something makes it stop. It has now reached the point where even large companies cannot maintain high reliability. 2) internet volume is continually increasing over time, and periodically we hit a point where…
Ok, this is too many high-profile, apparently unrelated outages in the last month to be completely a coincidence. Hypotheses: 1) software complexity is escalating over time, and logically will continue to until something makes it stop. It has now reached the point where even large companies cannot maintain high reliability. 2) internet volume is continually increasing over time, and periodically we hit a point where…
The brain is the greatest pattern matcher in the world. While it is unlikely all of these companies would have major outages in a month, be wary that the subconscious is constantly generating narratives to explain statistical anomalies. Interesting theories nonetheless:)
You have obviously never tried to model the stock market with a neural net.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
The brain is the greatest pattern matcher in the world. While it is unlikely all of these companies would have major outages in a month, be wary that the subconscious is constantly generating narratives to explain statistical anomalies. Interesting theories nonetheless:)
> be wary that the subconscious is constantly generating narratives to explain statistical anomalies This comes up all the time in sports. Let's take pool for example. There are various guesstimates floating around, and I do not have access to detailed tournament statistics, but I have heard that in games where sinking a ball on the break is an advantage, for decent players there's maybe a 75% chance that a ball will…
Nate Silver did a writeup showing the math around how the winner of the Stanley Cup comes down to little more than random chance.
Ok, this is too many high-profile, apparently unrelated outages in the last month to be completely a coincidence. Hypotheses: 1) software complexity is escalating over time, and logically will continue to until something makes it stop. It has now reached the point where even large companies cannot maintain high reliability. 2) internet volume is continually increasing over time, and periodically we hit a point where…