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Watching o3 guess a photo's location is surreal, dystopian and entertaining

simonwillison.net

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Re: Watching o3 guess a photo's location is surreal, dystopian and entertaining

#381

I wonder what would happen if you give o3 before/after photographs of a crime scene and ask it what happened in between.

No need to wonder, we already know it will hallucinate a bunch of plausible-sounding bullshit.

No less than polygraph tests, and 'spiritualists'. James Randi would have a field day.

Re: Watching o3 guess a photo's location is surreal, dystopian and entertaining

#382

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is also why I buy the apocalyptic headlines about AI replacing white collar labor - most white collar employment is mostly creating the same things (a CRUD app, a landing page, a business plan) with a few custom changes Not a lot of labor is actually engaged in creating novel things. The marketing plan for your small business is going to be the same as the marketing plan for every other small business with some…

I agree but the reason it won’t be an apocalypse is the same reason economists get most things wrong, it’s not an efficient market. Relatively speaking we live in a bubble, there are still broad swaths of the economy that operate with pen and paper. Another broad swath that migrated off 1980s era AS/400 in the last few years. Even if we had ASI available literally today (And we don’t) I’d give it 20-30 years until th…

This doesn't apply to literal ASI, mostly because copy-pasteable intelligence is an absolute gamechanger, particularly if the physical interaction problems that prevent exponential growth (think autonomous robot factory) are solved (which I'd assume a full ASI could do).

People keep comparing to other tools, but a real ASI would be an agent, so the right metaphor is not the effect of the industrial revolution on workers, but the effect of the internal combustion engine on the horse.

Re: Watching o3 guess a photo's location is surreal, dystopian and entertaining

#384
post #63

I play competitive Geoguessr at a fairly high level, and I wanted to test this out to see how it compares. It's astonishingly good. It will use information it knows about you to arrive at the answer - it gave me the exact trailhead of a photo I took locally, and when I asked it how, it mentioned that it knows I live nearby. However, I've given it vacation photos from ages ago, and not only in tourist destinations eit…

Makes me wonder what the ceiling even is for human players if AI can now casually flex knowledge that would take us years to grind out.

Re: Watching o3 guess a photo's location is surreal, dystopian and entertaining

#385

For all of the images I've tried, the base model (e.g. 4o) already has a ~95% accurate idea of where the photo is, and then o3 does so much tool use only to confirm its intuition from the base model and slightly narrow down. For OP's initial image, 4o in fact provides a more accurate initial guess of Carmel-by-the-Sea (d=~100mi The clue is in the CoT - you can briefly see the almost correct location as the very first…

Kind of like it's just trying to make the answer look earned instead of just blurting it out right away

Re: Watching o3 guess a photo's location is surreal, dystopian and entertaining

#386
post #63

I play competitive Geoguessr at a fairly high level, and I wanted to test this out to see how it compares. It's astonishingly good. It will use information it knows about you to arrive at the answer - it gave me the exact trailhead of a photo I took locally, and when I asked it how, it mentioned that it knows I live nearby. However, I've given it vacation photos from ages ago, and not only in tourist destinations eit…

Makes me wonder what the ceiling even is for human players if AI can now casually flex knowledge that would take us years to grind out.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRqKPDJYyLE

Re: Watching o3 guess a photo's location is surreal, dystopian and entertaining

#387
post #25

I added a section just now with something I had missed: o3 DOES have a loose model of your location fed into it, which I believe is intended to support the new search feature (so it can run local searches). The thinking summary it showed me did not reference that information, but it's still very possible that it used that in its deliberations. I ran two extra example queries for photographs I've taken thousands of mi…

Still, the fact it handled photos from totally different continents pretty well suggests it's not just leaning on that crutch

Re: Watching o3 guess a photo's location is surreal, dystopian and entertaining

#389

I tested on this image: https://imgur.com/a/YSoMBc1 It nailed it down to the exact park in Lisbon: https://maps.app.goo.gl/vpvqA14TCbeFb3Rd7 > The little clues that make me lean that way are the Portuguese-language exercise sign (“Abdominais”), the classic calçada portuguesa cobblestone path, the style of the outdoor-gym equipment the city installs, and—biggest tell—the long red-and-white neoclassical façade in the b…

It's weird that it did not guess the second picture. There's visible Thai text and even a Thai flag.

I've had it fail similarly where it saw some text, messed up the OCR and was then lead to a wrong conclusion.

Re: Watching o3 guess a photo's location is surreal, dystopian and entertaining

#390

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I had a stalker in the past. I feel more comfortable without him knowing where i live. In general i have a strong need for privacy. Not having privacy is generally unsettling, in the same way that i close the door when using a toilet or having a shower. I am disturbed by people that don't seem to have an understanding of that concept.

Being able to locate people through photos is nothing new. Yes, AI made it more accessible, but it should've always been a part of your threat model.

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