Earlier quoted context omitted.
Part of the point of UBI is to confront this "if you don't work, you can't eat" attitude head-on, and change it to one where all citizens deserve a certain amount of money (however small, to start) just for being people who stay out of trouble. It's an uphill battle to be sure.
> this "if you don't work, you can't eat" attitude It's not an "attitude", it's a fact of life. In order for you to eat, a certain amount of work has to be done. Why should someone else do it if you're perfectly capable? We've already made it a lot easier for you by having a huge economy where you can do all sorts of things that can be traded for food, instead of having to grow all your own food yourself. The attitud…
The Great American Share – Sam Altman Interview on Basic Income
381–389 of 389 posts
Re: The Great American Share – Sam Altman Interview on Basic Income
#382Earlier quoted context omitted.
> If the government spends and the economy responds productively to that spending, then you're fine. Taxing is a separate issue. You should only really tax when you want to remove money from a specific part of the economy. Or when you don't want your government to run a deficit. Or when you don't want to finance your government by printing money. That always ends badly, no matter how clever the mechanism is this time…
> > If the government spends and the economy responds productively to that spending, then you're fine. Taxing is a separate issue. You should only really tax when you want to remove money from a specific part of the economy. > Or when you don't want your government to run a deficit. Why wouldn't you want to run a deficit? What do you feel is the downside? Are there times when it's appropriate to run a deficit and tim…
The difference is whether the government borrows money, or simply creates it. (And yes, I am aware that borrowing money can create money, via the magic of fractional reserve banking.) When the government borrows the money, they have to pay it back, or at least pay interest on it. This puts some constraint on the government. Whereas if the government creates the money, there is no constraint - it can spend as much money as it wants. If you don't see why that might be a problem, let me ask you: Have you looked at Congress lately?
But if the government is using the money to create things of value to the society, what's the problem? That's a reasonable position - if the government is doing so. And for some government spending, that's true. But for a fair amount of it, no, it is not invested in creating things of value to society, and so no, society does not get a return from it.
Take the military, for example. It keeps other nations from destroying things of value to our society, but it doesn't create any value. (It creates jobs, and profits, but not anything of productive value.) And that means that it's a drain on society - the people who are in the service, or creating weapons, could be doing something else of more value to society - teaching children, or repairing roads and bridges, or building a better air traffic control system.
So if Congress can create money, it can divert as much of the actual productive ability of the economy - people and materials - to whatever Congress thinks will get more votes. Again, I say, look at Congress. Do you really want to give them the ability to steer unlimited amounts of the economy to do whatever they think should be done? I don't. It's a horrible idea.
I was going to answer more of your questions, but this is already long enough.
Re: The Great American Share – Sam Altman Interview on Basic Income
#383Earlier quoted context omitted.
> this "if you don't work, you can't eat" attitude It's not an "attitude", it's a fact of life. In order for you to eat, a certain amount of work has to be done. Why should someone else do it if you're perfectly capable? We've already made it a lot easier for you by having a huge economy where you can do all sorts of things that can be traded for food, instead of having to grow all your own food yourself. The attitud…
There's no "fact of life" here, it's just outdated ideology. If only one person in twenty is needed to grow food (in the US, presumably), that means we can easily feed everyone. But we can't find jobs for everyone. Automation will make it worse.
Who is this "we"? When I translate what you say into plain English, what I get is: One in twenty people will grow food and be forced to give it to everyone else, whether they want to or not. I agree that is an outdated ideology, yes. But the fact that food needs to be produced somehow is not.
> we can't find jobs for everyone
Again, who is "we"? Whose job is it to find jobs for everyone? Why is that necessary?
> Automation will make it worse
Automation can make things cheaper and cheaper; that's why it has continued to increase. That's making things better, not worse.
What makes things worse is pretending that products and services, whether produced by automation or any other means, will magically get distributed to where they are needed, or that "we" will magically decide correctly how that is to be done. That is indeed an outdated ideology, but unfortunately many people have not yet gotten the memo.
What will make things better is admitting that products and services have to be produced, and then traded for other products and services, in order for people to get the things they need. So the more efficient that process is, the less effort it will take for people to get the things they need, and therefore the easier it will be for them to do so.
Re: The Great American Share – Sam Altman Interview on Basic Income
#384Earlier quoted context omitted.
There's no "fact of life" here, it's just outdated ideology. If only one person in twenty is needed to grow food (in the US, presumably), that means we can easily feed everyone. But we can't find jobs for everyone. Automation will make it worse.
> If only one person in twenty is needed to grow food (in the US, presumably), that means we can easily feed everyone. Who is this "we"? When I translate what you say into plain English, what I get is: One in twenty people will grow food and be forced to give it to everyone else, whether they want to or not. I agree that is an outdated ideology, yes. But the fact that food needs to be produced somehow is not. > we ca…
If the paychecks stop coming and nothing replaces them, consumers stop buying and you get a recession or worse. The key is to keep the money flowing from companies to consumers in some other way. The clever bit with the "Great American Share" idea is that the money gets collected via dividends instead of taxes.
Re: The Great American Share – Sam Altman Interview on Basic Income
#385If you gave everybody a dollar, wouldn't businesses increase their prices, and consumers be okay with that price increase because they have more disposable income?
No. And the reason is that by distributing the new money evenly, you're increasing the price elasticity of demand. Instead of increasing the amount of money people are willing to pay for goods, you're increasing the number of people who want to buy goods. So instead of having an incentive to raise their prices, producers will have more of an incentive to produce more. And as long as you're not coming up against resou…
Re: The Great American Share – Sam Altman Interview on Basic Income
#386Earlier quoted context omitted.
> If only one person in twenty is needed to grow food (in the US, presumably), that means we can easily feed everyone. Who is this "we"? When I translate what you say into plain English, what I get is: One in twenty people will grow food and be forced to give it to everyone else, whether they want to or not. I agree that is an outdated ideology, yes. But the fact that food needs to be produced somehow is not. > we ca…
The money flow for Social Security is taxes -> senior citizens -> Walmart (and other stores) -> suppliers. The money flow for basic income would be similar. How stuff gets produced isn't magic; it's much the same as today's economy. If the paychecks stop coming and nothing replaces them, consumers stop buying and you get a recession or worse. The key is to keep the money flowing from companies to consumers in some ot…
No, the money flow for Social Security is payments that were previously made by the recipients. At least, that's how it's supposed to work. It's only because our government has raided the Social Security trust fund for decades that current payments have to be paid from tax revenues.
> How stuff gets produced isn't magic; it's much the same as today's economy.
You didn't include production anywhere in your money flow. Where does it come in?
Re: The Great American Share – Sam Altman Interview on Basic Income
#387Earlier quoted context omitted.
> > If the government spends and the economy responds productively to that spending, then you're fine. Taxing is a separate issue. You should only really tax when you want to remove money from a specific part of the economy. > Or when you don't want your government to run a deficit. Why wouldn't you want to run a deficit? What do you feel is the downside? Are there times when it's appropriate to run a deficit and tim…
> What do you feel the difference is between deficit spending and printing money? The difference is whether the government borrows money, or simply creates it. (And yes, I am aware that borrowing money can create money, via the magic of fractional reserve banking.) When the government borrows the money, they have to pay it back, or at least pay interest on it. This puts some constraint on the government. Whereas if t…
Sort of. Each individual debt obligation has to be repaid as it comes due, but that's different from saying that total volume of debt ever needs to be paid down. The government can be meeting its debt obligations while at the same time increasing the total amount of debt. As long as there's a market for government debt, they can continue to roll over their debt.
They have to pay interest too, but this isn't exactly a problem. They can always borrow to pay the interest. And if treasury yields get too high, the Fed can buy up excess government debt. Then one part of the government is just paying interest to another part of the government anyway.
> This puts some constraint on the government. Whereas if the government creates the money, there is no constraint - it can spend as much money as it wants.
The borrowing is creating money. You can deficit spend without the bookkeeping of issuing treasury securities etc., but the result is the similar. The ultimate constraint is still the amount of spending that the economy can productively absorb.
> If you don't see why that might be a problem, let me ask you: Have you looked at Congress lately?
Sure. If Congress doesn't understand how deficits work and you can trick them into creating money without explicitly borrowing (even though you're technically still borrowing), then great. But that's politics, not economics.
> But for a fair amount of it, no, it is not invested in creating things of value to society, and so no, society does not get a return from it.
Correct. If the government spends money in a way that burns resources, it takes those resources away from the productive economy. But if the government spends money in a way that doesn't help, but doesn't hurt either, they can spend unlimited amounts of it without really changing the constraints on how much additional money they can spend. For example, if they printed money and spent it by tossing it down a hole, they could do it for as long as they wanted without hurting anyone, but without helping anyone either.
> And that means that it's a drain on society - the people who are in the service, or creating weapons, could be doing something else of more value to society - teaching children, or repairing roads and bridges, or building a better air traffic control system.
Yup. If labor is scarce and you're making people work on things that are not benefiting society, then you're taking a valuable resource (labor) away from the productive economy. I don't think we're particularly short on labor right now, but the same type of reasoning applies to any resource.
> So if Congress can create money, it can divert as much of the actual productive ability of the economy - people and materials - to whatever Congress thinks will get more votes. Again, I say, look at Congress. Do you really want to give them the ability to steer unlimited amounts of the economy to do whatever they think should be done? I don't. It's a horrible idea.
They already have that ability. I want them to use it to provide a basic income. Maybe that means making basic income more popular so it becomes one of the things that gets them votes.
Re: The Great American Share – Sam Altman Interview on Basic Income
#388Earlier quoted context omitted.
> That's some harsh darwinism that seems to go against the principle of UBI. The principle of UBI is exactly that; give people some money with no strings or instructions and let them make their own decisions. If it's conditional, it's not universal.
For context of GP question was "How do we prevent creating the same inefficient welfare with UBI", to which parent said roughly "Don't care, just give everyone cash". You can't just give a lump sum of money to a guy with down syndrome and hope he will figure out what he needs without some sort of external assistance, i.e. some sort of welfare program. So either UBI is just the most cynical attempt at social darwinism…
Right now the solution to that hypothetical poor down syndrome man is the salvation army and living on the street. I see it every day with a variety of mental health issues outside my luxury apartment. The disparity is sickening, and our system is failing it's people immensely.
Personally I'm very hopeful that a combination of gene editing and AI will alleviate malodies and allow everyone clarity of thought.
Re: The Great American Share – Sam Altman Interview on Basic Income
#389The UBI debate is fundamental to how we perceive society and what kind of society we want to build into the future. If one's idea of human society is people working to earn money. Fullstop. And those who are better at it are the be all and end alls of human civilization and progress and the ultimate aspiration. Then words like lazy, people will not do anything, arguments that are generic enough to block any action, a…
Right now it's only fundamental to the minority of HNers who can't stop talking about it.
> If one's idea of human society is people working to earn money. Fullstop.
We don't work for money, we work for value, I do my part and in return, I'll get food shelter, protection by the police, roads etc.
> This seems to be a pretty impoverished view of humanity.
Requiring people to do their part for the group as a whole is an impoverished view of humanity?
> Then words like lazy
Yes, that is what you call a person who refuses to work, yet probably expects the fruit of other people's labour and yes, that's UBI in a nutshell.
> But one that our current capitalist system necessitates,
And by capitalist you mean all systems that we have tried so far.
> The other way is thinking of the billions of brains wasted every generation just trying to survive, exactly what humans did 2000 years ago.
Survival is just as important to us now as it was 2000 years ago, you are also overlooking the fact that we are getting better and better at it.
> Now imagine if all these brains could be freed and god knows how much innovation, progress and intellectual output can be unlocked into a completely different kind of society. That's a vision.
It's not a vision, it's just ignorance about the huge progress that we made as a species.
> But the reality is many will stick doggedly to the personal wealth and achievement mantra and because of the disproportionate influence of wealth and entrenched interests in our societies right from feudalism to now, and UBI or any such fanciful idea will be sabotaged and blocked.
The reality is: we want stuff. The more value we provide to society, the more stuff we get in return. For you to be able to give me free stuff means that somebody was happy to produce that stuff without getting anything in return, I believe the term for that is slavery.