My simple advice is to stop looking for ideas and to start looking for problems. Look for the pain, and to do that talk to people. The challenge will be that most people accommodate the pain in order to get something done, but they don't like it. A recent pain point I came across was that 501.c(3) organizations are good at organizing but often poor at "the Internet". That suggested that if you talked to a half dozen…
>My simple advice is to stop looking for ideas and to start looking for problems. I concur, and add that HN could really help OP by complaining about random stuff here. Just complain about the first thing that comes to mind that's been bugging you, OP will really appreciate it!
Ask HN: We have a great team and capital but can't find a good idea
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Re: Ask HN: We have a great team and capital but can't find a good idea
#382My simple advice is to stop looking for ideas and to start looking for problems. Look for the pain, and to do that talk to people. The challenge will be that most people accommodate the pain in order to get something done, but they don't like it. A recent pain point I came across was that 501.c(3) organizations are good at organizing but often poor at "the Internet". That suggested that if you talked to a half dozen…
Re: Ask HN: We have a great team and capital but can't find a good idea
#383Re: Ask HN: We have a great team and capital but can't find a good idea
#384Earlier quoted context omitted.
In Norway we have sheep roaming the mountains in summer....and wolves. How many wolves to kill is a huge political issue. Government reimburses sheep killed by wolves. Building fences around the areas is basically impossible. But I hope some day drone-shepherds can do the job.
This would be cool but then the debate remains almost the same, just how many wolves can the drone guarding the sheep shoot, a wolf has got to eat so some programmers got to randomize a few 'look the other way' actions in.
Re: Ask HN: We have a great team and capital but can't find a good idea
#385Setting luck aside, the most important step to success is the first one, project selection.
Currently, broadly the best projects are from (A) information technology or (B) biotech. Of course, some projects could be some of both. Why? Because (i) the basic technology has not yet been nearly fully exploited and (ii) earnings per dollar of opex can be fantastically high.
I prefer (A) information technology because the basic technology has been improving so much so quickly and because we can exploit applied math, old or original, heavily neglected by current information technology business. Why math? Because broadly we take in data, have computers manipulate it, and report the results. For more powerful manipulations, proceed with applied math likely with advanced pure/applied math prerequisites. Not many people are doing this, and this fact is part of the opportunity.
The computers are good at doing what we tell them to do, and the math tells us what to tell the computers to do.
Here I concentrate on information technology.
(1) Problem. Want to find a problem where the first good or a much better solution will be a "must have" for enough people and revenue per person to make a successful business.
(2) Solution. For the first good or much better solution, get some advantages, e.g., from some math. The advantages can be the key to the "first good" or "much better", that is, blow the doors off, knock the socks off, present and likely future competition. And the advantages can be secret sauce, proprietary intellectual property, with trade secret protection, and a technological barrier to entry, i.e., a "Buffett moat."
(3) Use the Internet to deliver the solution. The users can have mobile apps and/or Web browsers.
Okay, I've done (1)-(3). For the problem, currently there is no good solution, and the first good solution will be a "must have" for essentially everyone on the Internet in the world, smartphone to desktop, now and for at least decades to come.
For a fast, first-cut, round-number, back of the envelope, ballpark estimate, based on the above and some other solid, public financial data, the company should grow quickly to be worth $1 T.
Currently the production quality software is in alpha test. To the users, the solution is just a Web site with just a few, simple Web pages that are easy to use and load very quickly (400,000 bits per page with only old HTTP, HTML, and CSS and nearly no JavaScript).
I'm the solo founder, did all the work, and am 100% owner.
I have a long background in computing, especially for science and engineering, and a long background in business. My Ph.D. is in the applied math of stochastic optimal control from one of the world's best research universities.
Re: Ask HN: We have a great team and capital but can't find a good idea
#386The conclusion that I have reached is that the best approach is to find a boring problem. There are so many legacy industries out there that haven't changed in decades. If you can improve one of those, you're basically printing money. This was what Uber did for Taxis. A couple of examples of startups that I've run into lately that are doing this:
ripcord.com: record storage is a multibillion dollar industry in the US alone and is largely controlled by one company that is a hundred years old and has not modernized. spruce.co: title insurance is also a huge industry that is dominated by old companies with zero technology. If you've gone through the process of buying a house you know how ridiculous the signing and title transfer is.
Re: Ask HN: We have a great team and capital but can't find a good idea
#387My simple advice is to stop looking for ideas and to start looking for problems. Look for the pain, and to do that talk to people. The challenge will be that most people accommodate the pain in order to get something done, but they don't like it. A recent pain point I came across was that 501.c(3) organizations are good at organizing but often poor at "the Internet". That suggested that if you talked to a half dozen…
>My simple advice is to stop looking for ideas and to start looking for problems. I concur, and add that HN could really help OP by complaining about random stuff here. Just complain about the first thing that comes to mind that's been bugging you, OP will really appreciate it!
The post goes sufficiently viral that it gains the attention someone within [large entity] who can actually do something about it. This is a terrible model. It's not really a model at all, it is the complete absence of any working model.
Make something that enables individuals to tell large entities that something needs to be done. Effectively turn input from many into a list of meaningful, actionable items that get delivered who have the capacity and desire to do something about it.