Earlier quoted context omitted.
Trying to create "safe superintelligence" before creating anything remotely resembling or approaching "superintelligence" is like trying to create "safe Dyson sphere energy transport" before creating a Dyson Sphere. And the hubris is just a cringe inducing bonus.
'Fearing a rise of killer robots is like worrying about overpopulation on Mars.' - Andrew Ng
Safe Superintelligence Inc.
371–380 of 1001 posts
Re: Safe Superintelligence Inc.
#372Earlier quoted context omitted.
> compensation packages that truly gifted AI researchers can make now I guess it depends on your definition of "truly gifted" but, working in this space, I've found that there is very little correlation between comp and quality of AI research. There's absolutely some brilliant people working for big names and making serious money, there's also plenty of really talented people working for smaller startups doing incred…
Two people I knew recently left Google to join OpenAI. They were solid L5 engineers on the verge of being promoted to L6, and their TC is now $900k. And they are not even doing AI research, just general backend infra. You don't need to be gifted, just good. And of course I can't really fault them for joining a company for the purpose of optimizing TC.
Re: Safe Superintelligence Inc.
#373Ten years from now will either be: a) Remember all that fuss about AI destroying the world? Lol. ~ or ~ b) I'm so glad those people stepped in to save us from doom! Which one do you think is more likely?
Unless AI starts being 1 000 000x energy efficient, my money is on a). The amount of energy required for AI to be dangerous to its creators is so vast that I can't see how it can realistically happen.
Re: Safe Superintelligence Inc.
#374I'm seeing a lot of criticism suggesting that one company understanding safety won't help what other companies or countries do. This is very wrong. Throughout history, measurement has always been the key to enforcement. The only reason the nuclear test ban treaty didn't ban underground tests was because it couldn't be monitored. In the current landscape there is no formal understanding of what safety means or how it…
We establish this regularly in the legal sphere, where people seek mediation for harms from systems they don't have liability and control for.
Re: Safe Superintelligence Inc.
#375Earlier quoted context omitted.
We're really not that far. I'd argue superintelligence has already been achieved, and it's perfectly and knowably safe. Consider, GPT-4o or Claude are: • Way faster thinkers, readers, writers and computer operators than humans are • Way better educated • Way better at drawing/painting ... and yet, appear to be perfectly safe because they lack agency. There's just no evidence at all that they're dangerous. Why isn't t…
Yann LeCun said it best in an interview with Lex Friedman. LLMs don't consume more energy when answering more complex questions. That means there's no inherent understanding of questions. (which you could infer from their structure: LLMs recursively predict the next word, possibly using words they just predicted, and so on).
They can. With speculative decoding (https://medium.com/ai-science/speculative-decoding-make-llm-...) there's a small fast model that makes the initial prediction for the next token, and a larger slower model that evaluates that prediction, accepts it if it agrees, and reruns it if not. So a "simple" prompt for which the small and large models give the same output will run faster and consume less energy than a "complex" prompt for which the models often disagree.
Re: Safe Superintelligence Inc.
#376Earlier quoted context omitted.
> their TC is now $900k. Everyone knows that openai TC is heavily weighted by ~~RSUs~~ options that themselves are heavily weighted by hopes and dreams.
When I looked into it and talked to some hiring managers, the big names were offering cash comp similar to total comp for big tech, with stock (sometimes complicated arrangements that were not options or RSUs) on top of that. I’m talking $400k cash for a senior engineer with equity on top.
Big names where? Inside of openai? What does that even mean?
The only place you can get 400k cash base for senior is quantfi
Re: Safe Superintelligence Inc.
#377Earlier quoted context omitted.
> compensation packages that truly gifted AI researchers can make now I guess it depends on your definition of "truly gifted" but, working in this space, I've found that there is very little correlation between comp and quality of AI research. There's absolutely some brilliant people working for big names and making serious money, there's also plenty of really talented people working for smaller startups doing incred…
Definitely true of even normal software engineering; my experience has been the opposite of expectations, that TC-creep has infected the industry to an irreparable degree and the most talented people I've ever worked around or with are in boring, medium-sized enterprises in the midwest US or australia, you'll probably never hear of them, and every big tech company would absolutely love to hire them but just can't fig…
Re: Safe Superintelligence Inc.
#378Re: Safe Superintelligence Inc.
#379I'm glad Ilya is using his gift again. Hope for the best and success.
Re: Safe Superintelligence Inc.
#380SSI, a very interesting name for a company advancing AI! "Solid State Intelligence" or SSI was also the name of the malevolent entity described in the biography of John C. Lilly [0][1]. It was a network of "computers" (computation-capable solid state systems) that was first engineered by humans and then developed into something autonomous. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_C._Lilly [1] http://johnclilly.com/