Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Polls don't predict anything. Semantic nitpicking. Clearly, my comment was about how well the polls reflected reality. > Some of the poll-based forecasts made errors like.... You're making a different statement than the person I'm responding to, who said that the polls didn't align with reality because they did not weight for education. That is something that is easy to verify. I was simply asking if it was verifie…
> You're making a different statement than the person I'm responding to, who said that the polls didn't align with reality because they did not weight for education. Yes, I'm disagreeing; the polls in 2016 reflected the actual outcome very well (they were off, but not unusually far; the entire idea that there was an unusual error is based on overemphasis of fairly new poll-based predictors, especially one at the NYTi…
That's not how it works. Weighting education samples to match the population they were sampled from is not fitting a particular result.
> Yes, I'm disagreeing
Then your point is irrelevant to the question I was asking. newacct583 said there was a particular problem with the polls, and I pointed out that if the polls had that particular problem, there is an easy way to check. I asked if that check had been done.