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Grand Theft Oil Futures: Insider traders keep making a killing at our expense

paulkrugman.substack.com

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Re: Grand Theft Oil Futures: Insider traders keep making a killing at our expense

#361

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This article seems irrelevant. It cites a publication dated March of '25 that must be compiled from information preceding that by a few months. The US didn't go to war in or around that time period.

The US did in fact bomb the Iranian nuclear facilities in June 2025.

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Re: Grand Theft Oil Futures: Insider traders keep making a killing at our expense

#362

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This article seems irrelevant. It cites a publication dated March of '25 that must be compiled from information preceding that by a few months. The US didn't go to war in or around that time period.

The US did in fact bomb the Iranian nuclear facilities in June 2025.

They'd found 87.5% to 90% enrichment at those facilities before that time.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/01/middleeast/iran-uranium-enric...

The intelligence report isn't related here. They obviously weren't talking about facilities that were known to the public to be enriching beyond energy grade.

Re: Grand Theft Oil Futures: Insider traders keep making a killing at our expense

#363

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And? What actually changed during those few months?

Maybe US intelligence wasn't perfect and they found a clandestine Iranian nuclear program? Maybe Iran restarted it. Who knows?

What we do know is that there was no evidence a few months prior and that Trump explicitly said that he was ignoring the clear lack of evidence in making his decision to attack.

Re: Grand Theft Oil Futures: Insider traders keep making a killing at our expense

#364

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you’re giving Trump too much credit. If he starts firing shots again the war is illegal. The 60 day window is over. He has no appropriated money to fight the war, no public support, and no way out. There is no chess game here. It’s not even checkers. He is just trying to not have to admit he made a mistake - just with billions of dollars and lives on the line. Such sad.

> If he starts firing shots again the war is illegal. Whos gona prosecute america? Germans ar still waiting for somebody to go to jail for Dresden, and rightly so

Americans will need to hold the executive accountable here. Tough to trust, I know.

RE Dresden - trickier with an actual, declared war. We’re also still waiting for some Germans to get put in jail. Not sure WWII is a productive example here haha, but I take your point

Re: Grand Theft Oil Futures: Insider traders keep making a killing at our expense

#365

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If he starts firing shots again the war is illegal. Whos gona prosecute america? Germans ar still waiting for somebody to go to jail for Dresden, and rightly so

Americans will need to hold the executive accountable here. Tough to trust, I know. RE Dresden - trickier with an actual, declared war. We’re also still waiting for some Germans to get put in jail. Not sure WWII is a productive example here haha, but I take your point

Dresden was the firebombing of houses, under the rationale that as citizens produced materials for the war, they weren't civilians anymore but combatants. That also included children and babies. Winston Churchill personally ordered it. Textbook warcrime. But that only matters if there's someone to prosecute you, and they weren't going to send themselves to jail

Re: Grand Theft Oil Futures: Insider traders keep making a killing at our expense

#367

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe US intelligence wasn't perfect and they found a clandestine Iranian nuclear program? Maybe Iran restarted it. Who knows?

What we do know is that there was no evidence a few months prior and that Trump explicitly said that he was ignoring the clear lack of evidence in making his decision to attack.

The article that was in question here doesn't imply what you're claiming.

Do you have one that does?

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