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Reflections on AI at the End of 2025

antirez.com

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Re: Reflections on AI at the End of 2025

#361

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> In any first-world country you can get a GP appointment free of charge Are you really under the assumption that this is a first-world perk?

You're right, it's also true in many middle-income countries, like Brazil.

And also true in "third world" countries.

Re: Reflections on AI at the End of 2025

#362
post #335
post #315

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You don't understand the meaning of "technically". Also, don't use inflammatory language.

P.S. The response is filled with bad faith accusations.

No surprise that the dishonesty and playing the victim is persistent. It's a fact that this person misuses the term "technically", and that they used inflammatory language. Saying so does not dismiss them completely ... but even if it did, so what? Doing so is not bad faith. No one has any obligation to engage with someone. I won't comment further.

Re: Reflections on AI at the End of 2025

#363

I wish people would be more vocal in calling out that LLMs have unquestionably failed to deliver on the 2022-2023 promises of exponential improvement at the foundation model level. Yes they have improved, and there is more tooling around them, but clearly the difference between LLMs in 2025 and 2023 is not as large as 2023 and 2021. If there was truly exponential progress, there would be no possibility of debating th…

My conspiracy theory du jour is that AGI doomerism is a product of supremacist thinking. AGI futures are purely speculative right? So why are they always doom and gloom?

Why can't an AGI be inherently classless, unconcerned with profit or scarcity, and inherently "arc-ing toward justice"?

Because that isn't good news for nerds who think they rightly sit at the top of a meritocracy. An evil AGI is one that confirms tech is the ultimate unconquerable power that only the tech elite can even hope to master.

Re: Reflections on AI at the End of 2025

#364

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> When the appreciable-fraction-of-GDP money tap turns off, there going to be enormous pressure to start putting a finger on the scale here. Yeah, back in the day before monetization Internet pages were informative, reliable and ad-free too.

One difference is that the early internet was heavily composed of enthusiastic individuals. AI is almost entirely corporate and money-focused. Even most hobby AI projects mostly seem to have an eye on being a side hustle or CV buffing. Perhaps it's because even in the 90s you could serve a website for basically free (once you had the server). AI today has a noticeable per-user cost.

> AI is almost entirely corporate and money-focused.

This is untrue. There's a huge landscape of locally-hosted AI stuff, and they're actually doing real interesting research. The problem is that 99% of it is pornography-focused, so understandably it's very underground.

Re: Reflections on AI at the End of 2025

#365
post #362
post #335

Earlier quoted context omitted.

P.S. The response is filled with bad faith accusations.

No surprise that the dishonesty and playing the victim is persistent. It's a fact that this person misuses the term "technically", and that they used inflammatory language. Saying so does not dismiss them completely ... but even if it did, so what? Doing so is not bad faith. No one has any obligation to engage with someone. I won't comment further.

Indeed, don’t comment further: you didn’t even have the respect to respond to me directly. That is categorically deliberately inflammatory. Just respond to the guy you’re talking to like 99% of HN. Why avoid it? It’s a tactic, that’s why, and also pointless.

I’m not a victim of anything. But you are definitely a perpetrator and instigator.

Re: Reflections on AI at the End of 2025

#366
post #197

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Of those things you mention, I only take showers (but not even everyday). But maybe I’m an outlier.

> drive to the store or to work If you don't do that, and are a homesteader, then yes. You are a very small minority outlier. (Assuming you aren't ordering supplies delivered instead of driving to the store. > Eat meat. Yes, not eating meat is in the minority. > Fly on vacation. So, don't vacation, walk to vacation, or drive to vacation? 1/3 are also consumptive. It seems you are either a very significant outlier, or…

I do my commute with my bicycle. Very common in the Netherlands.

For holidays, we did a cycling holiday with our children. They loved it!

I don’t at all feel like an outlier, many friends do similar things.

Re: Reflections on AI at the End of 2025

#367
post #366

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> drive to the store or to work If you don't do that, and are a homesteader, then yes. You are a very small minority outlier. (Assuming you aren't ordering supplies delivered instead of driving to the store. > Eat meat. Yes, not eating meat is in the minority. > Fly on vacation. So, don't vacation, walk to vacation, or drive to vacation? 1/3 are also consumptive. It seems you are either a very significant outlier, or…

I do my commute with my bicycle. Very common in the Netherlands. For holidays, we did a cycling holiday with our children. They loved it! I don’t at all feel like an outlier, many friends do similar things.

Thank you for the clarification! I'm impressed. I've always been envious of the bicycle friendliness of roads in the Netherlands. Here in the US stroads and poor bike infrastructure still reigns. It really depends on the region.

We have a backward orange fool running things for gems like this: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46357881

But it's just as much local political issues as national around here.

Re: Reflections on AI at the End of 2025

#369
post #43

I have programmed 30K+ hours. Do LLMs make bad code: yes all the time (at the moment zero clue about good architecture). Are they still useful: yes, extremely so. The secret sauce is that you'd know exactly what to do without them.

I have programed 10 times that.

For me LLMs are a waste of time.

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