Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think that the problem is that for some, the obvious Occam's razor is that "smartphone is the cause. obviously" and for some "smartphone is a confounding effect of a deeper cause, obviously". Because it is like that, I would say both of these conclusions is not scientifically acceptable: the fact that some people believe that "obviously it's not the case" is enough to demonstrate that it is in reality not obvious.…
> or some "smartphone is a confounding effect of a deeper cause, obviously". But isn't this equally admitting smartphones are the issue? Like whatever deeper cause you're talking about existed before the smartphone. Like imagine you're a farmer and you grow crops that need a lot of water and climate change causes water to dry up in your area. What you're saying is basically "climate change didn't cause your crops to…
Not really: a confounding effect means that there is a cause X that leads to two things: using more smartphone, and depression. If you ban the smartphone, you don't stop the cause X, and you will still have depression.
> "climate change didn't cause your crops to fail because you weren't growing drought resistant crops. Climate change is just a confounding effect on a deeper issue."
That is not a confounding effect. Confounding is: X -> A + X -> B, and if you break the link between X and A, X -> B is unaffected. Your example is X -> A -> B, with X = climate change, A = drought, B = non-drought resistant plant die.
A confounding effect with climate change would be: imagine you're a farmer and you grow crops that need a lot of water and you use the electricity from the hydroelectric central 100 miles away. What you are saying when you say that smartphone are the issue is like saying "the crops are dying and the central cannot produce electricity anymore, so if I use photovoltaic panel, the crops will not die anymore".
("crop dying" = depression, "producing electricity" = not using smartphone)
> I think what makes the discussion about smartphones unique vs. other social topics is that the adoption of the smartphone and social media was so swift that it's very easy to study mental well-being before the smartphone and after the smartphone without worrying about other changes in lifestyle.
That does not make sense: if you are arguing that smartphones increase global depression, then you are saying that smartphones induced a change in lifestyle. If smartphone can do it swiftly, then other things can do it too.