Earlier quoted context omitted.
Local models will never compete with large SOTA models, in the same way an iPhone doesn't compete with supercomputers doing nuclear simulations. They paths will differentiate and split. Probably SOTA models will eventually be locked down and only accessible to state actors because of how expensive they will be to run (already started with Mythos).
Isn't Mythos mostly hype though?
The US is winning the AI race where it matters most: commercialization
351–360 of 718 posts
Re: The US is winning the AI race where it matters most: commercialization
#352Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's a war in the sense that there's a concern that eventually you hit a singularity and can outsmart others in ways not constrained by human scales. If you make better guns, you're still limited by how many people can carry them. You can't conquer the world just like this. But if someone invents super intelligence, they can dominate new AI research, control global economies, fight much better, and all very quickly.
With the irony being that a true super intelligence, and least in my definition, would conclude that war and dominance is stupid.
I always thought the first true AGI would be an unabashed communist. To think that such a system would straight up kill all humans, and not say the "capitalist pigs destroying the planet" always felt like wishful thinking from billionaires.
Re: The US is winning the AI race where it matters most: commercialization
#353Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's a war in the sense that there's a concern that eventually you hit a singularity and can outsmart others in ways not constrained by human scales. If you make better guns, you're still limited by how many people can carry them. You can't conquer the world just like this. But if someone invents super intelligence, they can dominate new AI research, control global economies, fight much better, and all very quickly.
With the irony being that a true super intelligence, and least in my definition, would conclude that war and dominance is stupid.
I think that you are assuming that the "super intelligence" that might one day arise is not likely to think in human terms.
Re: The US is winning the AI race where it matters most: commercialization
#354Considering that you can easily swap out one AI for another and there is zero lock-in potential, does it really matter who is winning now?
Re: The US is winning the AI race where it matters most: commercialization
#355Earlier quoted context omitted.
Privacy is a concern everywhere, but the center of gravity of the issue moves further up or down the chain depending on the country. The structure of the US makes it basically the single most secure democracy anywhere right now or in history. No country in Europe or Europe as a whole is even competitive by comparison. The main issue we're facing is that we are by far the primary target for foreign funded activism and…
> the single most secure democracy anywhere right now or in history. So secure, in fact, that it has secured itself even against the influence of its own citizens.
That's not really accurate. The US is structured so that it is self-reinforcing from the bottom up and the top down simultaneously. State laws cannot violate the U.S. constitution and many types of elections cannot be gerrymandered. Even gerrymandered legislatures have limits on what they can do. You can't simply have one party change a state's constitution. Even congress can't be entirely gerrymandered.
Also, we have guns. LOTS of guns. The U.S. military's first and sole responsibility is to the constitution itself. If any state or the federal government tries to get rid of their constitutions, the military can rightfully take it over and re-establish a constitution.
There is no other country that's even remotely close to this secure.
Re: The US is winning the AI race where it matters most: commercialization
#356Considering that you can easily swap out one AI for another and there is zero lock-in potential, does it really matter who is winning now?
couldn't you say the same about search?
Re: The US is winning the AI race where it matters most: commercialization
#357This para caught my eye >Frontier cyber models may push states and defense firms toward the opposite logic: security by obscurity, with closed software, closed tooling, closed firmware, and closed chips. If a model cannot train on the code and architecture of a target stack, it will usually have less context and less speed. That does not make systems safe, but it does raise the value of proprietary stacks all the way…
> Should we interpret this to mean that in the new world Windows is more resistant to attacks than say Linux.
LLMs can read assembly better than most, so probably not. But reality has never stopped people from trying to obfuscate.
Re: The US is winning the AI race where it matters most: commercialization
#358Strange. I'm switching from Codex and Claude to Pi with Qwen3.6 27B local and Deepseek V4 Flash which is dirt cheap but powerful.
I've built five apps in the last month using DeepSeek, spending less than $1 in total. I am totally in love with DeepSeek and my wife knows it :)
Re: The US is winning the AI race where it matters most: commercialization
#359Considering that you can easily swap out one AI for another and there is zero lock-in potential, does it really matter who is winning now?
Government, industry, and general integration into the business software stacks are not easily swapped out.
Most businesses are adding limitations on using open models.
Re: The US is winning the AI race where it matters most: commercialization
#360Anthropic, OpenAI and Google are the standouts, but the main question for me is, why is this a war? In their own context China has greatly benefitted from this. They shored up their gpu design and manufacturing expertise. If this really is a war, trump is kneecapping the country with his lawlessness and eroding America’s good will. If the world cannot trust China with their data and they cannot trust the U.S. to prov…
> the main question for me is, why is this a war? It's a war because the hinted promise behind the hype that the first organization to reach some as-yet-entirely-theoretical AGI that can bootstrap itself to godlike capabilities will then Install Planetary Overlord* and rule the world as near-deities themselves, with the rest of the (surviving) human race as their slaves. I think it's a nonsensical idea, but that's th…
>Planetary Overlord*
AGI is nice, yet not necessary. The orbit filled with Starlink descendants and datacenters will be the it. Anybody else wanting to get there would have to get permission. SpaceX/Musk have all the components for it to happen - from Starship to AI (including the army of robots on the ground). The governmental power/sovereignty of US will be used as a stepping stone (that is the strategy described in the Palantir's Karp's book "Technological Republic") for such global techno-feudal regime establishment.