What a year of solar and batteries saved us in 2025

Well, neither of these are relevant to my original comment. I never commented on the value prop of the original install, only that your comparison in pricing is just not accurate as one is much more capable. Yes, lots of people want 34kw of standing load, because they want to ensure the offset of their HVAC unit. Generally people getting these systems have ridiculous homes, I've worked on a home with 3 20kw diesel generators. I've worked on a home with a seperate 200 amp service just for their pool side projector TV. Just because someone's wants aren't reasonable doesn't mean they don't want it.

>There are hundreds of thousands of forums and YouTube videos from DIY who rave about EG4.

EG4 sucks to try to pry anything out of. I don't actually like Sol-Ark that much either, but they're better to deal with and a better deal. Best deal is just to get an SRNE or similar straight from the source. Again, I paid $800 for my SRNE. I could get a second and parallel it and be outperforming the EG4 for a $3,400 discount. Youtubers are youtubers, not a source of truth. All those same youtubers shill battle born, too...

>Lol. And you don't even understand that specifications ratings because they very explicitly say the amps...

I'm not the one that has conflated two 50 amp phases with a 100 amp service. That's a 50 amp service. 12kw is 12kw. I keep repeating the math because you clearly keep misunderstanding it. A small electric range is typically on a 240 50 amp circuit, incredibly common in most households, and that's a small one.

>Identical system.

How is this identical? $5K for all other labor and materials? How much you paying per foot for the Class K to parallel the batteries? What's the homerun distance on the PV? Your AHJ require metal conduit on the DC runs inside the attic? Shit, if they require a 3R lockable lever disco that's $900 right there before fuses. What you penetrating with? What racking system you using? Shingle or metal roof? If shingle you doing the labor to pull shingles and put in flashing or you hacking it up with some HUGS/RT Minis? What's your max span between mounts given the wind load? S-5!s and HUGs add up fast when you can't get away with a large span. What's your interlock method? If you're landing in the MSP are you derating the mainbreaker? You value your time so little after all that material that you're still under $5k?

Edit: Also, you're gonna be paying a whole lot for LTL on that partial pallet of panels and 14' (if you get the short stuff) racking.

> For lithium, near-term markets appear well-supplied, but rapidly growing demand is expected to push the market into deficit by the 2030s

We've been pushed into lithium supply deficit in the past, and quickly got out of it. This is not a statement that there's not enough lithium or copper, rather that the market wants more than they currently see in development. The IEA document doesn't say anything about electrification not being possible, it's meant as a signal to policy makers to ensure that new copper mines can open up in the future, and that there's great opportunity for countries that do that.

When people are making 100 billion dollar bets on factories that use copper as an input, they are also ensuring their supply years out, which enables development of the necessary mines.

Say the worst case predictions from the document come true: there's a price spike in copper due to there being greater demand than supply. That drives up prices, which spurs on more copper mine development, but the existing copper is still being used to make the energy transition. The electrification trend continues, but just at the rate of current copper extraction! Clever people find substitutions for the electrification challenge. Or people substitute inferior and more expensive non-electrified traditional industry rather than the new tech.

There's a fundamental difference between metals for infrastructure and fuels like oil: if you have a fuel supply shortage it causes inflation, economic contraction, etc. With a shortage of copper and increase in prices in devices that use it, people wait a bit to replace that old appliance (maybe), or use an alternative that perhaps requires fossil fuels.

> Most grids aren't built that way anyway. The residential units are sinks, not sources. In Sweden we don't even have much solar power but already there have been policies aimed at reducing grid exports from residential units, because they are mostly redundant and even harmful.

Grid engineers are extremely conservative, and don't want to learn anything new, and always resist at first. Until somebody shows them how it works, they claim it's impossible. That allowing individual homes to feed back to neighbors will break everything. Then people do it and its fine. Then grid engineers claim that at 1-2% of variable supply the whole grid will come down. Then 1-2% of supply is variable solar and everything is great, so the engineers claim that 5% is the new limit. Or 10%. Or 30%. They are living in the past, don't want to learn anything new, and assume that anything new is impossible. It's a natural feeling for engineers that should be very conservative, but also incorrect. They complain about needing inertia, reactive power, without realizing that all that is quite possible with existing tech! Until a proper cost analysis is done by independent people that are fully honest about the costs, I wouldn't trust anybody saying that allowing a home to feed back into the grid is harmful. Plus, batteries negate the need to feed back into the grid at all. Keep homes as 100% sinks, just pulling down electricity far less. Or put batteries in homes to reduce their peak draw from the grid, so that all the rest of the grid can be far cheaper. There's so much potential that gets ignored just because batteries are new tech.