Earlier quoted context omitted.
I agree with you. My reference in business questioning value was on the flood of money going into building new models. That’s where we will see a significant and painful culling soon as it’s all becoming quite commoditized and there’s only so much room in the market when that happens. Tooling, security services and other things to build on top of a commoditized generative AI market opens up other doors for products t…
> flood of money going into building new models In my experience, there really hasn't been that significant of a flood of money in this space for several years now, or at least not to the level I've seen based on discussion here on HN. I think HN tends to skew towards conversations around models for some reason, but almost all my peers are either funding or working on either tooling or ML driven applications since 20…
Emad Mostaque resigned as CEO of Stability AI
351–360 of 429 posts
Re: Emad Mostaque resigned as CEO of Stability AI
#352The underlying reason is that current AI businesses and models are failing to capture any significant economic value. We're going to get there, but it will take some more work. It won't be decades, but a few more years would be helpful
Midjourney is the most popular discord channel by far with 19.5M+ members, $200M in revenue in 2023 with 0 external investments and only 40 employees. The problem has nothing to do with commercializing image gen AI and all to do with Emad/Stability having seemingly 0 sensible business plans. Seriously this seemed to be the plan: Step 1: Release SD for free Step 2: ??? Step 3: Profit The vast majority of users couldn'…
Automatic1111, ComfyUI, Oobabooga. There's more value within these 3 projects than within at least 1 billion dollars worth of money thrown around on yet another podunk VC backed firm with no product.
It appears that no one is even trying to seriously compete with them on the two primary things that they excel at - 1. Developer/prosumer focus and 2. extension ecosystem.
Also, if you're a VC/Angel reading my comments about this, I would very much love to talk to you.
Re: Emad Mostaque resigned as CEO of Stability AI
#353Earlier quoted context omitted.
I agree with you. My reference in business questioning value was on the flood of money going into building new models. That’s where we will see a significant and painful culling soon as it’s all becoming quite commoditized and there’s only so much room in the market when that happens. Tooling, security services and other things to build on top of a commoditized generative AI market opens up other doors for products t…
> flood of money going into building new models In my experience, there really hasn't been that significant of a flood of money in this space for several years now, or at least not to the level I've seen based on discussion here on HN. I think HN tends to skew towards conversations around models for some reason, but almost all my peers are either funding or working on either tooling or ML driven applications since 20…
Re: Emad Mostaque resigned as CEO of Stability AI
#354Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Business minded folks are already starting to deeply question where the value is relative to the amount of money spent on training. Not just training but inference too, right? They have to make money off each query.
Yes. Each query needs to generate enough revenue to pay for the cost of running the query, a proportional cost of the cost to train the original model, overhead, SG&A, etc. just to break even. Few have shown a plan to do that or explained in a defensible way how they’re going to get there. A challenge at the moment is a lot of the AI movement is led by folks that are brilliant technologists but have little to no expe…
if the Good Lord's willing and the creek don't rise
Re: Emad Mostaque resigned as CEO of Stability AI
#355Earlier quoted context omitted.
OpenAI and midjourney have millions of paying customers.
Yeah, but not sure if OpenAI is profitable yet (they lost $500M last year), and costs are rising, and competition increasing. GPT-4 cost $100M+ to train (Altman), but Dario Amodei has said next-gen models may cost $1B to train, and $10B models are not inconceivable. I'd guess OpenAI's payroll is probably $0.5B (770 highly paid employees + benefits, not to mention hundreds of contractors creating data sets).
They're doing what they should: growing the customer base while continuing to work on the next generation of the core technology, and developing the support code to apply what they have to as broad a cross-section of problems as they have the potential to offer a solution for.
Re: Emad Mostaque resigned as CEO of Stability AI
#356Bubble starting to burst, history doesn’t repeat itself but it rhymes
Re: Emad Mostaque resigned as CEO of Stability AI
#357Earlier quoted context omitted.
We have, there are a bunch of bottom of the barrel executives that have done hiring freezes and layoffs under the assumption that AI would replace everything. It will go the exact same way as the outsourcing craze that swept the industry in the mid aughts. The executives that initiate the savings will be praised and rewarded lavishly, and then when everything blows up and falls apart those responsible for the short s…
Are there any good numbers on how many positions this has affected?
Re: Emad Mostaque resigned as CEO of Stability AI
#358Earlier quoted context omitted.
Most people mix up all the different kinds of intellectual property basically all the time[0], so while people say it's about copyright, I (currently) think it's more likely to be a mixture of "moral rights" (the right to be named as the creator of a work) and trademarks (registered or otherwise), and in the case of celebrities, "personality rights": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Personality_rights > It's just not th…
> Der Kuss (by Klimt) is widely regarded as being good art, The point is, generative AI images are not widely regarded as good art. They're often seen as passable for some filler use cases and hard to tell apart from human generations, but not "good". It's not not-there-yet because AI sometimes generates sixth fingers, it's something another level from Gustav Klimt, Damien Hirst, Kusama Yayoi, or the likes[0]. It cou…
> It's not not-there-yet because AI sometimes generates sixth fingers, it's something another level from Gustav Klimt
My point is: yes AI is different — it's better. (Or, less provocatively: better by my specific standards).
Always? No. But I chose Der Kuss specifically because of the high regard in which it is held, and yet to my eye it messes with anatomy as badly as if he had put 6 fingers on one of the hands (indeed, my first impression when I look closely at the hand of the man behind the head of the woman, is that the fingers art too long and thumb looks like a finger).
Re: Emad Mostaque resigned as CEO of Stability AI
#359Really sad to see. Emad pivoting to posting crypto nonsense on twitter made me think the writing is on the wall for Stability, but I still didn't expect it so soon. I expect they'll pivot to closed models and then fade away.
Translation of “stepping down to focus on distributed AI”: Getting fired and making moves to capitalize on the current crypto boom while it lasts