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Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

stephendiehl.com

341–350 of 561 posts

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#341

Note that this post includes a major spoiler for the show The Good Place . The show is fantastic, so I'd suggest not reading unless you've already finished season 1, or have decided it's not for you.

[flagged]

I disagree that a spoiler warning qualifies as a “dismissal” or even a “complaint”.

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#342
post #339

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Crypto was initially interesting to me because scarcity based economics is failing us and crypto give us a way to explore alternatives. But so far, nearly everything we've built with it has just been a clone of some scarcity-based thing that already exists outside of crypto. Since then I've come to the conclusion that it's never worthwhile to buy crypto with fiat. Any scheme which asks that of its users creates too m…

> scarcity based economics is failing us and crypto give us a way to explore alternatives The entire field of crypto was an attempt to create scarcity where none existed, by turning scarce electricity into special numbers.

It was about creating a rules based monetary system. It made engineering sense to start with a mimic of a system that was already known to be consistent (gold), but the feeling I got was that it was much more about letting the people choose which rules they wanted to follow, and less about favoring any particular ruleset (i.e. ones that create scarcity).

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#343
post #50

I've been deep into crypto for years and I was a big stablecoin supporter. I was fascinated by the tech and I still am. But everything outside the tech itself is just trash, scams, and gambling. I've come to believe that "pure" decentralization is neither practical nor particularly convenient. The only real use case that makes sense to me is giving people in developing countries access to a stable currency they can a…

I'm not into it but I'm fascinated by the cryptographic aspect and the legal aspect of it all. > Outside of that, as an EU/US citizen I don't see why I'd hold stablecoins instead of fiat. Especially as an EU citizen: in the EU it is illegal, by law, to have stablecoin yield. So for example the HN unicorn Coinbase can give 3.5% yield annualized (or whatever the current yield is), automatically, to anyone in the US tha…

> as an EU citizen on my brokerage account, where I have real USDs, they automatically yield when they're idling.

"money market fund". If they're yielding, they're holding bonds. Normally this distinction doesn't matter, but we're deep into financial plumbing here.

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#346

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Isn't the whole point of an economy a method of resolving scarcity? Money is a proxy for participation; it keeps me from having to agree to paint the miller's fence in exchange for some flour.

That's the perspective that our current systems are based on. And back when the majority of the problems that people were up against had to do with there being not enough of something to go around--when it took half of us working in the fields just to feed the rest of us--then the system worked relatively well. 9 times out of 10, when somebody got a loan (which is the event that injects dollars into the system) it ha…

I don't really agree with your framing.

Something like Amazon is a partnership between the capital class and, to zeroth-order, everybody else, to screw over a small slice of the proletariat (their own employees and retail / warehouse workers) and the bourgeoisie (brick-and-mortar store owners).

It sucks when the capitalist Eye of Sauron focuses on however you make your living as a thing-to-make-more-efficient but when it lands on how someone else makes their living shit gets cheaper.

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#347
post #222

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So is bleach, that doesn’t inherently justify anything past a warning label.

People rarely die from taking bleach (except when they want to). About 100,000 die annually from drugs in the US alone. And people "high" on bleach never killed or injured anybody.

In the US, “unintentional poisoning deaths numbered 75,761 in 2023”

> About 100,000 die annually from drugs in the US alone.

A single substance vs all drugs including prescription, over the counter, and hard drugs while including suicide etc is hardly the support you think it is.

Further actually using the correct numbers and then trying to justify US drug policy based on hard drug overdoses fails when you look at hard drug overdoses in other countries. US numbers are high not because it’s an hard problem, but because our policy is bad.

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#348
post #327

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The fundamental structural problems from 2007-8 are still here. The system has been running with paper over the cracks in the foundation for almost 20 years.

Every system ever has been a patchwork. Dodd-Frank and it's orderly liquidation rules are a genuine benefit. We had a commercial bank collapse a few years ago and there was no contagion.

Most of the market is now in shadow banks. What happens when they collapse?

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#349
post #51

Isn’t this related to financial nihilism where normal people can’t invest or earn enough to grow money for basic life costs like housing and college with standard investments or jobs. They need a moonshot, hence gambling has become normalized. It isn’t even about the White House or crypto per se, it’s a desperate embrace of risk to catch up.

It's the same with everything speculative, including polymarket, spaceX , tesla etc. Where previous generations inflated physical goods values (and real estate), the new ones are inflating digital air.

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#350

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I use crypto for exchange between friends (US + EU) and myself (SE Asia). Our options are IBAN (slow!), WesternUnion (fees, denials, hassles) or crypto (10min, cheap). We chose crypto - because it’s the practical path from their bank to mine. CashApp and Coinbase interface with my actual bank accounts, on my end. If you don’t do international banking, then much of the utility is diminished — so I’m not surprised by y…

This actually applies to the US as well. Anytime you need to send $1k+ to a stranger the process is a pain in the ass. > ACH, most bank does not allow send to stranger, and it takes 1~3 days for settlement among those which allow. > Wire, expensive ~$30 per transaction. > Paypal/Venmo/CashApp, Schrödinger's fraud trigger you never know it's gonna work or not. Plus they report to IRS so more paperwork during tax seaso…

Very similar use case but even for smaller amounts. I try to be as free software as possible so USDC is my go to alternative to Venmo/Apple Pay. I would use GNU Taler if it worked with U.S. banks.
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