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Local AI needs to be the norm

unix.foo

341–350 of 804 posts

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#341
I'm going through a similar exercise right now in an app I'm building. No server dependencies, for features that have traditionally used server side APIs, moving those capabilities onto the device. And also utilizing the on-board AI features provided by Android and iOS. So far it's been a very positive experience, and the capabilities provided on these devices have been more than capable for my needs. Working on providing apps that don't have ongoing operation costs of running server side infrastructure, so I can offer them as "pay once, run it forever" instead of ongoing subscription costs for the user.

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#343

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No one runs SOTA models 24/7 for individual use or even for a single household or small business, whereas you can run your own hardware basically 24/7 for AI inference. With the new DeepSeek V4 series and its uniquely memory-light KV cache you can even extend this to parallel inference in order to hide memory bandwidth bottlenecks and increase compute intensity. This is perhaps not so useful on a 128GB or 96GB RAM Ap…

deepseek v4 flash on mlx at 1m context runs at 20 t/s decode on a mac studio m3 ultra with 512gb of RAM

Just because you read it on a github repo doesn't make it true, it also doesn't take into account cpu temps and inevitable throttling you'll encounter.

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#344
post #80

They will be, and that moment is not that far off. We've got the progression in place already: first, large data centers could have performant LLMs, we are now firmly in "a bunch of servers with a couple of H100s each" territory, slowly going into "128 GB VRAM on a MacBook Pro or a Strix Halo". Within the next year, the pattern of "expensive remote LLM for planning, local slow-but-faster-than-human LLM for execution"…

Except you will want the frontier to compete. Local models are useful but you will always need $$$ to be in the same order of magintude as frontier. And also $$$ for same token speed.

The question is would you choose to save $10 a day if it causes your inference to slow down 10x and waste 2 hours a day waiting on stuff.

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#345
post #211

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Compute has gone back and forth from mainframe/thin client to fat client a few times already. LLMs will probably follow at some point but I think it's going to take a long time. The cost to transmit text is basically free and instantaneous. The rent (i.e. a GPU in a data center) vs buy is going to favor rent until buy is a trivial expense. Like 50-100 range. Even then a LLM that just works is easier than dealing with…

Storage has moved back and forth but I don't thnk compute has ever really gone back to thin client. Even Gmail, Google Docs, etc are running a buttload of javascript on the user device. Various attempts at avoiding that (remote .NET or JVM stuff on early "smart-ish" phones) crashed and burned. Video game streaming is the closest thing, and it's never really taken off. (And this, IMO, is a good comparison because it's…

There was a time where people ran software on their computer with limited connectivity. Late 90s/early 2000s most of what you did was running locally on your machine. Your emails would be downloaded and there'd be a shared drive but otherwise all local.

Anyways, who's spending $1k for a LLM machine when they can spend $20 (or 0) on a subscription? And who's having an LLM crunching away 24/7 anyways? Anyone who is going to do something like that probably wants a cutting edge model.

It'll (probably) get to a point where the hardware is cheap enough and advancement levels off. But we're a ways from that and even then when a data center is 20ms away why not offload heavy compute that's mostly text in text out.

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#346

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have two A100s and have been playing with local models for years. There's definitely moments where they are quite impressive, but small context sizes and unreliability become immediately obvious. > For those of us a bit crazy, we are running KimiK2.6, GLM5.1 Yes, those can compare to Opus, but you can't run those unquantized for less than $400k in hardware.

Two Mac Studio M3 Ultra 512GB and 1 USB cable can run all those models - maybe about $30,000 in hardware - and based on my benchmarks, those Mac Studios were twice as fast as the A100s on Deepseek v4 Flash, which has a quantization but not really a lossy one.

That cannot run KimiK2.6 or GLM5.1 i.e models within the ballpark of anything offered by frontier companies.

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#347
post #212
post #80

They will be, and that moment is not that far off. We've got the progression in place already: first, large data centers could have performant LLMs, we are now firmly in "a bunch of servers with a couple of H100s each" territory, slowly going into "128 GB VRAM on a MacBook Pro or a Strix Halo". Within the next year, the pattern of "expensive remote LLM for planning, local slow-but-faster-than-human LLM for execution"…

> They will be, and that moment is not that far off. It's here, right now. I'm running quantized Qwen and Gemma on a decent, but three years old gaming rig (think RTX 3080 12GB and 32 GB RAM). Yes, it's slow, it has a small context window. But it can (given a proper harness) run through my trip photos and categorize them. It can OCR receipts and summarize spendings. It can answer simple questions, analyze code and ev…

Multiple gazillion dollar companies each seem to be spending to ensure that they alone pretty much dominate all knowledge work, with customers eating up their tokens like Cookie Monster. I wonder if the any of them could survive as LLM providers if they not only failed to do that, but the entire industry ended up selling what the current Cookie Monster would call a “sometimes snack,” for very special occasions?

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#348
in order for us to get there, i think we need a standardized api at the os layer for local models so that the os could optimize, batch and safely allocate resources. something like an analog of chrome's local model "prompt" api but provided and managed by the os itself. the user can choose which model they want to primarily use and so on but all of the heavy lifting and continuous batching is done automatically by the os

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#349
post #261
post #253

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> What stops you from running the best open weighted LLMs currently available on consumer grade hardware for the rest of time? Uh… the hardware requirements? And stop acting like some dog shit 8B model the average Joe can run on a laptop is even close to being comparable to what Claude or even Codex can currently do. I have pretty good hardware and I’ve tinkered with the best sub-150B models you can use and they are…

What if the harness and loops get sufficiently better though? CC is using haiku for code-base gripping and such, you don't see a local commodity model being "good enough" for the 80% case when matched with better harnesses and tool calls? honest question, i'm very interested in this, but too casual as of now to know any better.

vast majority of average users don't use llms for coding, and for those purposes, local llms with low param count are a far cry from SOTA models.

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#350
post #122

The example in the post confirms my theory that for local models to succeed they need to be "good enough", not big enough that they can compete with frontier models. They need to be able to do a small task well and they need to be able to run reasonably on consumer-class devices. Even better if they can run on mobile phones. In my experiments with local LLMs I noticed that while increasing the size of the model is ni…

Will there even be a web to search in the future? These days public access blogs are dying and being replaced with hallucinated AI websites. Sites with original research like Reddit and YouTube are being locked up to prevent 3rd party indexing.

Knowledge and clean data sets are becoming increasingly valuable, and free community knowledge is drying up. The next big programming language won’t have years of Stack Overflow posts to train on.

Maybe we will see some kind of licensing deals where owners of good datasets charge you a fee to let your AI search them.

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