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GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

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341–350 of 692 posts

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#341
GM is hemorrhaging money on several fronts:

Dec 4th, 2024

GM braces for a $5 billion hit as it fights to keep up in China’s intensifying EV price war

SAIC-GM revealed in a regulatory filing on Wednesday (via The New York Times) that it expects to write down between $2.6 billion and $2.9 billion in the fourth quarter. The automaker is also expecting another $2.7 billion in restructuring expenses.

https://electrek.co/2024/12/04/gm-faces-5-billion-hit-ev-bat...

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#342

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Umm, yeah. Maybe I wasn't clear. MB Drive Pilot is designed not to attempt to operate outside of a well-defined domain. It will, by design, not operate in a way that is unsafe or in a context in which it's unsafe. You are arguing the system would perform worse in contexts in which you have not seen it perform (because its designers decided to prevent it from such attempts). What evidence do you have for your argument…

> You are arguing the system would perform worse in contexts in which you have not seen it perform (because its designers decided to prevent it from such attempts). Should we also assume that Mercedes cars can fly better than a plane, because we have not yet seen them fly? What kind of logic is that? In other news, OpenAI has solved AGI last year, but is keeping it a secret because it's too dangerous. I have solved s…

What kind of messed-up logic is that? How many products do you think you own that contain hidden features that you're not supposed to know about? Just about everything with at least a microcontroller inside has extra software modules that you never learn about as the end user (e.g. service modes and factory calibration routines).

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#343

GM is hemorrhaging money on several fronts: Dec 4th, 2024 GM braces for a $5 billion hit as it fights to keep up in China’s intensifying EV price war SAIC-GM revealed in a regulatory filing on Wednesday (via The New York Times) that it expects to write down between $2.6 billion and $2.9 billion in the fourth quarter. The automaker is also expecting another $2.7 billion in restructuring expenses. https://electrek.co/2…

GM has a minority ownership at 49%, so I expect that SAIC is taking an even bigger hit? Reading the article, it seems like SAIC-GM is taking the hit, not GM, so divide those losses/expenses in half and that is the effect on GM

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#344
post #208

Earlier quoted context omitted.

GM and the other automakers should be lobbying to change the dealership laws then.

GM can’t match the lobbying power of local dealers in the state houses. Every state rep has a dealer or two in their district, and they employ staff who vote. And, to be fair to the dealers, there is a long history of the makers trying to screw them over, and the public, too.

The dealership model is an anachronism from the days when the Big 3 US automakers were basically a cartel with a lock on the market, and predates the internet. For new sales it has no real advantages over what Tesla is doing, and for service the public would be better served by strong right-to-repair laws so people can have their vehicles serviced at any independent mechanic (or do it themselves).

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#345

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Small anecdote: I visited a GM dealership this week and the salesperson told me Super Cruise was not enabled for test drives. The excuse was pretty weak, like the dealership would have to pay for the service or something. GM might have the technology but they are completely bungling the strategy. That was a your-dealership issue, not a GM issue. GM doesn't run the dealerships (though they sure have plenty of influe…

That's a "GM's business model" problem, which is again a GM problem. The top-selling EV maker in the US doesn't have any dealerships, so clearly it's not an insurmountable problem. GM just hasn't prioritized surmounting it.

No, not really. Safeway's advertising and store layout isn't directly a Coca Cola problem business model problem. They care, they have some influence, but if the one seller goes under for being crappy another will pop up to take its place.

This is just a car dealership tying its hands behind its back and not competing well. If it isn't widespread it isn't a GM problem.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#346
post #187

Earlier quoted context omitted.

GM and the other automakers should be lobbying to change the dealership laws then.

Automakers started out with direct sales. Anti-trust issues quickly arose with that business model and that’s where we got dealership laws, as imperfect as they may be. The document is rather one-sided and slanted, but I think it’s interesting to see how a dealership association explains their perspective: https://www.nada.org/media/3267/download?inline Of particular interest is warranty issues. Tesla has an extra-st…

> A car dealership has the opposite incentive: every dealer-performed warranty service is a payment from the manufacturer to the dealer.

Wouldn't this be served just as well by having independent repair shops certified by the manufacturer to do recall and warranty repairs, without prohibiting direct sales of vehicles?

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#347

> GM said in a statement that “... an increasingly competitive robotaxi market” were the reasons for the change. Isn't there basically Google/Waymo and then, seemingly much further behind, Tesla Cybertaxi, Amazon/Zoox, and Uber/Yandex? Cruise allegedly has one of the most sophisticated autonomous driving platforms, and GM's Super Cruise (if they share any tech) is comparable to Tesla FSD. Strange that they would bow…

Supercruise might be comparable to Tesla's "Autosteer" product but its incomparable to Tesla's paid "FSD Supervised" product. The latter is closer to a Waymo or Cruise than it is to a Mercedes or GM driver assist.

I thought supercruise only worked on "qualified roads".

Tesla autopilot 1.0 has been around on tesla since 2015. It's actually pretty good on the freeway as traffic aware cruise control + autosteer. I think it's a pretty good balance of driver + assist.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#348

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Based on my anecdotal experience, another issue is that salespeople are not trained on the tech I worked on a feature for new vehicles and the company failed in part because buyers simply didn’t know those features were part of the vehicle. Dealers never set it up for the buyer and it wasn’t something many people would think to do on their own A salesperson isn’t going to jeopardize an easy sale by bungling some fanc…

I don't want to be a jerk but the salesperson couldn't pronounce "autonomous" which tells me they aren't being trained in selling the feature at all. I can't even remember him referring to it by the marketing name.

HN priorities are not real world priorities

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#349
post #59

Waymo needs competition. Who else is even close to being able to provide it? I'd hate to think Tesla is next in line because they haven't even started a commercial pilot program yet.

I don't see how Waymo is going to survive the onslaught that is CyberCab. Cheaper to build and operate, more efficient, much faster to build, and deployable across all cities without any manual configuration. The clock is ticking on Waymo, they have 2 years to figure out how to compete otherwise they're cooked. It's very similar to legacy space and internet, the existing players saw SpaceX coming years out, did nothi…

Am I living in a bubble or is much of the excitement behind autonomous cabs just hype? Like, sure, it will be popular, but the way some folks(and not just Tesla zealots) talk about it, it will be 25% of global GDP.

Beyond, idk, saving my relatives the task of driving me to the airport, I don't see my family using an autonomous taxi at all. I think I'm like many Americans in that I like my personal vehicle because it's mine. I'm comfy in it, it's filled with only my stank, and I have tailored it to my liking.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#350
post #41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Isn't Tesla service worse than the dealerships? Maybe things have changed, my opinion is completely based on what I've read on the Internet.

No, there is a reason they are called stealerships. A Subaru dealership tried to charge $200 to reset a passenger window like this (literally just pushing the button to roll down the window and back up): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SXfAKIOxLPQ

IT consultants are often proud of charging a few thousand to press a button. They say they know which button to press or some such.
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