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Trump wins presidency for second time

thehill.com

341–350 of 1001 posts

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#341
post #313

the biggest problem is the climate. with trump winning, most/all of the climate policies will be revered irreparably damaging our planet bringing us to the brink of extinction. ofc it won't be all trump fault, current trends are gloomy enough yet those are the very last few years to actually do something..

For me the biggest problem is Ukraine, the country I live next to. Trump is more than happy to pull out of NATO

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#343

But aren't we supposed to wait out the Red Mirage / Blue Shift [0] before calling a winner? (Linked to timestamp of where former political director of Fox News testifies about it being a known thing). [0]: https://youtu.be/5XEQ_7zZ-bw?t=93

I think that's it. What could happen overnight already happened.

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#344

Parties basically switched sides this election. From 2008 to now: - Pro war party: Repubs -> Dems - Dick Cheney party: Repubs -> Dems - Elitist party: Repubs -> Dems - Working class party: Dems -> Repubs - Pro free speech party: Dems -> Repubs - Bigger spending party: Dems -> Repubs - Skeptical of large corps: Dems -> Repubs There are some issues where they haven't switched (eg. abortion)

Liz Cheney voted with the GOP for the four long Trump years, how is she not a Republican

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#346

My theory: people are just hacked off that life is getting worse for most people while billionaires get richer and richer. Every disaster the wealthy get handouts while the poor have to pay for them. Government can no longer afford anything because all of its assets have been sold and rented back at a profit. I don’t think either campaign made any difference to the outcome of this election at all. In conclusion it mi…

Since COVID food prices went up around 50% on many items that I pay attention to. (Example: meat & fish) For many Americans, messaging about the "great economy" does not match their lived experience.

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#349

Is there some analysis why the polls didn't correctly predict the result? A failure in representative polls like this should be avoided with statistical methods.

Historically (last two elections) the polls have been about 2% further left than the actual result. Thus a 50/50 could/should b be interpreted in Trump’s favor

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#350

From a game theoretical perspective this is a good result. It is a clear reiteration of the message to the Democrats: you won't win by claiming to be 0.1% less bad. The Democrats should have fielded a strong personality in their own right. This is not about left or right. It's about mobilizing people by giving them something to care about. "More of the same" and "not like that guy" isn't very enticing. I don't think…

In theory, I agree with you. In practice, however, they've lost elections before, and it's never really affected their policies. They move ever more right, regardless of what happens. The border wall used to be bad, and now it's something they actively pursue. Universal health care used to be a thing they'd at least mention (and it's still a very popular position to take), and these days? Not a peep.

Their strategy, at least the past three cycles, has been "I offer you nothing, but do you really want to vote for the other side?" And I don't see that changing.

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