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Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement

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Re: Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement

#341

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As Matt Levine explained [0] the “waiving due diligence” doesn’t really mean anything now. What does mean something is that he signed a binding agreement to buy Twitter, giving Twitter the right to compel him to close the deal, and there’s no “too many bots” exception, nor a “you were wrong (or even lied) about something you said” exception. He has to prove that it’s a “material adverse effect” which I understand is…

idk. the fact that the price had already sunk nearly 40% from his price over this period could clearly indicate that his assumption isn't without merit.

Only if you don’t bother to take a look at the rest of the market.

Re: Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement

#342
post #223

I like him for his entrepreneurship and big bold bets. However related to Twitter, looking what's happening since his first tweet, this was the plan all along. Come up with an excuse to get out of the deal. Just he was trying to cash in all the marketing he can like always. I don't think its going to work the way he thinks in this case, its atleast going to cost him $1b

Surely 1bn could have afforded a lot more and better marketing..

Re: Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement

#343
post #155

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's another belief floated by Josh Wolfe (an investor with Lux Capital) who claimed it was a ruse to liquidate Tesla stock en masse without Tesla hodlers getting suspicious and tanking the inflated stock price. https://twitter.com/wolfejosh/status/1545387947578597376

If someone's stock is as incredibly overinflated as Tesla has been for so long, choosing the most effective way to liquidate stock without triggering a run becomes a social engineering problem with the incentive of a multi-billion dollar payoff. Honestly I think other people trying to read this situation in some way that ignores a multi billion dollar incentive just sitting there is utterly naive.

I think the incentive you mean is to move out of a stock you think is overvalued (I agree about that). But that works with any purchase, not just Twitter. And with that motive in mind, Twitter would be a really unwise company to buy, when there are so many companies available with actual asset value around. Wouldn't you rather buy something with your over-inflated stock that had some value-preservation attributes? For example, you could buy a mining stock, or a railroad. With Twitter, you're going from the frying pan into the fire.

Re: Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement

#344

This is going to Delaware Chancery court, and if his ridiculous claims hold it does turn upside down long-held general principles of mergers and acquisitions that would affect.. everyone. I don't think the court will side with him on this. In the past, they have forced mergers to go through..

How much foot dragging does the Delaware Chancery Court usually tolerate in these sorts of situations?

Asking for a friend xD

Re: Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement

#345

It seems apparent to this observer that he developed cold feet pretty fast after an impetuous decision, and has been looking for any reason to back out of it since then. The spam accounts angle seems like a convenient scapegoat, rather than a real surprise to him. He's clearly eccentric in his approach to decision making: I don't think any Harvard Business School course will teach "the Musk Principles". But it's uncl…

The market crash makes it impossible to evaluate. It was a stupid price.

Re: Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement

#347

I have very little context here. It seems the general sentiment in the comments is that this attempt to get out of the merger agreement will fail and that Musk will be forced to follow through with the purchase of Twitter. At the current rate Twitter is trading at, Musk will be paying roughly 50% over market value to acquire the company. So a question: if you believe Musk will still purchase Twitter at an inflated pr…

There’s a chance Twitter accepts 5-10B in exchange for dropping their objections to the end of the merger.

Re: Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement

#348

So was the whole goal all along to try and figure out how much of Twitter was fake spam accounts? That would be one way of doing it.

If there's a valid combination of username and password, the account is in no way "fake". I wish there was better terminology here.

It can in certain be a spam account though.

Re: Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement

#349
post #338

This is going to Delaware Chancery court, and if his ridiculous claims hold it does turn upside down long-held general principles of mergers and acquisitions that would affect.. everyone. I don't think the court will side with him on this. In the past, they have forced mergers to go through..

So embarrassing if he ends up being forced to own it and everyone knows he tried to back out.

Embarrassment is the least of his problems at this point.

Re: Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement

#350
post #326

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This ad hominem has nothing to do with Elon's legal standing with regards to whether or not he can back out of the deal without paying a large breakup fee. Yes Elon has done great work for humankind, but that doesn't absolve him of responsibility for bad behavior.

Quoted post unavailable.

> Sure, he won't mind paying that I believe.

I strongly beg to differ. The purported damage may be in the low tens of billions. It doesn't mean that Twitter will get that much, but they'll certainly sue for that much.

> And he will likely create a new social media and crush twitter.

What makes you believe that that is likely? I don't see any evidence for it whatsoever. Twitter has an incredible moat. Just because Musk is going to start a twitter competitor (which I doubt he'd bother doing since he's already so busy) doesn't mean it will be successful, if it even ever gets off the ground. Most likely it will be a small niche community.

> I was talking about people attacking him just for being rich and accusing him of having an "inflated ego"

Clearly the man has an inflated ego if he thinks he can pull nonsense like this and get away with it. You could make a reasonable argument that he's "earned" that ego, but that's different from whether or not he has one.

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