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SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

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Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#341

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> China has been working up to getting a space capability to send people to the Moon with the full backing of the government funding, by 2035[1]. They started in 2003. SpaceX was founded in 2002 and they are saying they will fly someone around the moon next year? I don't want to downplay SpaceX at all because I'm a huge fan, but isn't flying someone to the moon (and presumably back) more complicated than just flying…

It's not a greater achievement than the Apollo moon landings (it's basically the mission flown on Apollo 13, swinging around the moon without going into orbit and then coming back), but it's still something that hasn't been done since the Apollo 17 mission in 1972.

Hopefully more like Apollo 8 than 13!

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#342
post #131

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Mostly CO2 and CO, see for instance https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RP-1

The H in hydrocarbons mostly ends up as water, so ideally it's about 50/50 H2O + CO2. But, you do get a little bit other stuff. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kerosene The combustion reaction can be approximated as follows, with the molecular formula C12H26 (dodecane): 2 C12H26(l) + 37 O2(g) → 24 CO2(g) + 26 H2O(g); ∆H˚ = -7513 kJ

It's about 50/50 by moles, but one mole of CO2 masses 44/18th = 2.44x as much as one mole of water.

The atomic makeup of RP-1 is about CH1.97[1], so at stoichiometric ratio[2] that would yield 71.3% CO2 and 28.7% H2O by mass.

[1] http://www.qrg.northwestern.edu/projects/vss/docs/propulsion...

[2] in reality Falcon 9 burns fuel-rich

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#343

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know for a fact that NASA is still concerned about that Helium tank.

The explosion from that helium tank was slower than the emergency rockets on the dragon, from what I understand. So, had the capsule been fitted with them, it would have stayed entirely clear of the event. It'd be a rough ride, but it would have been a survivable event.

Launch Abort is a system that should _never_ have to be activated. If you use Launch Abort, the series of failures preceding it was so catastrophic that you had no alternative to avoid loss of life.

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#344
post #318

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Right. SpaceX doesn't have a craft capable of lunar orbit rendezvous https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lunar_orbit_rendezvous so they would need to return to the Earth directly from the surface of the moon https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Direct_ascent Direct ascent requires a much larger initial launch mass, i.e., a larger rocket than has ever been built. Since it took the massive Saturn V to complete the Apollo missions u…

SpaceX is already docking with the space station which is similar difficulty as launching from the moon and docking in lunar orbit. The problem is getting a rocket with enough fuel on the surface of the moon without damaging it, not the docking in orbit. Which is even easier than doing the same thing from the surface of Mars. The only advantage of Mars is you don't need to burn fuel slowing down but that's more than…

Dragon cargo berthes with ISS: it pulls close and gets snagged by a human operating an arm. Crew Dragon will dock with the ISS.

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#345
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is what I'm referring to: "...The draft report from the GAO, which is Congress’ investigative arm, also concluded that neither SpaceX nor the Boeing Co. is likely to conduct regular space taxi flights to the space station by 2018..." http://www.geekwire.com/2017/gao-journal-spacex-rocket-turbo...

Could be true, but SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell challenged that report directly: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xjXYSJF-7Cs&t=16m31s

Shotwell's response is in the best interests of her company, but SpaceX is (as well as Boeing) woefully behind on a reasonable timeline to reach human-rated flight for both their rocket and crew module.

We should have learned from both the early Apollo program, and the Shuttle failures, that human lives shouldn't be treated as expendable capital in this industry.

Both SpaceX's current announcement, and the US Gov's desire to put humans on the first flight SLS flight, are deeply troubling in that regard.

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#346

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> China has been working up to getting a space capability to send people to the Moon with the full backing of the government funding, by 2035[1]. They started in 2003. SpaceX was founded in 2002 and they are saying they will fly someone around the moon next year? I don't want to downplay SpaceX at all because I'm a huge fan, but isn't flying someone to the moon (and presumably back) more complicated than just flying…

It's not a greater achievement than the Apollo moon landings (it's basically the mission flown on Apollo 13, swinging around the moon without going into orbit and then coming back), but it's still something that hasn't been done since the Apollo 17 mission in 1972.

Hurray for progress! We're able to repeat what was done in 1972!

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#347

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The Earth has a full atmosphere with winds, an expansive array of magnetic and electric fields, and a much much higher gravitational pull then Mars or the moon. About a factor of 10 removed from mars and about a further factor of 10 removed from the moon. You'd obviously need more fuel, and fuel that can burn in a completely different atmosphere then it's intended to run in. It's an invalid test for the kind of usefu…

Rockets carry oxidizer along with fuel, so the composition of the local atmosphere doesn't really figure. Also, your factors are way off; Martian gravity is a bit shy of 0.4g, and lunar gravity a bit proud of 0.1. Finally, we don't need to land on the moon, or Earth, or anywhere else, to validate a method of landing on Mars, because we already know how to land on all of those things. We've done it plenty of times bef…

We've only landed light things on mars, curiosity is the heaviest at 889kg, and the methods used don't scale easily.

Anything that can sustain humans for an extended period of time is going to weigh a lot more. EDL (Entry descent and landing) is a solvable problem, but it's not a solved one. You can find lots of recent work on it by googling that term.

Not to disagree that we can test on Earth better than the moon. Mars has a light atmosphere, but it doesn't have no atmosphere.

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#348

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not a greater achievement than the Apollo moon landings (it's basically the mission flown on Apollo 13, swinging around the moon without going into orbit and then coming back), but it's still something that hasn't been done since the Apollo 17 mission in 1972.

Hurray for progress! We're able to repeat what was done in 1972!

For a fraction of the cost.

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#349

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not a greater achievement than the Apollo moon landings (it's basically the mission flown on Apollo 13, swinging around the moon without going into orbit and then coming back), but it's still something that hasn't been done since the Apollo 17 mission in 1972.

Hurray for progress! We're able to repeat what was done in 1972!

Except today it will be done at less than 1/10th the cost. So yeah, progress.

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#350

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The Earth has a full atmosphere with winds, an expansive array of magnetic and electric fields, and a much much higher gravitational pull then Mars or the moon. About a factor of 10 removed from mars and about a further factor of 10 removed from the moon. You'd obviously need more fuel, and fuel that can burn in a completely different atmosphere then it's intended to run in. It's an invalid test for the kind of usefu…

I wonder if there's an altitude you could do a "landing" at that would be thin enough atmosphere and weak enough gravity to get close to Martian conditions.

> weak enough gravity

Gravity will still be too high, gravity at the ISS is 0.89 times gravity on the ground and you obviously need to be lower than that. But it's definitely the closest we can get to a large scale martian atmosphere.

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