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Motherboard sales 'collapse' amid unprecedented shortages fueled by AI

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331–340 of 364 posts

Re: Motherboard sales 'collapse' amid unprecedented shortages fueled by AI

#331
post #139
post #124

Shortages or not, there's little demand for cool new motherboards and CPUs from the enthusiast corner of the market because hardware platforms themselves are stagnating performance-wise. 13-14gen Intel Cores are still more than enough for your average home gamer, Zen 5 shows only marginal improvement over Zen 4 except for a very narrow range of workloads, getting wider than 128bit memory bus is prohibitively expensiv…

I wanted to build a Threadripper 9965WX and the math worked out until DDR5 prices come in to play. Instead I got a used Lenovo P620 5975WX and still had to buy DDR4 from Shenzhen to get anything remotely affordable. The IPC of the Zen5 is a meaningful uplift especially for single thread but it is out of reach.

Where/how did you buy your DDR4 from SZ? Interested in doing the same, but want reputable source/supplier.

Re: Motherboard sales 'collapse' amid unprecedented shortages fueled by AI

#332
post #127

Motherboards used to be $100, $200 for the high end. Now they want $300+, ram is crazy, storage, video cards, etc. I'm not surprised sales for these components is hitting a wall.

I don't really agree with this. Motherboard prices haven't been moved at all by AI. I would also say that most consumers, who are almost exclusively buying gaming-oriented boards, do not need anything high end. They can pretty much buy the cheapest board available. I am shopping around for a mini ITX board and the difference between something at $180 and something at $400 is basically one to two faster USB ports, whi…

$180 for a basic motherboard is damn expensive though.

Re: Motherboard sales 'collapse' amid unprecedented shortages fueled by AI

#333

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Kind of a random aside, but I never realized how obnoxious LEDs were until I got a studio apartment and started sleeping in the same room as my homelab / workstation / networking hardware. Electrical tape saved me, but wow. You sure can produce a lot of light with a milliwatt of electricity :) (And yes, my workstation has a clear case and LED RAM. Yes, I'm an idiot. Whenever Windows applies an update late at night, I…

Is it even possible to buy computers these days that don't look like they're intended to be the lighting system at a rave?

Yes it is.

Re: Motherboard sales 'collapse' amid unprecedented shortages fueled by AI

#334
post #145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Buying whole 2020 era PCs here for around $200 mark. As long as you don't need crazy CPU or GPU grunt, which is most people, they are almost indistinguishable from a new one. Windows 10 LTSC + Firefox + uBlock Origin on an i5-9400 feels faster than my M4 Pro MBP. Probably same or better on Linux.

> Windows 10 LTSC + Firefox + uBlock Origin on an i5-9400 feels faster than my M4 Pro MBP I don't remember Win10 being particularly lean (although I'm sure 11 is worse). And the M4 is definitely a much more powerful CPU. Can you not run Firefox and uBO on that? Or have they really weighed things down that much with the OS somehow? > Probably same or better on Linux. Even with the Cinnamon desktop environment I can vo…

LTSC is a whole different animal than any other windows. Super lean.

Re: Motherboard sales 'collapse' amid unprecedented shortages fueled by AI

#335
post #145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Buying whole 2020 era PCs here for around $200 mark. As long as you don't need crazy CPU or GPU grunt, which is most people, they are almost indistinguishable from a new one. Windows 10 LTSC + Firefox + uBlock Origin on an i5-9400 feels faster than my M4 Pro MBP. Probably same or better on Linux.

Windows 10 LTSC isn't a realistic option for most people.

Why not ?

There's even Win 11 LTSC now

Re: Motherboard sales 'collapse' amid unprecedented shortages fueled by AI

#336
post #256
post #239

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Great take, but if the market is expanding for capable PCs why are motherboard sales decreasing?

Well, the two chips I mentioned (DGX Spark uses the GB-10) are both a SoC, so no motherboard needed there. I don't know if that's the full explanation, but it could be a factor. The SoC design with unified memory is generally well suited for residential use because it's quite energy-efficient, quiet and small (compared to traditional GPU-powered gaming rigs). Great performance-per-annoyance, so to say.

Mini PCs (NUC-ish form factor) are selling a lot now too, small, quiet, most people don't need expansion over what you can get from eg USB4.

Re: Motherboard sales 'collapse' amid unprecedented shortages fueled by AI

#337
post #257

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I already have home sever rack, and would recommend it for other people. I just want to warn people who haven't heard server-grade hardware in-person before: this is only for people who can put a server rack somewhere unpopulated like a garage or basement. Servers will make you think "wow, leafblowers sure are quiet". They are not suitable for apartment dwellers such as myself. When I was setting up my 1U before sh…

The noise problem is pretty easy to mitigate by choosing 2U servers instead of 1U. The latter are forced by the form factor to use smaller, higher speed fans. A bigger issue for enterprise hardware is that it's optimized for performance per watt under load, not idle power consumption. Running a mostly-idle rack server 24/7 can result in a pretty sizable electric bill. This also depends heavily on the model. Some will…

These days, pretty much the only thing that makes sense is a mini PC. AMD laptop chips generally trade blows with Apple stuff on power efficiency when you thrash them, and you get a surprisingly capable machine for not very much money.

It's really not worth it to run old hardware 24/7 unless it's making money. Buying a new machine of equivalent capability is (normally) pretty cheap, and it doesn't take very long for the power savings to pay for themselves.

They can be had with fairly respectable specs too. Certainly enough to play around with small local models.

Re: Motherboard sales 'collapse' amid unprecedented shortages fueled by AI

#339
post #337
post #257

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The noise problem is pretty easy to mitigate by choosing 2U servers instead of 1U. The latter are forced by the form factor to use smaller, higher speed fans. A bigger issue for enterprise hardware is that it's optimized for performance per watt under load, not idle power consumption. Running a mostly-idle rack server 24/7 can result in a pretty sizable electric bill. This also depends heavily on the model. Some will…

These days, pretty much the only thing that makes sense is a mini PC. AMD laptop chips generally trade blows with Apple stuff on power efficiency when you thrash them, and you get a surprisingly capable machine for not very much money. It's really not worth it to run old hardware 24/7 unless it's making money. Buying a new machine of equivalent capability is (normally) pretty cheap, and it doesn't take very long for…

"When you thrash them" is kind of the issue. There are ten year old business desktops with a Some of the newer hardware is actually worse because the idle power consumption of PCs since around 2010 is determined in significant part by the low-load efficiency of the power supply. Brand new machines with the wrong power supply can use several times as much power at idle as ten year old machines with the right power supply. Annoyingly, power supply efficiency at idle is rarely documented so the only thing to do is measure it.

Re: Motherboard sales 'collapse' amid unprecedented shortages fueled by AI

#340
post #38
post #2

Not just motherboards. Cases, PC accessories (fans, etc), consumer SSDs, and more. Cases are especially hard hit, apparently, as they're already quite a low margin business. Personally, I see little reason to upgrade from my AM4 platform. It's never been easier to hold on to aging hardware with the advent of DLSS stretching older cards further, diminishing returns on the newer gen GPUs, and the 'realism' of video gam…

I should have upgraded my GTX 1060 6GB last year. Last year I said I should have upgraded my 1060 last year. I bought it second hand 7 years ago and it is still the same price. I don't do much gaming, and it runs Immich / etc light inference just fine. One thing I don't regret is getting 32GB of DDR4 when I built the system around the time of the GPU upgrade.

I’m in almost exactly the same boat.

2017 GTX 1070 and 32GB ram. I don’t run games 4K and still haven’t had any problems running reasonably pretty recent stuff.

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