Too late for everyone who spent massively on flying in stock ahead of the tariff deadline. Too late for those forced to sell financial assets in order to pay margin calls. Too late for those working on projects involving foreign manufacturers which have now been cancelled due to tariff uncertainty. Too late for those who lost sales while they figured out pricing. Too early for the people fundraising to build US manuf…
It's almost like the whole point is just to enable insider trading on a scale we've never seen before.
Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
331–340 of 1001 posts
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#332So Trump destroyed the hard-earned 80-year history of the United States for strength and stability for what exactly?
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#333Trump has now shown his hand. Even with the tariffs on China remaining, it’s clear that Trump will back down on any extreme positions he takes. So, expect the china tariffs to be backed off soon too (once he gets some concession that he can brandish as a win). In 3 months, sell your positions, let him play his stupid games and re-buy once he backs down, because he will. Or just hold and ride it out. 10% sounds like w…
> it’s clear that Trump will back down on any extreme positions he takes. That has always been the case with him. That's literally his negotiation tactic.
I couldn’t tell whether he would really go through with this or not. Now it’s clear he has no bottle at all. So weirdly is more of a comfort.
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#334So, it was all a bluff? (As many people suspected it would be.)
It brought a large number of countries to the negotiating table, and shows he’s willing to execute on threats of keeping tariffs high for an individual country. Now is the ripe time, 90 days, to make a deal with the US and offer the best terms. The whole point of Trump is to leverage uncertainty, make an unrealistically high water mark, then go down from there (to a point thats still very favorable) This rationale ca…
This isn't 1946 when the United States was heads-and-shoulders the most prosperous nation on earth, with most other developed countries having to rebuild. Other regions such as the European Union, China, and the bloc of East Asian democracies (Japan, South Korea, Taiwan) also have strong, competitive economies with a high standard of living for many of their residents. If they got together, it's possible that they could move to some alternative to the US dollar should they wish, and with Trump's bullying, this might just be the push.
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#335My takeaway from what I've read and heard in the last few weeks is that his only actual motivation is to 'win'. He bragged yesterday that other countries are kissing his ass to negotiate deals on the tariffs. I think that was all he wanted, I think he now thinks that this whole tariff thing was a success and he's going to move on to the next crazy idea. The rest of us suffer for it, except for the sad portion of the…
Notable exception: Xi Jinping. So it's a contest of wills. Trump vs. the man who enforced a "zero-Covid" lockdown on 1.4 billion people.
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#336The stock exchange and the tariffs are not the battleground. Asia started dropping US treasury bills. 30 year bills reached a max in decades Trump blinked. Edit: this was front and center in Financial Times, WSJ three hours ago. Now suddenly pushed back, exchange rally being front page news. People don’t understand how close to financial apocalypse we have been. Somebody in the WH scared the shit out of Trump.
Do you have a link or article title for reading about the dropping of tbills
https://www.ft.com/content/0005e091-930d-46ff-9e81-8591704a9...
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#337Earlier quoted context omitted.
> How are businesses supposed to plan anything in this environment? Who cares? Business leaders & the politicians they helped elect are stripping the copper from the country. Whatever's left when they're done is someone else's problem.
I care?? Much of my family works in trades, have their own small businesses with employees and are very much subject to tariffs for their supplies. They did not vote for any of this.
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#338He's turned the US stock market into the same model as China's - the entire up/down rests on the leaders words. Which makes them fairly uninvestable.
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#339Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's almost like the whole point is just to enable insider trading on a scale we've never seen before.
Is there any reliable instrument to find out? This seems so obvious, given the only alternative option seems to be believing they are completely insane.
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#340So we're all in for another ride like this in 3 months? How are businesses supposed to plan anything in this environment? As nice as this surge is, I'm more focused on upping my cash reserves and bracing myself for a recession.